† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupLawrenceburg, TNTennesseeUnited States
English16.9%13.3%9.5%
American13.9%11.3%5.3%
German10.2%9.1%12.5%
Irish10.1%9.3%9.4%
Scottish1.9%2.2%1.3%
Dutch1.7%——
Scotch-Irish1.4%1.7%—
French1.2%1.3%1.6%
Mexican1.6%3.8%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.3%0.6%0.5%
Spanish0.3%——
African American†1.4%14.3%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Lawrenceburg, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median age
39.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
7.6%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.7%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Lawrenceburg, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$54,706
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.0%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
15.2%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Lawrenceburg, TN
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.1%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
1.0%
5.3%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
3.7%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Lawrenceburg, TN
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
2.9%
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
50.0%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
38.9%
44.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.6%
6.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Lawrenceburg, TN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+22.4%
1896
+6.7%
1900
+5.5%
1904
−2.3%
1908
−4.0%
1912
+19.5%
1916
−1.4%
1920
−19.1%
1924
−4.1%
1928
−12.6%
1932
+31.4%
1936
+17.5%
1940
+35.3%
1944
+3.4%
1948
+11.2%
1952
−2.9%
1956
−4.1%
1960
−8.0%
1964
+8.6%
1968
−20.4%
1972
−38.1%
1976
+17.8%
1980
−3.3%
1984
−5.0%
1988
−12.3%
1992
+8.7%
1996
+0.5%
2000
−6.7%
2004
−20.2%
2008
−33.7%
2012
−42.9%
2016
−61.3%
2020
−64.9%
2024
−69.1%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
15.0%Harris2,939
84.1%Trump16,429
0.5%Kennedy90 +4
R+69.1
R+4.2
R+67.6
19,533
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican84.1%16,429
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic15.0%2,939
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.5%90
Jill SteinIndependent0.1%29
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.1%28
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%12
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%6
R
17.1%Biden3,195
81.9%Trump15,334
1.0%
R+64.9
R+3.6
R+69.3
18,718
R
18.0%Clinton2,821
79.3%Trump12,420
2.7%
R+61.3
R+18.3
R+63.4
15,666
R
27.8%Obama4,237
70.8%Romney10,770
1.4%
R+42.9
R+9.2
R+46.8
15,219
R
32.2%Obama5,161
66.0%McCain10,566
1.8%
R+33.7
R+13.5
R+41.0
16,020
R
39.6%Kerry6,592
59.8%Bush9,959
0.6%
R+20.2
R+13.5
R+17.8
16,658
R
45.9%Gore6,643
52.6%Bush7,613
1.5%
R+6.7
R+7.2
R+7.2
14,470
D
46.3%Clinton6,188
45.8%Dole6,115
7.9%
D+0.5
R+8.2
R+8.0
13,359
D
49.2%Clinton6,816
40.5%Bush5,608
10.4%
D+8.7
D+21.0
D+3.2
13,864
R
43.8%Dukakis4,903
56.1%Bush6,273
0.1%
R+12.3
R+7.3
R+4.5
11,183
R
47.2%Mondale5,458
52.2%Reagan6,034
0.6%
R+5.0
R+1.6
D+13.2
11,563
R
45.1%Carter6,082
48.5%Reagan6,532
6.4%
R+3.3
R+21.2
D+6.4
13,477
D
58.6%Carter7,140
40.7%Ford4,967
0.7%
D+17.8
D+55.9
D+15.8
12,190
R
29.8%McGovern2,824
67.9%Nixon6,438
2.3%
R+38.1
R+17.7
R+15.0
9,482
R
20.8%Humphrey2,191
41.3%Nixon4,343
37.9%
R+20.4
R+29.0
R+19.7
10,527
D
54.3%Johnson5,449
45.7%Goldwater4,590
0.0%
D+8.6
D+16.5
R+14.0
10,039
R
45.7%Kennedy4,862
53.7%Nixon5,709
0.6%
R+8.0
R+3.9
R+8.1
10,639
R
47.6%Stevenson4,227
51.7%Eisenhower4,588
0.7%
R+4.1
R+1.1
D+11.3
8,880
R
48.1%Stevenson4,299
51.1%Eisenhower4,561
0.8%
R+2.9
R+14.1
D+7.8
8,931
D
53.4%Truman4,854
42.2%Dewey3,837
4.3%
D+11.2
D+7.8
D+6.7
9,084
D
51.7%Roosevelt4,662
48.3%Dewey4,359
0.0%
D+3.4
R+31.9
R+4.1
9,021
D
67.4%Roosevelt3,936
32.2%Willkie1,877
0.4%
D+35.3
D+17.8
D+25.3
5,836
D
58.5%Roosevelt4,773
40.9%Landon3,342
0.6%
D+17.5
R+13.9
R+6.7
8,164
D
65.5%Roosevelt3,240
34.0%Hoover1,684
0.5%
D+31.4
D+44.0
D+13.7
4,948
R
43.6%Smith2,779
56.2%Hoover3,581
0.1%
R+12.6
R+8.5
D+4.9
6,369
R
47.3%Davis2,185
51.5%Coolidge2,375
1.2%
R+4.1
D+15.0
D+21.1
4,616
R
40.4%Cox2,610
59.6%Harding3,843
0.0%
R+19.1
R+17.7
D+7.1
6,453
R
49.2%Wilson1,787
50.6%Hughes1,837
0.3%
R+1.4
R+20.9
R+4.5
3,634
D
46.8%Wilson1,504
27.3%Taft878
25.9%
D+19.5
D+23.5
R+0.1
3,213
R
47.8%Bryan1,591
51.8%Taft1,725
0.4%
R+4.0
R+1.8
D+5.5
3,330
R
48.9%Parker1,299
51.1%Roosevelt1,359
0.0%
R+2.3
R+7.7
D+17.4
2,658
D
52.7%Bryan1,480
47.3%McKinley1,327
0.0%
D+5.5
R+1.2
D+13.0
2,807
D
53.2%Bryan1,376
46.5%McKinley1,203
0.3%
D+6.7
R+15.7
D+12.8
2,586
D
58.2%Cleveland1,231
35.9%Harrison758
5.9%
D+22.4
—
D+20.7
2,114
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
15.5%2,933
81.9%15,484
18,915
2020
R
15.8%2,768
81.7%14,270
17,469
2018
R
26.5%3,439
72.2%9,365
12,968
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Lawrenceburg, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
24,585
2018
24,224
2020
25,459
2022
26,330
2024
27,989
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+264 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +4,688 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Lawrenceburg, TN in Lawrenceburg, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+99
2012
−84
2013
−206
2014
+239
2015
+265
2016
+438
2017
+325
2018
+386
2019
+331
2021
+692
2022
+812
2023
+625
2024
+502
2025
+264
Lawrenceburg sits at the center of a persistently rural Middle Tennessee labor market, where factory employment in auto-parts supply chains shapes both the workforce composition and the economic anxieties that drive voter behavior.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 35.3 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 69.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 69.1 points.
A population of 45,385, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,706 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Scottsboro, AL and Fayetteville, TN.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/29980/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 69.1 points (R+69.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,533 votes cast, 2,939 went Democratic and 16,429 went Republican.
When did Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee has a population of 45,385 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee is $54,706 — below the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lawrenceburg, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican.
