† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
4 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NCNorth CarolinaUnited States
American15.1%8.3%5.3%
German13.7%9.4%12.5%
English13.4%12.7%9.5%
Irish9.2%8.4%9.4%
Scottish2.6%2.3%1.3%
Italian2.0%3.3%4.8%
Scotch-Irish1.8%1.4%—
French0.9%—1.6%
Mexican4.3%5.6%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.1%1.2%1.8%
Guatemalan1.0%0.4%0.5%
Honduran0.4%0.7%0.3%
Salvadoran0.4%0.7%0.7%
Colombian0.3%0.3%0.4%
Spanish0.2%——
African American†5.8%18.3%9.9%
African0.3%0.7%0.5%
Hmong1.9%——
Vietnamese0.2%0.3%0.6%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
North Carolina
United States
Median age
43.7
39.5
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.2%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
North Carolina
United States
Median household income
$62,904
$72,388
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.5%
13.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
22.4%
35.8%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
North Carolina
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.7%
13.5%
22.3%
Spanish
6.7%
8.7%
13.6%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
1.7%
0.9%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
North Carolina
United States
Catholic
6.5%
8.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
37.2%
26.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
40.0%
48.0%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
12.3%
9.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+21.1%
1896
+25.5%
1900
−0.0%
1904
−1.6%
1908
−7.0%
1912
+39.0%
1916
−0.5%
1920
−6.3%
1924
+4.7%
1928
−24.5%
1932
+16.3%
1936
+23.3%
1940
+27.2%
1944
+9.4%
1948
−2.0%
1952
−16.0%
1956
−22.3%
1960
−13.8%
1964
+4.2%
1968
−29.8%
1972
−45.1%
1976
+5.4%
1980
−16.9%
1984
−39.3%
1988
−31.0%
1992
−13.0%
1996
−19.1%
2000
−31.7%
2004
−33.3%
2008
−26.1%
2012
−31.0%
2016
−42.5%
2020
−43.1%
2024
−44.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
27.4%Harris54,047
71.6%Trump141,120
1.0%
R+44.2
R+1.0
R+42.7
197,173
R
27.8%Biden53,197
71.0%Trump135,614
1.2%
R+43.1
R+0.7
R+47.6
191,092
R
26.9%Clinton44,659
69.4%Trump115,076
3.7%
R+42.5
R+11.5
R+44.5
165,862
R
33.7%Obama53,279
64.7%Romney102,287
1.6%
R+31.0
R+4.9
R+34.9
158,073
R
36.3%Obama57,805
62.4%McCain99,411
1.3%
R+26.1
D+7.2
R+33.4
159,303
R
33.1%Kerry45,203
66.5%Bush90,638
0.4%
R+33.3
R+1.6
R+30.9
136,398
R
33.8%Gore40,924
65.5%Bush79,289
0.7%
R+31.7
R+12.6
R+32.2
121,106
R
35.9%Clinton39,284
55.0%Dole60,152
9.0%
R+19.1
R+6.1
R+27.6
109,306
R
36.0%Clinton42,781
49.0%Bush58,170
15.0%
R+13.0
D+18.0
R+18.5
118,733
R
34.4%Dukakis35,780
65.4%Bush67,949
0.1%
R+31.0
D+8.3
R+23.2
103,882
R
30.2%Mondale32,945
69.6%Reagan75,768
0.2%
R+39.3
R+22.4
R+21.1
108,929
R
40.2%Carter38,837
57.0%Reagan55,170
2.8%
R+16.9
R+22.3
R+7.2
96,714
D
52.5%Carter48,297
47.1%Ford43,299
0.4%
D+5.4
D+50.6
D+3.4
91,980
R
26.6%McGovern21,295
71.7%Nixon57,394
1.6%
R+45.1
R+15.3
R+22.0
80,002
R
22.9%Humphrey19,258
52.7%Nixon44,273
24.4%
R+29.8
R+34.0
R+29.1
84,006
D
52.1%Johnson43,197
47.9%Goldwater39,690
0.0%
D+4.2
D+18.0
R+18.4
82,887
R
43.1%Kennedy36,184
56.9%Nixon47,788
0.0%
R+13.8
D+8.5
R+14.0
83,972
R
38.8%Stevenson28,994
61.2%Eisenhower45,669
0.0%
R+22.3
R+6.4
R+6.9
74,663
R
42.0%Stevenson29,484
58.0%Eisenhower40,684
0.0%
R+16.0
R+14.0
R+5.2
70,168
R
45.2%Truman22,160
47.2%Dewey23,146
7.6%
R+2.0
R+11.4
R+6.5
49,033
D
54.7%Roosevelt24,642
45.3%Dewey20,402
0.0%
D+9.4
R+17.8
D+1.9
45,044
D
63.6%Roosevelt27,548
36.4%Willkie15,767
0.0%
D+27.2
D+3.9
D+17.3
43,315
D
61.6%Roosevelt28,542
38.4%Landon17,765
0.0%
D+23.3
D+7.0
R+1.0
46,307
D
57.9%Roosevelt22,744
41.6%Hoover16,342
0.5%
D+16.3
D+40.8
R+1.5
39,284
R
37.7%Smith11,810
62.3%Hoover19,476
0.0%
R+24.5
R+29.2
R+7.0
31,286
D
52.0%Davis15,530
47.3%Coolidge14,128
0.7%
D+4.7
D+11.0
D+29.9
29,871
R
46.9%Cox13,642
53.1%Harding15,468
0.0%
R+6.3
R+5.7
D+19.9
29,110
R
49.7%Wilson6,869
50.2%Hughes6,944
0.1%
R+0.5
R+39.5
R+3.7
13,827
D
49.4%Wilson5,954
10.4%Taft1,256
40.2%
D+39.0
D+45.9
D+19.4
12,048
R
46.4%Bryan5,380
53.3%Taft6,187
0.3%
R+7.0
R+5.4
D+2.6
11,604
R
47.5%Parker4,516
49.1%Roosevelt4,666
3.3%
R+1.6
R+1.6
D+18.1
9,500
R
48.8%Bryan4,886
48.8%McKinley4,887
2.3%
R+0.01
R+25.5
D+7.5
10,007
D
62.1%Bryan6,746
36.6%McKinley3,976
1.2%
D+25.5
D+4.4
D+31.6
10,857
D
50.4%Cleveland4,884
29.3%Harrison2,837
20.3%
D+21.1
—
D+19.5
9,684
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
26.7%34,358
71.0%91,441
128,717
2020
R
27.7%52,528
67.4%127,648
189,454
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+26.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+44.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 17 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC
Year
Total registered
Democratic
Republican
Unaffiliated
Other
2008
230,454
80,547
98,376
51,372
159
2012
242,327
77,827
100,957
62,916
627
2016
243,228
68,554
101,159
72,462
1,053
2020
247,181
55,126
108,853
81,534
1,668
2022
249,060
49,423
109,620
88,488
1,529
2024
261,091
46,430
116,673
95,633
2,355
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,447 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +20,229 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−1,187
2012
−1,181
2013
−327
2014
−518
2015
+250
2016
+1,348
2017
+2,093
2018
+1,486
2019
+1,347
2021
+2,323
2022
+3,318
2023
+3,362
2024
+3,468
2025
+4,447
Anchored by Catawba County's long Republican lean, this Piedmont foothills metro blends legacy furniture and fiber industries with a growing Latino workforce — a demographic shift that has slowly narrowed margins in local races without flipping the region's overall orientation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.0 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 45.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.2 points.
A population of 368,316, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,904 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA and North Wilkesboro, NC.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25860/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Republican by 44.2 points (R+44.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 197,173 votes cast, 54,047 went Democratic and 141,120 went Republican.
When did Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina has a population of 368,316 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Median household income in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina is $62,904 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hickory-Lenoir-Morganton, NC, North Carolina from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
