Lucas County, Ohio: Industrial Catholic Metro county. In 2024, voted D+12%. Republican peak: R+43 in 1904.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+12MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Industrial Catholic MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 428,0182024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,2242024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 19.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+38 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+43 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Brunswick County, VA · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lucas CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lucas County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −6.3% |
| 1896 | −9.7% |
| 1900 | −5.2% |
| 1904 | −43.1% |
| 1908 | −6.5% |
| 1912 | +22.3% |
| 1916 | +27.8% |
| 1920 | −24.8% |
| 1924 | −43.1% |
| 1928 | −27.0% |
| 1932 | +14.6% |
| 1936 | +21.3% |
| 1940 | +1.0% |
| 1944 | −0.7% |
| 1948 | +5.1% |
| 1952 | −3.4% |
| 1956 | −6.3% |
| 1960 | +4.1% |
| 1964 | +37.8% |
| 1968 | +12.3% |
| 1972 | +1.0% |
| 1976 | +15.0% |
| 1980 | −0.7% |
| 1984 | −1.5% |
| 1988 | +8.6% |
| 1992 | +18.1% |
| 1996 | +25.7% |
| 2000 | +18.7% |
| 2004 | +20.7% |
| 2008 | +31.4% |
| 2012 | +31.5% |
| 2016 | +17.5% |
| 2020 | +16.8% |
| 2024 | +12.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 106,320 | 82,398 | 192,489 | ||
| D | 115,411 | 81,763 | 200,623 | ||
| D | 110,833 | 75,698 | 200,973 | ||
| D | 136,616 | 69,940 | 211,824 | ||
| D | 142,852 | 73,706 | 220,457 | ||
| D | 132,715 | 87,160 | 220,430 | ||
| D | 108,344 | 73,342 | 187,350 | ||
| D | 104,911 | 58,120 | 181,747 | ||
| D | 99,989 | 63,297 | 203,019 | ||
| D | 99,755 | 83,788 | 185,095 | ||
| R | 97,293 | 100,285 | 199,554 | ||
| R | 85,341 | 86,653 | 191,298 | ||
| D | 103,658 | 76,069 | 183,907 | ||
| D | 90,142 | 88,401 | 182,709 | ||
| D | 91,346 | 69,403 | 178,037 | ||
| D | 128,110 | 57,782 | 185,892 | ||
| D | 102,825 | 94,679 | 197,504 | ||
| R | 88,598 | 100,501 | 189,099 | ||
| R | 91,043 | 97,490 | 188,533 | ||
| D | 74,064 | 66,798 | 142,853 | ||
| R | 76,109 | 77,247 | 153,356 | ||
| D | 77,948 | 76,405 | 154,353 | ||
| D | 74,155 | 45,853 | 132,979 | ||
| D | 64,902 | 47,796 | 117,060 | ||
| R | 44,977 | 78,435 | 124,081 | ||
| R | 11,948 | 53,670 | 96,902 | ||
| R | 30,452 | 52,449 | 88,769 | ||
| D | 30,779 | 16,711 | 50,626 | ||
| O | 13,999 | 5,622 | 37,610 | ||
| R | 16,208 | 18,715 | 38,620 | ||
| R | 8,259 | 22,924 | 34,045 | ||
| R | 15,390 | 17,128 | 33,450 | ||
| R | 13,759 | 16,758 | 30,776 | ||
| R | 9,860 | 11,211 | 21,552 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
22.9%
Irish
11.2%
English
8.5%
Polish
7.5%
American
4.2%
Italian
3.6%
French
3.3%
African American
15.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 38.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$62,224
Lucas County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Lucas County$62,224
Ohio$71,389
United States$80,734
Lucas County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
17.7%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1825.4%
Working age (18–64)15.9%
Seniors (65+)11.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
93.9%
speak English only
Spanish2.5%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Other languages1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.8%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 58.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lucas County anchors northwest Ohio's Democratic vote, driven by Toledo's dense urban core and a legacy of UAW-organized manufacturing. Its 12-point margin stands out in an otherwise competitive region.
Its margins are typically close. The Democratic margin reached thirty-eight points in 1964; the Republican margin reached forty-three points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twelve points.
Its demographics sit near national norms: a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $62,224, and a 18% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Brunswick County and Mora County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lucas County, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/39095/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More industrial catholic metro counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lucas County, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lucas County, Ohio voted Democratic by 12.4 points (D+12), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 192,489 votes cast, 106,320 went Democratic and 82,398 went Republican.
What is Lucas County, Ohio's political typology?
Akashic places Lucas County, Ohio in the "Industrial Catholic Metro" typology — Mid-size industrial metros with Catholic ethnic roots — among the most competitive, swing-prone ground in the country. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 20 times, Republican 13 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lucas County, Ohio last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Lucas County, Ohio voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Lucas County, Ohio?
Lucas County, Ohio has a population of 428,018 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lucas County, Ohio?
Median household income in Lucas County, Ohio is $62,224 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Lucas County, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lucas County, Ohio from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 20 went Democratic and 13 went Republican. The county's typology — "Industrial Catholic Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.