† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWaco, TXTexasUnited States
German13.0%8.3%12.5%
English10.0%7.9%9.5%
Irish8.5%6.0%9.4%
American4.2%4.6%5.3%
Czech2.0%——
Italian1.9%1.9%4.8%
Scottish1.6%1.3%1.3%
French1.6%1.5%1.6%
Mexican23.4%32.1%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.8%1.8%
Spanish0.3%——
Salvadoran0.3%1.2%0.7%
Honduran0.3%0.8%0.3%
Cuban0.2%0.5%0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
African American†12.3%10.3%9.9%
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%0.4%0.2%
Vietnamese0.4%1.0%0.6%
Asian Indian0.3%1.8%1.4%
Chinese0.3%0.8%1.3%
Cambodian0.2%——
Filipino0.2%0.5%0.9%
Korean0.2%0.3%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Waco, TX
Texas
United States
Median age
35.1
35.7
39.1
Age 18–24
13.6%
9.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.2%
13.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Waco, TX
Texas
United States
Median household income
$66,246
$78,476
$84,427
Poverty rate
16.0%
13.8%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.7%
33.6%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Waco, TX
Texas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
19.0%
35.2%
22.3%
Spanish
16.7%
28.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Waco, TX
Texas
United States
Catholic
18.8%
20.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
27.6%
23.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
43.5%
45.2%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.9%
4.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Waco, TX
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+70.6%
1916
+61.8%
1920
+39.4%
1924
+58.1%
1928
+5.2%
1932
+84.4%
1936
+83.1%
1940
+72.0%
1944
+70.6%
1948
+64.3%
1952
+8.6%
1956
+3.8%
1960
+16.5%
1964
+45.5%
1968
+15.1%
1972
−35.2%
1976
+11.5%
1980
−7.6%
1984
−27.3%
1988
−14.5%
1992
−2.1%
1996
−4.0%
2000
−29.7%
2004
−32.6%
2008
−26.0%
2012
−32.1%
2016
−30.4%
2020
−27.4%
2024
−34.6%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
32.1%Harris37,100
66.7%Trump77,095
0.7%Oliver765 +2
R+34.6
R+7.2
R+33.1
115,525
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican66.7%77,095
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic32.1%37,100
Chase OliverLibertarian0.7%765
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%377
OtherAll other candidates0.2%188
R
35.5%Biden40,148
62.9%Trump71,189
1.6%
R+27.4
D+3.0
R+31.9
113,145
R
32.6%Clinton30,025
63.0%Trump58,040
4.5%
R+30.4
D+1.7
R+32.5
92,190
R
33.3%Obama29,094
65.4%Romney57,144
1.3%
R+32.1
R+6.2
R+36.0
87,331
R
36.6%Obama34,020
62.6%McCain58,134
0.8%
R+26.0
D+6.7
R+33.2
92,919
R
33.4%Kerry31,002
66.1%Bush61,281
0.5%
R+32.6
R+3.0
R+30.2
92,742
R
34.2%Gore27,809
63.9%Bush51,939
1.9%
R+29.7
R+25.7
R+30.2
81,274
R
43.6%Clinton32,733
47.6%Dole35,766
8.8%
R+4.0
R+1.9
R+12.6
75,121
R
37.5%Clinton30,837
39.6%Bush32,599
22.9%
R+2.1
D+12.4
R+7.7
82,278
R
42.5%Dukakis33,092
57.1%Bush44,408
0.4%
R+14.5
D+12.8
R+6.8
77,807
R
36.2%Mondale28,086
63.6%Reagan49,288
0.2%
R+27.3
R+19.7
R+9.1
77,547
R
45.2%Carter32,064
52.8%Reagan37,482
2.0%
R+7.6
R+19.2
D+2.1
70,959
D
55.4%Carter37,322
43.8%Ford29,543
0.8%
D+11.5
D+46.8
D+9.5
67,420
R
32.2%McGovern18,786
67.5%Nixon39,341
0.3%
R+35.2
R+50.4
R+12.1
58,318
D
48.3%Humphrey27,195
33.2%Nixon18,680
18.5%
D+15.1
R+30.3
D+15.8
56,259
D
72.7%Johnson35,052
27.2%Goldwater13,132
0.1%
D+45.5
D+28.9
D+22.9
48,218
D
58.1%Kennedy25,351
41.6%Nixon18,138
0.4%
D+16.5
D+12.8
D+16.4
43,646
D
51.7%Stevenson20,525
48.0%Eisenhower19,034
0.3%
D+3.8
R+4.8
D+19.2
39,691
D
54.2%Stevenson22,478
45.6%Eisenhower18,918
0.2%
D+8.6
R+55.8
D+19.3
41,464
D
79.5%Truman21,722
15.1%Dewey4,135
5.4%
D+64.3
R+6.2
D+59.9
27,331
D
80.3%Roosevelt21,029
9.7%Dewey2,549
10.0%
D+70.6
R+1.4
D+63.1
26,185
D
85.9%Roosevelt22,984
13.9%Willkie3,731
0.1%
D+72.0
R+11.1
D+62.0
26,753
D
91.1%Roosevelt18,183
8.0%Landon1,606
0.8%
D+83.1
R+1.3
D+58.8
19,953
D
91.9%Roosevelt19,082
7.5%Hoover1,561
0.6%
D+84.4
D+79.2
D+66.6
20,758
D
52.5%Smith9,049
47.3%Hoover8,147
0.1%
D+5.2
R+52.9
D+22.7
17,220
D
76.9%Davis13,223
18.8%Coolidge3,235
4.2%
D+58.1
D+18.8
D+83.3
17,184
D
59.1%Cox8,409
19.7%Harding2,807
21.2%
D+39.4
R+22.5
D+65.5
14,236
D
78.8%Wilson8,577
17.0%Hughes1,848
4.2%
D+61.8
R+8.8
D+58.7
10,885
D
79.0%Wilson6,709
8.4%Taft712
12.6%
D+70.6
—
D+51.1
8,493
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
33.8%39,126
64.1%74,048
115,596
2020
R
33.0%36,716
64.4%71,560
111,203
2018
R
36.1%31,271
63.2%54,788
86,710
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
Voter registration in Waco, TX
Year
Total registered
2016 (partial)
141,291
2018
160,597
2020
172,546
2022
177,469
2024
183,531
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+716 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,693 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Waco, TX in Waco, TX: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+361
2012
−533
2013
−13
2014
−324
2015
+653
2016
+546
2017
+2,883
2018
+1,419
2019
+1,203
2021
+2,767
2022
+1,708
2023
+2,035
2024
+272
2025
+716
The Waco metro has long leaned conservative in federal contests, but steady in-migration tied to Baylor University and light manufacturing diversification is gradually reshaping its voter age and educational profile.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 35.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.6 points.
A population of 302,045, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,246 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lubbock, TX and San Angelo, TX.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Waco, TX, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/47380/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Waco, TX, Texas voted Republican by 34.6 points (R+34.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 115,525 votes cast, 37,100 went Democratic and 77,095 went Republican.
When did Waco, TX, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Waco, TX, Texas voted Democratic was 1976.
How many people live in Waco, TX, Texas?
Waco, TX, Texas has a population of 302,045 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Waco, TX, Texas?
Median household income in Waco, TX, Texas is $66,246 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Waco, TX, Texas?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Waco, TX, Texas from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.
