† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMiddlesborough, KYKentuckyUnited States
English10.5%14.5%9.5%
Irish9.9%11.0%9.4%
American8.3%11.5%5.3%
German7.6%12.7%12.5%
Italian1.6%2.0%4.8%
Scotch-Irish1.4%0.8%—
Scottish1.0%2.0%1.3%
Polish0.7%—2.2%
African American†2.7%6.6%9.9%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Middlesborough, KY
Kentucky
United States
Median age
41.7
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
7.5%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.9%
17.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Middlesborough, KY
Kentucky
United States
Median household income
$31,354
$63,726
$84,427
Poverty rate
28.8%
16.1%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
15.8%
27.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Middlesborough, KY
Kentucky
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
0.5%
6.8%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
Middlesborough, KY
Kentucky
United States
Catholic
1.5%
7.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
76.4%
31.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
15.3%
50.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Middlesborough, KY
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−18.7%
1896
−50.4%
1900
−47.9%
1904
−51.5%
1908
−49.0%
1912
−5.4%
1916
−40.9%
1920
−49.0%
1924
−40.6%
1928
−43.9%
1932
+7.3%
1936
+12.2%
1940
+8.7%
1944
−2.2%
1948
+13.6%
1952
−10.1%
1956
−20.7%
1960
−13.5%
1964
+24.9%
1968
−7.5%
1972
−33.4%
1976
+2.4%
1980
+7.7%
1984
−13.6%
1988
−5.2%
1992
+10.7%
1996
+11.4%
2000
−7.5%
2004
−22.8%
2008
−40.6%
2012
−51.7%
2016
−62.2%
2020
−63.2%
2024
−68.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
15.2%Harris1,419
83.8%Trump7,831
1.0%
R+68.7
R+5.4
R+67.2
9,340
R
17.8%Biden1,789
81.0%Trump8,140
1.1%
R+63.2
R+1.0
R+67.7
10,044
R
17.7%Clinton1,720
79.9%Trump7,764
2.4%
R+62.2
R+10.5
R+64.3
9,718
R
23.5%Obama2,224
75.2%Romney7,127
1.4%
R+51.7
R+11.1
R+55.6
9,482
R
29.0%Obama2,782
69.6%McCain6,681
1.4%
R+40.6
R+17.8
R+47.9
9,598
R
38.3%Kerry4,210
61.1%Bush6,722
0.6%
R+22.8
R+15.3
R+20.4
11,002
R
45.1%Gore4,787
52.6%Bush5,585
2.3%
R+7.5
R+18.9
R+8.0
10,611
D
50.5%Clinton5,058
39.1%Dole3,917
10.3%
D+11.4
D+0.7
D+2.9
10,008
D
49.6%Clinton5,745
38.9%Bush4,501
11.5%
D+10.7
D+15.9
D+5.2
11,575
R
46.3%Dukakis5,182
51.5%Bush5,759
2.3%
R+5.2
D+8.4
D+2.6
11,193
R
42.4%Mondale5,490
55.9%Reagan7,249
1.7%
R+13.6
R+21.3
D+4.6
12,961
D
52.6%Carter6,362
44.9%Reagan5,433
2.4%
D+7.7
D+5.3
D+17.4
12,088
D
50.4%Carter5,284
48.0%Ford5,035
1.6%
D+2.4
D+35.8
D+0.3
10,483
R
32.6%McGovern3,219
66.1%Nixon6,518
1.3%
R+33.4
R+26.0
R+10.3
9,867
R
40.3%Humphrey4,138
47.7%Nixon4,905
12.0%
R+7.5
R+32.4
R+6.8
10,275
D
62.2%Johnson6,979
37.3%Goldwater4,185
0.6%
D+24.9
D+38.4
D+2.3
11,227
R
43.2%Kennedy5,181
56.8%Nixon6,805
0.0%
R+13.5
D+7.2
R+13.7
11,986
R
39.6%Stevenson4,477
60.3%Eisenhower6,824
0.2%
R+20.7
R+10.7
R+5.3
11,319
R
44.9%Stevenson5,276
54.9%Eisenhower6,461
0.2%
R+10.1
R+23.7
D+0.7
11,761
D
56.4%Truman5,708
42.7%Dewey4,327
0.9%
D+13.6
D+15.8
D+9.2
10,124
R
48.7%Roosevelt4,616
50.9%Dewey4,822
0.4%
R+2.2
R+10.9
R+9.7
9,474
D
54.2%Roosevelt5,910
45.5%Willkie4,962
0.2%
D+8.7
R+3.5
R+1.2
10,899
D
56.0%Roosevelt5,853
43.7%Landon4,573
0.3%
D+12.2
D+4.9
R+12.0
10,461
D
53.3%Roosevelt5,440
46.0%Hoover4,695
0.8%
D+7.3
D+51.2
R+10.5
10,213
R
27.9%Smith2,551
71.8%Hoover6,570
0.3%
R+43.9
R+3.4
R+26.5
9,145
R
27.4%Davis2,166
68.0%Coolidge5,371
4.5%
R+40.6
D+8.4
R+15.4
7,896
R
25.3%Cox2,277
74.2%Harding6,691
0.5%
R+49.0
R+8.1
R+22.8
9,014
R
28.8%Wilson1,373
69.7%Hughes3,321
1.5%
R+40.9
R+35.5
R+44.0
4,767
O
24.4%Wilson970
29.7%Taft1,183
45.9%
Roosevelt +16.1
D+43.6
R+24.9
3,978
R
24.0%Bryan925
73.0%Taft2,815
3.1%
R+49.0
D+2.5
R+39.4
3,858
R
22.6%Parker538
74.1%Roosevelt1,764
3.3%
R+51.5
R+3.6
R+31.8
2,380
R
25.7%Bryan748
73.6%McKinley2,142
0.7%
R+47.9
D+2.5
R+40.3
2,911
R
24.1%Bryan615
74.5%McKinley1,900
1.3%
R+50.4
R+31.8
R+44.3
2,549
R
39.7%Cleveland693
58.3%Harrison1,019
2.0%
R+18.7
—
R+20.3
1,747
Congressional elections · 2 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2022
R
20.2%1,375
79.8%5,420
6,795
2020
R
21.7%2,159
73.9%7,346
9,947
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+29.2
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+68.7
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 39 points more Democratic.
Domestic migration in Middlesborough, KY in Middlesborough, KY: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−15
2012
−383
2013
−271
2014
−149
2015
−407
2016
−112
2017
−266
2018
−316
2019
−398
2021
−41
2022
+63
2023
−126
2024
−37
2025
+43
Middlesborough sits at the Cumberland Gap, a historically isolated mountain community where economic decline in coal has reshaped voting patterns over two decades, producing some of Kentucky's sharpest swings in turnout and party registration.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 68.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.7 points.
A population of 23,509, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $31,354 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gadsden, AL and McAlester, OK.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/33180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky vote in 2024?
In 2024, Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky voted Republican by 68.7 points (R+68.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,340 votes cast, 1,419 went Democratic and 7,831 went Republican.
When did Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky has a population of 23,509 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Median household income in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky is $31,354 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.
What is the political history of Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Middlesborough, KY, Kentucky from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.
