- Lead
- 80,418
- Total
- 238,740
- vs nation
- D+35.2
California 29th Congressional District
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 139,949
- Total
- 278,353
- vs nation
- D+45.8
- Lead
- 129,930
- Total
- 218,888
- vs nation
- D+57.3
- Lead
- 106,959
- Total
- 200,911
- vs nation
- D+49.4
- Lead
- 109,007
- Total
- 208,088
- vs nation
- D+45.1
- Lead
- 76,535
- Total
- 186,631
- vs nation
- D+43.5
- Lead
- 73,272
- Total
- 167,190
- vs nation
- D+43.3
- Lead
- 60,404
- Total
- 149,921
- vs nation
- D+31.8
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+33.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 756,4872024 5-year
- Population density
- 8,879 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 85.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $77,8582024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 62.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+59.4 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 44, CA · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
California 29th Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
76.7%
167,996 votes · D+59.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 75.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
62.2%
25,109 votes · R+26.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 61.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
206,083votes
74.0% of the vote · D+50.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · 167,996 votes
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
76,608votes
46.8% of the vote · D+2.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 75,483 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Hillary Clinton2016
+57.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+59.4 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +49.4 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+25.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +11.4 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
On the ballot
Democrat Luz Rivas holds the seat and is contesting it.
Primary held June 2, 2026. Akashic does not yet carry the nominees for this contest.
How the seat has run
| Year | U.S. House | President | Ran ahead |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D+39.6Luz Maria Rivas | D+33.7 | — |
| 2022 | D+100.0Tony Cárdenas | — | — |
| 2020 | D+100.0Tony Cardenas | D+50.3 | — |
| 2018 | D+61.2Tony Cardenas | — | — |
“Ran ahead” is how far the winning party’s House candidate ran ahead of that party’s presidential margin in the same district. A dash means the House race and the presidential figure were measured on different district lines, so the two cannot be subtracted — both are still shown unchanged.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
CA-29 anchors the eastern San Fernando Valley, where a heavily Latino electorate and dense working-class neighborhoods have produced presidential margins exceeding 30 points for Democrats across successive election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 59.4 points in 2016 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 16.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.7 points.
A population of 756,487, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $77,858 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 44 and Congressional District 43.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
California 29th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0629/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.