combined metro areaNashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+13.2
2008R+12.4
2012R+18.5
2016R+19.8
2020R+14.9
2024R+21.6
full record · 1892 → 2024
presidential returns
2024 turnout 61.8% of 1,682,881 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
399,682
624,242
15,565
1,039,489
1,682,881
61.8%
2020
423,776
576,422
22,743
1,022,941
1,575,564
64.9%
2016
299,743
458,477
42,903
801,123
1,456,898
55.0%
2012
302,832
442,753
12,444
758,029
1,357,878
55.8%
2008
343,203
442,219
10,524
795,946
1,300,546
61.2%
2004
308,730
403,412
4,603
716,745
1,243,214†
57.7%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TNTennesseeUnited States
English13.8%13.3%9.5%
American11.1%11.3%5.3%
German9.6%9.1%12.5%
Irish9.0%9.3%9.4%
Italian2.5%2.2%4.8%
Scottish2.2%2.2%1.3%
Scotch-Irish1.6%1.7%—
French1.6%1.3%1.6%
African American†11.1%14.3%9.9%
African0.8%0.6%0.5%
Mexican5.0%3.8%11.3%
Honduran0.8%0.5%0.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.6%1.8%
Guatemalan0.7%0.6%0.5%
Salvadoran0.5%0.2%0.7%
Cuban0.4%0.2%0.7%
Venezuelan0.3%0.2%—
Asian Indian0.8%0.5%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.2%1.3%
Laotian0.3%——
Vietnamese0.2%0.2%0.6%
Burmese0.2%——
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median age
37.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.5%
17.1%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
Tennessee
United States
Median household income
$85,983
$69,595
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.8%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.8%
31.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
Tennessee
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
12.3%
8.7%
22.3%
Spanish
7.2%
5.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.0%
0.7%
2.0%
Arabic
1.0%
0.5%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
Tennessee
United States
Catholic
5.7%
4.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
31.2%
36.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
48.7%
44.5%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
6.0%
6.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
+34.9%
1896
+28.4%
1900
+33.5%
1904
+37.5%
1908
+35.7%
1912
+45.4%
1916
+40.5%
1920
+22.3%
1924
+41.9%
1928
+7.7%
1932
+59.4%
1936
+63.0%
1940
+57.8%
1944
+48.3%
1948
+40.1%
1952
+25.4%
1956
+29.4%
1960
+14.3%
1964
+33.1%
1968
+0.4%
1972
−27.9%
1976
+28.3%
1980
+17.6%
1984
−10.6%
1988
−12.2%
1992
+11.2%
1996
+6.4%
2000
+1.7%
2004
−13.2%
2008
−12.4%
2012
−18.5%
2016
−19.8%
2020
−14.9%
2024
−21.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
38.4%Harris399,682
60.1%Trump624,242
0.8%Kennedy8,349 +4
R+21.6
R+6.7
R+20.1
1,039,489
All 7 candidates in 2024 · 5 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican60.1%624,242
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic38.4%399,682
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent0.8%8,349
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%3,527
Jay J BowmanIndependent0.2%1,945
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.1%1,402
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%342
R
41.4%Biden423,776
56.3%Trump576,422
2.2%
R+14.9
D+4.9
R+19.4
1,022,941
R
37.4%Clinton299,743
57.2%Trump458,477
5.4%
R+19.8
R+1.4
R+21.9
801,123
R
39.9%Obama302,832
58.4%Romney442,753
1.6%
R+18.5
R+6.0
R+22.3
758,029
R
43.1%Obama343,203
55.6%McCain442,219
1.3%
R+12.4
D+0.8
R+19.7
795,946
R
43.1%Kerry308,730
56.3%Bush403,412
0.6%
R+13.2
R+14.9
R+10.8
716,745
D
50.0%Gore293,469
48.3%Bush283,545
1.7%
D+1.7
R+4.7
D+1.2
586,889
D
49.9%Clinton258,971
43.4%Dole225,586
6.7%
D+6.4
R+4.8
R+2.1
519,186
D
49.6%Clinton256,212
38.4%Bush198,148
12.0%
D+11.2
D+23.5
D+5.7
516,536
R
43.6%Dukakis183,026
55.8%Bush234,296
0.5%
R+12.2
R+1.6
R+4.5
419,598
R
44.3%Mondale185,706
55.0%Reagan230,296
0.7%
R+10.6
R+28.2
D+7.6
418,831
D
57.2%Carter223,480
39.7%Reagan154,923
3.1%
D+17.6
R+10.7
D+27.3
390,581
D
63.6%Carter221,372
35.3%Ford122,849
1.1%
D+28.3
D+56.2
D+26.2
348,112
R
34.6%McGovern93,071
62.5%Nixon168,161
2.9%
R+27.9
R+28.3
R+4.8
269,002
O
29.1%Humphrey83,984
28.8%Nixon82,926
42.1%
Wallace +13.0
R+32.8
D+1.1
288,221
D
66.6%Johnson170,050
33.4%Goldwater85,400
0.0%
D+33.1
D+18.9
D+10.6
255,450
D
56.7%Kennedy129,996
42.4%Nixon97,324
0.8%
D+14.3
R+15.1
D+14.1
229,268
D
64.2%Stevenson130,292
34.8%Eisenhower70,674
1.0%
D+29.4
D+3.9
D+44.8
202,943
D
62.6%Stevenson122,821
37.2%Eisenhower72,912
0.3%
D+25.4
R+14.7
D+36.2
196,254
D
61.2%Truman68,043
21.1%Dewey23,452
17.8%
D+40.1
R+8.2
D+35.6
111,241
D
74.0%Roosevelt78,499
25.7%Dewey27,260
0.3%
D+48.3
R+9.4
D+40.8
106,031
D
78.8%Roosevelt79,509
21.0%Willkie21,195
0.3%
D+57.8
R+5.3
D+47.8
100,961
D
81.3%Roosevelt71,202
18.2%Landon15,989
0.5%
D+63.0
D+3.6
D+38.8
87,614
D
79.2%Roosevelt64,430
19.8%Hoover16,135
0.9%
D+59.4
D+51.7
D+41.6
81,327
D
53.8%Smith41,340
46.1%Hoover35,399
0.1%
D+7.7
R+34.1
D+25.2
76,849
D
69.1%Davis41,473
27.3%Coolidge16,359
3.6%
D+41.9
D+19.5
D+67.0
59,996
D
61.0%Cox53,668
38.7%Harding34,031
0.3%
D+22.3
R+18.2
D+48.5
87,995
D
69.8%Wilson43,778
29.3%Hughes18,370
0.9%
D+40.5
R+4.9
D+37.4
62,730
D
68.3%Wilson42,908
22.9%Taft14,397
8.8%
D+45.4
D+9.7
D+25.8
62,824
D
67.3%Bryan39,620
31.6%Taft18,598
1.2%
D+35.7
R+1.8
D+45.2
58,898
D
67.5%Parker38,728
30.0%Roosevelt17,210
2.5%
D+37.5
D+4.0
D+57.2
57,350
D
65.6%Bryan42,080
32.1%McKinley20,578
2.3%
D+33.5
D+5.1
D+41.1
64,120
D
63.2%Bryan49,849
34.8%McKinley27,468
1.9%
D+28.4
R+6.5
D+34.5
78,826
D
60.7%Cleveland39,310
25.8%Harrison16,726
13.4%
D+34.9
—
D+33.2
64,722
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
38.5%393,951
59.4%607,118
1,022,569
2020
R
38.6%384,013
58.4%580,583
994,520
2018
R
48.7%365,632
50.2%377,444
751,191
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN
Year
Total registered
2016
1,250,018
2018
1,289,831
2020
1,443,320
2022
1,501,080
2024
1,615,846
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+19,392 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +271,416 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+9,965
2012
+15,210
2013
+17,639
2014
+20,528
2015
+22,501
2016
+25,491
2017
+22,399
2018
+19,163
2019
+17,693
2021
+11,555
2022
+31,346
2023
+21,018
2024
+17,516
2025
+19,392
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN sits in the Border South and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 63.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 27.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the region moved 6.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.
A population of 2,323,641, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $85,983 describe the region. The region's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Huntsville-Decatur-Albertville, AL-TN and Lexington-Fayette--Richmond--Frankfort, KY.
Akashic
Political twins — combined metros
The combined metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/csa/400/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee voted Republican by 21.6 points (R+21.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,039,489 votes cast, 399,682 went Democratic and 624,242 went Republican.
When did Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee?
Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee has a population of 2,323,641 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee?
Median household income in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee is $85,983 — above the national median of $80,734. The Tennessee state median is $69,595.
What is the political history of Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro, TN, Tennessee from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.
