† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
1 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupWillmar, MNMinnesotaUnited States
German31.6%29.2%12.5%
Norwegian17.6%12.1%—
Swedish8.8%6.5%—
Irish6.2%9.9%9.4%
English5.6%6.6%9.5%
Dutch4.3%——
American3.9%2.3%5.3%
Polish1.7%3.7%2.2%
Mexican8.3%3.9%11.3%
Honduran2.1%—0.3%
Guatemalan1.5%0.2%0.5%
Nicaraguan0.9%——
Ecuadorian0.4%0.2%—
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
African American†2.0%3.8%9.9%
Somali1.5%1.1%—
African0.9%0.5%0.5%
Kenyan0.6%0.2%—
Burmese0.7%0.2%—
Korean0.2%0.2%0.4%
Thai0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Willmar, MN
Minnesota
United States
Median age
40
39
39.1
Age 18–24
8.1%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
20.7%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Willmar, MN
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$76,592
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
9.1%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.9%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Willmar, MN
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
14.3%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
9.4%
4.2%
13.6%
Other languages
3.2%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Willmar, MN
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
13.5%
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
17.8%
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
32.6%
50.6%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
34.1%
13.5%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Willmar, MN
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−36.1%
1896
−14.0%
1900
−31.3%
1904
−73.3%
1908
−37.6%
1912
+11.2%
1916
+9.2%
1920
−46.5%
1924
−37.4%
1928
−38.7%
1932
+35.3%
1936
+43.0%
1940
+25.3%
1944
+26.1%
1948
+30.5%
1952
−0.8%
1956
+11.3%
1960
−0.4%
1964
+38.7%
1968
+19.1%
1972
+4.3%
1976
+19.4%
1980
−2.4%
1984
−6.3%
1988
+1.8%
1992
+5.7%
1996
+10.2%
2000
−9.4%
2004
−11.1%
2008
−5.5%
2012
−6.7%
2016
−25.3%
2020
−25.7%
2024
−30.9%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
33.6%Harris7,814
64.5%Trump15,013
0.7%Kennedy174 +7
R+30.9
R+5.3
R+29.4
23,282
All 10 candidates in 2024 · 8 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican64.5%15,013
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic33.6%7,814
Robert F KennedyIndependent0.7%174
Chase OliverLibertarian0.4%96
OtherAll other candidates0.3%70
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%63
Cornel WestIndependent0.1%22
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.1%19
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%10
Rachele FruitIndependent0.0%1
R
36.1%Biden8,440
61.8%Trump14,437
2.1%
R+25.7
R+0.3
R+30.1
23,367
R
33.4%Clinton7,266
58.7%Trump12,785
7.9%
R+25.3
R+18.7
R+27.4
21,772
R
45.7%Obama9,805
52.4%Romney11,240
2.0%
R+6.7
R+1.2
R+10.5
21,465
R
46.2%Obama10,125
51.7%McCain11,319
2.1%
R+5.5
D+5.6
R+12.7
21,895
R
43.7%Kerry9,337
54.8%Bush11,704
1.4%
R+11.1
R+1.7
R+8.6
21,349
R
42.6%Gore8,220
52.0%Bush10,026
5.4%
R+9.4
R+19.6
R+9.9
19,285
D
48.6%Clinton9,009
38.4%Dole7,119
13.0%
D+10.2
D+4.4
D+1.7
18,532
D
40.3%Clinton7,914
34.5%Bush6,784
25.2%
D+5.7
D+3.9
D+0.2
19,656
D
50.2%Dukakis8,962
48.3%Bush8,634
1.5%
D+1.8
D+8.1
D+9.6
17,862
R
46.4%Mondale8,402
52.7%Reagan9,539
0.9%
R+6.3
R+3.8
D+11.9
18,104
R
44.4%Carter8,038
46.9%Reagan8,480
8.7%
R+2.4
R+21.9
D+7.3
18,095
D
58.3%Carter9,992
38.9%Ford6,664
2.8%
D+19.4
D+15.2
D+17.4
17,130
D
50.0%McGovern7,241
45.7%Nixon6,624
4.3%
D+4.3
R+14.8
D+27.4
14,481
D
57.0%Humphrey7,639
38.0%Nixon5,086
5.0%
D+19.1
R+19.7
D+19.7
13,400
D
69.2%Johnson9,108
30.5%Goldwater4,011
0.3%
D+38.7
D+39.1
D+16.2
13,156
R
49.7%Kennedy6,738
50.0%Nixon6,786
0.3%
R+0.4
R+11.6
R+0.5
13,567
D
55.5%Stevenson6,834
44.3%Eisenhower5,445
0.2%
D+11.3
D+12.1
D+26.7
12,305
R
49.1%Stevenson6,264
50.0%Eisenhower6,370
0.9%
R+0.8
R+31.3
D+9.9
12,747
D
62.1%Truman7,204
31.6%Dewey3,666
6.2%
D+30.5
D+4.5
D+26.0
11,593
D
62.6%Roosevelt6,482
36.5%Dewey3,784
0.8%
D+26.1
D+0.7
D+18.6
10,353
D
62.3%Roosevelt7,187
36.9%Willkie4,263
0.8%
D+25.3
R+17.7
D+15.4
11,540
D
69.2%Roosevelt6,595
26.2%Landon2,500
4.5%
D+43.0
D+7.7
D+18.7
9,524
D
65.3%Roosevelt5,813
30.0%Hoover2,674
4.7%
D+35.3
D+74.0
D+17.5
8,901
R
29.1%Smith2,481
67.8%Hoover5,780
3.1%
R+38.7
R+1.3
R+21.2
8,522
O
2.8%Davis222
40.2%Coolidge3,222
57.1%
La Follette +16.9
D+9.1
R+12.2
8,022
R
17.2%Cox1,282
63.7%Harding4,759
19.2%
R+46.5
R+55.8
R+20.3
7,474
D
51.1%Wilson1,968
41.8%Hughes1,612
7.1%
D+9.2
R+1.9
D+6.1
3,855
O
25.8%Wilson855
14.6%Taft484
59.6%
Roosevelt +33.9
D+48.7
R+8.4
3,318
R
26.1%Bryan947
63.6%Taft2,312
10.3%
R+37.6
D+35.8
R+28.0
3,634
R
7.9%Parker252
81.3%Roosevelt2,576
10.8%
R+73.3
R+42.0
R+53.6
3,170
R
33.0%Bryan1,204
64.3%McKinley2,343
2.6%
R+31.3
R+17.3
R+23.7
3,643
R
42.2%Bryan1,638
56.3%McKinley2,181
1.5%
R+14.0
D+22.1
R+7.9
3,877
R
14.8%Cleveland391
50.9%Harrison1,341
34.2%
R+36.1
—
R+37.7
2,633
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
41.5%9,522
55.8%12,797
22,920
2020
R
35.3%8,117
58.2%13,388
22,984
2018
D
50.2%9,378
46.0%8,596
18,669
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Willmar, MN
Year
Total registered
2016
25,223
2018
24,798
2020
26,818
2022
26,391
2024
27,688
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
−446 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,916 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Domestic migration in Willmar, MN in Willmar, MN: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−313
2012
−92
2013
−251
2014
−415
2015
−295
2016
−414
2017
−344
2018
−268
2019
−100
2021
−70
2022
−321
2023
−266
2024
−321
2025
−446
Willmar's rapid Latino population growth—driven by food-processing jobs—has made this west-central Minnesota hub a closely watched bellwether for how demographic shifts translate into changing margins in historically Scandinavian-rooted farm country.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 44,079, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Owatonna, MN and Alexandria, MN.
Akashic
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Willmar, MN, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/48820/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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In 2024, Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Republican by 30.9 points (R+30.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,282 votes cast, 7,814 went Democratic and 15,013 went Republican.
When did Willmar, MN, Minnesota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Willmar, MN, Minnesota voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Willmar, MN, Minnesota has a population of 44,079 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Median household income in Willmar, MN, Minnesota is $76,592 — below the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Willmar, MN, Minnesota?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Willmar, MN, Minnesota from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.
