Texas
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +49.6% |
| 1908 | +51.6% |
| 1912 | +63.2% |
| 1916 | +59.6% |
| 1920 | +36.6% |
| 1924 | +52.6% |
| 1928 | −3.9% |
| 1932 | +77.0% |
| 1936 | +74.8% |
| 1940 | +62.0% |
| 1944 | +54.8% |
| 1948 | +41.7% |
| 1952 | −6.4% |
| 1956 | −11.3% |
| 1960 | +2.0% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | +1.3% |
| 1972 | −33.0% |
| 1976 | +3.2% |
| 1980 | −13.9% |
| 1984 | −27.5% |
| 1988 | −12.6% |
| 1992 | −3.5% |
| 1996 | −4.9% |
| 2000 | −21.3% |
| 2004 | −22.9% |
| 2008 | −11.8% |
| 2012 | −15.8% |
| 2016 | −9.0% |
| 2020 | −5.6% |
| 2024 | −13.7% |
On the ballot
Not an open seat: Texas has no term limits; incumbent Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is seeking a 4th term and won the GOP primary (~82%). State Rep. Gina Hinojosa won the 9-way Democratic primary outright on March 3 (~59%) - no runoff was needed. Beto O'Rourke, James Talarico, and Colin Allred did NOT run for governor. Pat Dixon is the Libertarian nominee.
Incumbent John Cornyn (R) LOST renomination to Ken Paxton (May 26 runoff, Paxton 63.8%). Talarico (D) beat Crockett 52.4% (NOT Allred/Crockett). Cornyn NOT on ballot.
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 13 · R 25 | 40.4% | 58.4% | 10,673,912 | |
| D 13 · R 25 | 38.7% | 58.8% | 7,751,761 | |
| D 13 · R 23 | 44.1% | 53.4% | 11,093,626 | |
| D 13 · R 23 | 47.0% | 50.4% | 8,202,708 |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
† Some years predate full county coverage; a flagged year sums only the counties reporting it.
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 (partial) | 14,382,387 |
| 2018 (partial) | 15,615,925 |
| 2020 | 16,955,519 |
| 2022 | 17,672,143 |
| 2024 | 18,623,931 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+67,299 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,877,765 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +120,672 |
| 2012 | +141,740 |
| 2013 | +107,657 |
| 2014 | +160,260 |
| 2015 | +172,048 |
| 2016 | +120,910 |
| 2017 | +84,790 |
| 2018 | +83,795 |
| 2019 | +125,660 |
| 2021 | +199,360 |
| 2022 | +218,840 |
| 2023 | +188,667 |
| 2024 | +86,067 |
| 2025 | +67,299 |
Starr County voted Democratic by 73 points in 2012 and Republican by 16 in 2024 — a flip of nearly ninety points across twelve years.
- Republican, and widening
- R+5.6 (2020) → R+13.7 (2024) — an 8.1-pt shift toward Trump · MIT Election Lab
- The metros held Democratic
- Travis D+39.3 (bluest in Texas), Dallas D+22.2, El Paso D+15.1, Bexar D+9.7, Harris D+5.5 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Starr County flipped
- D+73.3 (2012) → D+60.2 (2016) → D+5.0 (2020) → R+16.0 (2024), after a century Democratic · MIT Election Lab
- The Rio Grande Valley swung right
- Hidalgo D+41.7→R+2.9, Webb D+53.9→R+2.2, Cameron D+31.1→R+5.8, Maverick D+58.1→R+18.5 (2012→2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Hispanic or Latino
- 39.7% of residents (32.1% Mexican origin); Starr County 97.2% · ACS 2024 5-year (B03002)
- A language other than English
- 2nd of 50 states; 28.2% speak Spanish at home · ACS 2024 5-year
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/TX/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.