congressional districtMinnesota 4th Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+20.9
2008D+27.4
2012D+27.2
2016D+31.2
2020D+37.5
2024D+35.5
net swing · 2004→2024D+14.6D+20.9 → D+35.5
vs. U.S. · 2024D+37.0D+35.5 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 74.0% of 511,381 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
251,495
117,085
10,022
378,602
511,381
74.0%
2020
268,900
119,665
9,281
397,846
503,697†
79.0%
2016
221,276
108,507
32,175
361,958
484,351†
74.7%
2012
230,348
129,863
8,846
369,057
463,968†
79.5%
2008
227,285
127,911
6,987
362,183
454,718†
79.7%
2004
210,487
136,876
4,418
351,781
445,468†
79.0%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMN-4MinnesotaUnited States
German24.5%29.2%12.5%
Irish11.4%9.9%9.4%
Norwegian8.9%12.1%—
Swedish6.7%6.5%—
English6.7%6.6%9.5%
Polish3.5%3.7%2.2%
Italian3.0%—4.8%
French2.8%1.8%1.6%
Hmong7.6%1.7%—
Burmese1.7%0.2%—
Chinese0.8%0.5%1.3%
Asian Indian0.7%0.8%1.4%
Vietnamese0.7%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.5%0.2%0.4%
Filipino0.4%0.2%0.9%
Cambodian0.3%——
African American†6.4%3.8%9.9%
Ethiopian1.5%0.5%—
Somali1.3%1.1%—
African0.8%0.5%0.5%
Nigerian0.4%0.2%0.2%
Kenyan0.3%0.2%—
Jamaican0.2%—0.4%
Mexican4.7%3.9%11.3%
Salvadoran0.5%0.2%0.7%
Puerto Rican0.3%0.3%1.8%
Cuban0.2%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.2%0.2%0.5%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Colombian0.2%—0.4%
Ecuadorian0.2%0.2%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MN-4
Minnesota
United States
Median age
37.2
39
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
8.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.9%
17.2%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MN-4
Minnesota
United States
Median household income
$89,186
$89,062
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.8%
9.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
46.2%
39.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MN-4
Minnesota
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
21.5%
12.5%
22.3%
Spanish
5.2%
4.2%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.1%
0.8%
2.0%
Other Asian & Pacific Island
8.2%
2.3%
1.1%
Other languages
3.7%
2.6%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
MN-4
Minnesota
United States
Catholic
—
19.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
11.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
50.6%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Minnesota 4th Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+20.9%
2008
+27.4%
2012
+27.2%
2016
+31.2%
2020
+37.5%
2024
+35.5%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
4
D
67.3%242,802
32.6%117,618
361,043
2022
4
D
67.6%200,055
32.3%95,493
295,973
2020
4
D
63.2%245,813
29.0%112,730
389,114
2018
4
D
66.0%216,865
29.7%97,747
328,614
2016
4
D
57.8%203,299
34.4%121,033
351,945
2014
4
D
61.2%147,857
32.9%79,492
241,637
2012
4
D
62.3%216,685
31.5%109,659
347,991
2010
4
D
59.1%136,746
34.6%80,141
231,426
2008
4
D
68.4%216,267
31.3%98,936
316,018
2006
4
D
69.5%172,096
30.2%74,797
247,466
2004
4
D
57.5%182,387
33.2%105,467
317,299
2002
4
D
62.2%164,597
33.9%89,705
264,540
2000
4
D
48.0%130,403
30.9%83,852
271,439
1998
4
D
53.7%128,726
39.8%95,388
239,746
1996
4
D
57.0%145,831
36.8%94,110
255,759
1994
4
D
54.9%115,638
41.9%88,344
210,630
1992
4
D
57.5%159,796
36.6%101,744
277,956
1990
4
D
64.7%143,353
35.1%77,639
221,396
1988
4
D
72.4%181,227
26.8%67,073
250,327
1986
4
D
72.9%112,662
27.1%41,926
154,635
1984
4
D
73.5%167,678
25.2%57,450
228,071
1982
4
D
73.2%153,494
26.8%56,248
209,742
1980
4
D
58.5%119,182
40.5%82,537
203,712
1978
4
D
58.0%95,989
42.0%69,396
165,385
1976
4
D
66.4%133,282
29.8%59,767
200,599
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
70.1%258,237
26.3%96,885
368,526
2020
D
48.8%1,566,522
43.5%1,398,145
3,211,995
2018
D
60.3%1,566,174
36.2%940,437
2,595,948
2014
D
53.2%1,053,205
42.9%850,227
1,980,647
2012
D
65.3%1,854,595
30.6%867,974
2,840,625
2008
D
42.0%1,212,629
42.0%1,212,317
2,885,281
2006
D
58.1%1,278,849
38.0%835,653
2,201,818
2002
R
47.9%1,078,627
49.6%1,116,697
2,252,836
2000
D
48.8%1,181,553
43.3%1,047,474
2,419,516
1996
D
50.3%1,098,430
41.3%901,194
2,181,775
1994
R
44.2%781,860
49.1%869,653
1,770,315
1990
D
50.5%911,999
47.9%864,375
1,806,194
1988
R
40.9%856,694
56.2%1,176,210
2,093,538
1984
R
41.3%852,844
58.1%1,199,926
2,066,143
1982
R
46.6%840,401
52.6%949,207
1,804,675
1978
R
40.4%638,375
56.6%894,092
1,580,550
1976
D
67.5%1,290,736
25.0%478,602
1,912,020
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Anchored by St. Paul and its inner suburbs, Minnesota's 4th posted a 35-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a dense, diverse electorate that has favored Democratic candidates by wide margins for decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.5 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.5 points.
A population of 713,326, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,186 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 5 and Congressional District 2.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Minnesota 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2704/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Minnesota 4th Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Minnesota 4th Congressional District voted Democratic by 35.5 points (D+35.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 378,602 votes cast, 251,495 went Democratic and 117,085 went Republican.
How many people live in Minnesota 4th Congressional District?
Minnesota 4th Congressional District has a population of 713,326 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Minnesota 4th Congressional District?
Median household income in Minnesota 4th Congressional District is $89,186 — above the national median of $80,734. The Minnesota state median is $89,062.
What is the political history of Minnesota 4th Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Minnesota 4th Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
