† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupToledo, OHOhioUnited States
German25.9%22.3%12.5%
Irish11.3%12.3%9.4%
English9.4%11.0%9.5%
Polish7.2%3.2%2.2%
American4.6%5.6%5.3%
Italian3.6%5.8%4.8%
French3.2%1.2%1.6%
Hungarian1.3%——
African American†12.3%10.5%9.9%
African1.0%0.6%0.5%
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Mexican5.8%2.0%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%1.2%1.8%
Asian Indian0.5%0.8%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Toledo, OH
Ohio
United States
Median age
38.2
39.8
39.1
Age 18–24
10.4%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.5%
18.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Toledo, OH
Ohio
United States
Median household income
$65,600
$71,389
$84,427
Poverty rate
15.9%
13.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.3%
31.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Toledo, OH
Ohio
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.9%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
2.5%
2.7%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Toledo, OH
Ohio
United States
Catholic
16.3%
15.4%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
13.5%
19.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
55.3%
52.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
8.2%
7.0%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Toledo, OH
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−7.5%
1896
−8.7%
1900
−8.3%
1904
−39.9%
1908
−7.6%
1912
+21.9%
1916
+21.4%
1920
−29.0%
1924
−43.8%
1928
−32.1%
1932
+12.1%
1936
+15.0%
1940
−6.2%
1944
−8.1%
1948
−0.0%
1952
−9.3%
1956
−11.8%
1960
−2.8%
1964
+32.8%
1968
+5.6%
1972
−4.6%
1976
+9.5%
1980
−6.5%
1984
−9.2%
1988
+1.4%
1992
+12.4%
1996
+19.0%
2000
+9.8%
2004
+11.8%
2008
+23.4%
2012
+22.5%
2016
+7.7%
2020
+6.7%
2024
+2.7%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
50.8%Harris142,710
48.2%Trump135,168
0.6%Oliver1,548 +3
D+2.7
R+4.0
D+4.2
280,649
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic50.8%142,710
Donald J TrumpRepublican48.2%135,168
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.6%1,548
Richard DuncanNonpartisan0.2%655
Peter SonskiNonpartisan0.2%461
OtherAll other candidates0.0%107
D
52.5%Biden152,692
45.8%Trump133,251
1.7%
D+6.7
R+1.1
D+2.2
290,990
D
50.1%Clinton144,220
42.3%Trump121,905
7.6%
D+7.7
R+14.8
D+5.7
288,126
D
60.0%Obama178,491
37.4%Romney111,382
2.6%
D+22.5
R+0.9
D+18.7
297,606
D
60.8%Obama187,037
37.4%McCain115,043
1.8%
D+23.4
D+11.6
D+16.1
307,634
D
55.7%Kerry170,340
44.0%Bush134,392
0.3%
D+11.8
D+1.9
D+14.2
305,730
D
53.3%Gore137,836
43.5%Bush112,392
3.2%
D+9.8
R+9.2
D+9.3
258,440
D
54.1%Clinton134,756
35.1%Dole87,341
10.8%
D+19.0
D+6.6
D+10.5
248,997
D
45.9%Clinton126,319
33.5%Bush92,234
20.5%
D+12.4
D+11.0
D+6.8
275,026
D
50.3%Dukakis123,410
48.9%Bush120,031
0.8%
D+1.4
D+10.6
D+9.1
245,456
R
44.9%Mondale117,417
54.1%Reagan141,447
0.9%
R+9.2
R+2.7
D+9.0
261,238
R
41.7%Carter103,452
48.1%Reagan119,487
10.2%
R+6.5
R+15.9
D+3.3
248,218
D
53.6%Carter125,434
44.1%Ford103,291
2.2%
D+9.5
D+14.1
D+7.4
233,987
R
46.5%McGovern107,251
51.1%Nixon117,868
2.4%
R+4.6
R+10.2
D+18.5
230,568
D
47.9%Humphrey105,551
42.4%Nixon93,331
9.7%
D+5.6
R+27.3
D+6.2
220,164
D
66.4%Johnson150,018
33.6%Goldwater75,897
0.0%
D+32.8
D+35.6
D+10.2
225,915
R
48.6%Kennedy116,680
51.4%Nixon123,326
0.0%
R+2.8
D+9.0
R+2.9
240,006
R
44.1%Stevenson99,773
55.9%Eisenhower126,375
0.0%
R+11.8
R+2.4
D+3.6
226,148
R
45.3%Stevenson102,776
54.7%Eisenhower123,950
0.0%
R+9.3
R+9.3
D+1.4
226,726
R
49.4%Truman86,461
49.4%Dewey86,518
1.2%
R+0.03
D+8.1
R+4.5
175,124
R
45.9%Roosevelt86,281
54.1%Dewey101,521
0.0%
R+8.1
R+1.9
R+15.6
187,802
R
46.9%Roosevelt90,189
53.1%Willkie102,056
0.0%
R+6.2
R+21.2
R+16.1
192,245
D
53.0%Roosevelt88,992
37.9%Landon63,721
9.1%
D+15.0
D+2.9
R+9.2
167,981
D
54.4%Roosevelt80,907
42.3%Hoover62,849
3.3%
D+12.1
D+44.2
R+5.6
148,722
R
33.7%Smith51,377
65.8%Hoover100,260
0.5%
R+32.1
D+11.7
R+14.6
152,460
R
13.8%Davis16,572
57.6%Coolidge69,286
28.7%
R+43.8
R+14.8
R+18.6
120,345
R
32.8%Cox37,466
61.8%Harding70,602
5.5%
R+29.0
R+50.4
R+2.8
114,312
D
58.1%Wilson39,082
36.7%Hughes24,678
5.2%
D+21.4
R+0.5
D+18.3
67,271
O
38.1%Wilson20,160
16.2%Taft8,571
45.7%
Roosevelt +7.6
D+29.5
D+2.4
52,899
R
42.5%Bryan23,964
50.0%Taft28,227
7.5%
R+7.6
D+32.3
D+2.0
56,422
R
26.3%Parker13,337
66.2%Roosevelt33,542
7.5%
R+39.9
R+31.6
R+20.2
50,665
R
44.6%Bryan23,404
52.9%McKinley27,738
2.5%
R+8.3
D+0.4
R+0.7
52,437
R
45.1%Bryan22,876
53.8%McKinley27,275
1.1%
R+8.7
R+1.2
R+2.6
50,684
R
44.1%Cleveland16,527
51.6%Harrison19,333
4.2%
R+7.5
—
R+9.2
37,448
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
52.5%145,789
43.1%119,795
277,913
2022
D
54.6%107,295
45.2%88,769
196,597
2018
D
62.3%135,054
37.7%81,782
216,875
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Toledo, OH
Year
Total registered
2016
423,729
2018
431,715
2020
422,439
2022
417,826
2024
371,893
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−693 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −36,235 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Toledo, OH in Toledo, OH: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−3,405
2012
−3,823
2013
−2,577
2014
−3,636
2015
−3,440
2016
−2,453
2017
−3,080
2018
−2,855
2019
−2,300
2021
−3,558
2022
−1,600
2023
−1,371
2024
−1,444
2025
−693
Toledo's Lucas County anchors a metro that has swung between parties in presidential cycles, with manufacturing employment and a substantial Latino community in the city core acting as persistent variables in turnout models.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 43.8 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.7 points.
A population of 602,322, a 72% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,600 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Saginaw, MI and Flint, MI.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toledo, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/45780/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Democratic by 2.7 points (D+2.7), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 280,649 votes cast, 142,710 went Democratic and 135,168 went Republican.
When did Toledo, OH, Ohio last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Toledo, OH, Ohio voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Toledo, OH, Ohio has a population of 602,322 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Toledo, OH, Ohio is $65,600 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Toledo, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Toledo, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 17 went Republican.
