- Lead
- 7,199
- Total
- 23,282
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Turnout
- 74.8%
Kandiyohi County, MN
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 74.8% of 31,325 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 5,997
- Total
- 23,367
- vs nation
- R+30.1
- Turnout
- 76.5%
- Lead
- 5,519
- Total
- 21,772
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Turnout
- 71.5%
- Lead
- 1,435
- Total
- 21,465
- vs nation
- R+10.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,194
- Total
- 21,895
- vs nation
- R+12.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,367
- Total
- 21,349
- vs nation
- R+8.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,806
- Total
- 19,285
- vs nation
- R+9.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,890
- Total
- 18,532
- vs nation
- D+1.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+30.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 44,0792024 5-year
- Population density
- 55 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 797 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,5922024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.0 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.3 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Grant County, MN · twin score 87.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 74.8%23,437 participants ÷ 31,325 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +17.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 57.4%–61.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23,437 | 31,325 ± 483 | 74.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 18,334 | 31,073 ± 392 | 59.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 23,510 | 30,745 ± 405 | 76.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 18,850 | 30,381 ± 311 | 62.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 21,991 | 30,769 ± 309 | 71.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 21,465 | 31,041 | 69.2% | Derived | — | |
| 21,895 | 30,182 | 72.5% | Derived | — | |
| 21,349 | 29,323 extrapolated | 72.8% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Kandiyohi County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Kandiyohi County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Show all 7 candidates
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 94 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
94 precincts · 23,283 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NEW LONDON TWPNEW LONDON TWP | 650 | 1,369 | 27 | 2,046 | 31.8% | 66.9% | R+35.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -DOVRE TWPDOVRE TWP | 470 | 965 | 27 | 1,462 | 32.1% | 66.0% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -GREEN LAKE TWPGREEN LAKE TWP | 346 | 754 | 23 | 1,123 | 30.8% | 67.1% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-3WILLMAR W-2 P-3 | 362 | 579 | 14 | 955 | 37.9% | 60.6% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-1WILLMAR W-3 P-1 | 445 | 484 | 25 | 954 | 46.6% | 50.7% | R+4.1 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-2WILLMAR W-2 P-2 | 384 | 543 | 14 | 941 | 40.8% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-3WILLMAR W-4 P-3 | 354 | 443 | 20 | 817 | 43.3% | 54.2% | R+10.9 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-1WILLMAR W-1 P-1 | 314 | 467 | 14 | 795 | 39.5% | 58.7% | R+19.2 |
| Precinct -LAKE ANDREW TWPLAKE ANDREW TWP | 293 | 490 | 11 | 794 | 36.9% | 61.7% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -NEW LONDONNEW LONDON | 337 | 445 | 10 | 792 | 42.6% | 56.2% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-3WILLMAR W-1 P-3 | 321 | 422 | 19 | 762 | 42.1% | 55.4% | R+13.3 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-2 P-1WILLMAR W-2 P-1 | 295 | 433 | 15 | 743 | 39.7% | 58.3% | R+18.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-1WILLMAR W-4 P-1 | 318 | 355 | 26 | 699 | 45.5% | 50.8% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -SPICERSPICER | 233 | 431 | 18 | 682 | 34.2% | 63.2% | R+29.0 |
| Precinct -IRVING TWPIRVING TWP | 212 | 431 | 9 | 652 | 32.5% | 66.1% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-3WILLMAR W-3 P-3 | 263 | 297 | 17 | 577 | 45.6% | 51.5% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -ATWATERATWATER | 171 | 385 | 15 | 571 | 29.9% | 67.4% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-1 P-2WILLMAR W-1 P-2 | 203 | 317 | 7 | 527 | 38.5% | 60.2% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-4 P-2WILLMAR W-4 P-2 | 210 | 275 | 15 | 500 | 42.0% | 55.0% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -RAYMONDRAYMOND | 122 | 298 | 4 | 424 | 28.8% | 70.3% | R+41.5 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR W-3 P-2WILLMAR W-3 P-2 | 169 | 240 | 12 | 421 | 40.1% | 57.0% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -HARRISON TWPHARRISON TWP | 115 | 288 | 8 | 411 | 28.0% | 70.1% | R+42.1 |
| Precinct -COLFAX TWPCOLFAX TWP | 127 | 262 | 4 | 393 | 32.3% | 66.7% | R+34.4 |
| Precinct -KANDIYOHI TWPKANDIYOHI TWP | 104 | 276 | 4 | 384 | 27.1% | 71.9% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -ROSEVILLE TWPROSEVILLE TWP | 66 | 306 | 7 | 379 | 17.4% | 80.7% | R+63.3 |
| Precinct -BURBANK TWPBURBANK TWP | 66 | 279 | 4 | 349 | 18.9% | 79.9% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -PRINSBURGPRINSBURG | 10 | 332 | 3 | 345 | 2.9% | 96.2% | R+93.3 |
| Precinct -WHITEFIELD TWPWHITEFIELD TWP | 59 | 264 | 4 | 327 | 18.0% | 80.7% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -KANDIYOHIKANDIYOHI | 67 | 229 | 9 | 305 | 22.0% | 75.1% | R+53.1 |
| Precinct -WILLMAR TWPWILLMAR TWP | 82 | 211 | 4 | 297 | 27.6% | 71.0% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -GENNESSEE TWPGENNESSEE TWP | 67 | 203 | 10 | 280 | 23.9% | 72.5% | R+48.6 |
| Precinct -FAHLUN TWPFAHLUN TWP | 70 | 177 | 3 | 250 | 28.0% | 70.8% | R+42.8 |
| Precinct -PENNOCKPENNOCK | 58 | 172 | 6 | 236 | 24.6% | 72.9% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -MAMRE TWPMAMRE TWP | 28 | 199 | 6 | 233 | 12.0% | 85.4% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -ARCTANDER TWPARCTANDER TWP | 67 | 155 | 8 | 230 | 29.1% | 67.4% | R+38.3 |
| Precinct -ST JOHNS TWPST JOHNS TWP | 40 | 179 | 2 | 221 | 18.1% | 81.0% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -HOLLAND TWPHOLLAND TWP | 25 | 193 | 0 | 218 | 11.5% | 88.5% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -ROSELAND TWPROSELAND TWP | 42 | 165 | 2 | 209 | 20.1% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -NORWAY LAKE TWPNORWAY LAKE TWP | 58 | 138 | 5 | 201 | 28.9% | 68.7% | R+39.8 |
| Precinct -EDWARDS TWPEDWARDS TWP | 15 | 132 | 3 | 150 | 10.0% | 88.0% | R+78.0 |
| Precinct -LAKE ELIZABETH TWPLAKE ELIZABETH TWP | 32 | 88 | 5 | 125 | 25.6% | 70.4% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -LAKE LILLIANLAKE LILLIAN | 39 | 81 | 4 | 124 | 31.5% | 65.3% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -LAKE LILLIAN TWPLAKE LILLIAN TWP | 35 | 76 | 2 | 113 | 31.0% | 67.3% | R+36.3 |
| Precinct -EAST LAKE LILLIAN TWPEAST LAKE LILLIAN TWP | 35 | 61 | 5 | 101 | 34.7% | 60.4% | R+25.7 |
| Precinct -BLOMKESTBLOMKEST | 20 | 62 | 2 | 84 | 23.8% | 73.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -SUNBURGSUNBURG | 10 | 41 | 2 | 53 | 18.9% | 77.4% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -REGALREGAL | 5 | 22 | 1 | 28 | 17.9% | 78.6% | R+60.7 |
| Arctander Twp. Voting District27_270670005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Atwater Voting District27_270670010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blomkest Voting District27_270670015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Burbank Twp. Voting District27_270670020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Colfax Twp. Voting District27_270670025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dovre Twp. Voting District27_270670030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| East Lake Lillian Twp. Voting District27_270670035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Edwards Twp. Voting District27_270670040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fahlun Twp. Voting District27_270670045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Gennessee Twp. Voting District27_270670050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Green Lake Twp. Voting District27_270670055 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Harrison Twp. Voting District27_270670060 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Holland Twp. Voting District27_270670065 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Irving Twp. Voting District27_270670070 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kandiyohi Twp. Voting District27_270670080 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Kandiyohi Voting District27_270670075 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Andrew Twp. Voting District27_270670085 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Elizabeth Twp. Voting District27_270670090 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Lillian Twp. Voting District27_270670100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lake Lillian Voting District27_270670095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Mamre Twp. Voting District27_270670105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London Twp. Voting District27_270670115 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| New London Voting District27_270670110 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Norway Lake Twp. Voting District27_270670120 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Pennock Voting District27_270670125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Prinsburg Voting District27_270670130 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raymond Voting District27_270670135 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Regal Voting District27_270670140 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseland Twp. Voting District27_270670145 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Roseville Twp. Voting District27_270670150 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Spicer Voting District27_270670160 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| St. Johns Twp. Voting District27_270670155 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Sunburg Voting District27_270670165 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Whitefield Twp. Voting District27_270670170 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar Twp. Voting District27_270670235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-127_270670175 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-227_270670180 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-1 P-327_270670185 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-127_270670190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-227_270670195 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-2 P-327_270670200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-127_270670205 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-227_270670210 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-3 P-327_270670215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-127_270670220 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-227_270670225 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Willmar W-4 P-327_270670230 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Kandiyohi County, MN · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
69.2%
6,595 votes · D+43.0
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 69.2%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
81.3%
2,576 votes · R+73.3
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 67.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
10,125votes
46.2% of the vote · R+5.5
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 9,992 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
15,013votes
64.5% of the vote · R+30.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 14,437 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+27.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.3 · U.S. R+23.2
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1956 · +26.7 pts
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
+53.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+73.3 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · Benjamin Harrison, 1892 · +37.7 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Kandiyohi County, MN. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 31.4%7,089 | 68.6%15,519 | 22,608 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 25,223 |
| 2018 | 24,798 |
| 2020 | 26,818 |
| 2022 | 26,391 |
| 2024 | 27,688 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−446 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −3,916 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $59,666 in average income, against $84,505 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+18.2 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than Kandiyohi County, MN itself (R+30.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Stearns County, MN103R+26.7
- Hennepin County, MN49D+42.4
- Meeker County, MN47R+42.7
- Chippewa County, MN42R+34.0
- Renville County, MN42R+41.3
- Swift County, MN38R+34.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Hennepin County, MN123
- Stearns County, MN107
- Chippewa County, MN40
- Meeker County, MN40
- Renville County, MN38
- Dakota County, MN34
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −313 |
| 2012 | −92 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −415 |
| 2015 | −295 |
| 2016 | −414 |
| 2017 | −344 |
| 2018 | −268 |
| 2019 | −100 |
| 2021 | −70 |
| 2022 | −321 |
| 2023 | −266 |
| 2024 | −321 |
| 2025 | −446 |
Kandiyohi County, anchored by Willmar and its meatpacking industry, has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, posting a 30.9-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 despite a notably diverse immigrant workforce in its largest city.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 73.3 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 30.9 points.
A population of 44,079, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,592 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Douglas County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Kandiyohi County, Minnesota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/27067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.