congressional districtPennsylvania 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+40.2
2008D+47.9
2012D+55.7
2016D+49.2
2020D+42.7
2024D+35.6
net swing · 2004→2024R+4.6D+40.2 → D+35.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+37.1D+35.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 57.7% of 510,557 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
197,735
92,843
4,240
294,818
510,557
57.7%
2020
220,848
88,026
2,279
311,153
509,752†
61.0%
2016
218,735
72,194
6,630
297,559
500,738†
59.4%
2012
218,373
61,284
2,246
281,903
490,038†
57.5%
2008
221,705
77,296
2,777
301,778
483,069†
62.5%
2004
201,650
85,867
339
287,856
476,101†
60.5%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPA-2PennsylvaniaUnited States
Irish11.7%14.8%9.4%
German8.6%21.6%12.5%
Italian8.2%10.6%4.8%
English4.0%8.3%9.5%
Polish3.7%5.4%2.2%
American2.8%4.4%5.3%
Russian1.5%——
Ukrainian1.2%——
African American†22.6%8.7%9.9%
African0.7%0.4%0.5%
Haitian0.5%0.2%0.3%
Jamaican0.5%0.3%0.4%
Nigerian0.3%—0.2%
Liberian0.2%——
Puerto Rican12.7%3.7%1.8%
Dominican3.8%1.4%0.7%
Mexican2.2%1.4%11.3%
Guatemalan1.0%0.2%0.5%
Colombian0.8%0.2%0.4%
Honduran0.6%—0.3%
Cuban0.5%0.2%0.7%
Salvadoran0.3%—0.7%
Chinese3.3%0.9%1.3%
Asian Indian1.8%1.2%1.4%
Vietnamese1.3%0.3%0.6%
Cambodian0.6%——
Filipino0.5%0.2%0.9%
Korean0.5%0.2%0.4%
Pakistani0.2%——
Indonesian0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
PA-2
Pennsylvania
United States
Median age
36.3
41.2
39.1
Age 18–24
9.9%
8.9%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.7%
19.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
PA-2
Pennsylvania
United States
Median household income
$60,334
$77,971
$84,427
Poverty rate
22.1%
11.7%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
35.4%
35.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
PA-2
Pennsylvania
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
24.4%
12.4%
22.3%
Spanish
10.9%
5.6%
13.6%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic
1.6%
0.8%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
2.4%
1.7%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.5%
0.8%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
PA-2
Pennsylvania
United States
Catholic
—
21.9%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
9.3%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+40.2%
2008
+47.9%
2012
+55.7%
2016
+49.2%
2020
+42.7%
2024
+35.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
D
71.5%193,691
28.5%77,355
271,046
2022
2
D
75.7%141,229
24.3%45,454
186,683
2020
2
D
72.5%198,140
27.5%75,022
273,162
2018
2
D
79.0%159,600
21.0%42,382
201,982
2016
2
D
90.2%322,514
9.8%35,131
357,645
2014
2
D
87.7%181,141
12.3%25,397
206,538
2012
2
D
89.3%318,176
9.4%33,381
356,386
2010
2
D
89.3%182,800
10.7%21,907
204,707
2008
2
D
88.9%276,870
11.1%34,466
311,336
2006
2
D
88.6%165,867
9.2%17,291
187,283
2004
2
D
88.0%253,226
12.0%34,411
287,637
2002
2
D
87.8%150,623
12.2%20,988
171,611
2000
2
D
98.0%180,021
0.0%0
183,694
1998
2
D
86.5%102,763
13.5%16,001
118,764
1996
2
D
88.0%168,887
12.0%23,047
191,937
1994
2
D
85.9%120,553
14.1%19,824
140,377
1992
2
D
76.8%164,355
22.4%47,906
213,927
1990
2
D
92.1%94,584
7.9%8,118
102,702
1988
2
D
93.7%184,322
6.3%12,365
196,687
1986
2
D
98.4%128,399
0.0%0
130,495
1984
2
D
91.0%200,484
8.3%18,224
220,295
1982
2
D
76.1%120,744
0.0%0
158,675
1980
2
D
96.4%127,106
0.0%0
131,828
1978
2
D
82.0%132,594
15.9%25,785
161,759
1976
2
D
73.5%109,855
25.4%37,907
149,369
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
68.0%186,222
29.2%80,106
274,045
2022
D
51.2%2,751,012
46.3%2,487,260
5,368,021
2018
D
55.6%2,777,680
42.7%2,134,848
4,994,643
2016
R
47.3%2,865,012
48.8%2,951,702
6,051,856
2012
D
53.7%3,021,364
44.6%2,509,132
5,627,422
2010
R
49.0%1,948,716
51.0%2,028,945
3,977,661
2006
D
58.7%2,392,984
41.3%1,684,778
4,077,762
2004
R
42.0%2,334,126
52.6%2,925,080
5,558,525
2000
R
45.5%2,154,908
52.4%2,481,962
4,735,116
1998
R
34.8%1,028,839
61.3%1,814,180
2,957,499
1994
R
46.9%1,648,481
49.4%1,735,691
3,513,112
1992
R
46.3%2,224,966
49.1%2,358,125
4,802,410
1988
R
32.4%1,416,764
66.5%2,901,715
4,366,598
1986
R
42.9%1,448,219
56.4%1,906,537
3,378,226
1982
R
39.2%1,412,965
59.3%2,136,418
3,604,108
1980
R
48.0%2,122,391
50.5%2,230,404
4,418,042
1976
R
46.8%2,126,977
52.4%2,381,891
4,546,353
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Robert Casey · Democrat68.0%186,222
Dave McCormick · Republican29.2%80,106
Leila L Hazou · Green1.5%4,029
John C Thomas · Libertarian1.1%3,063
Bernard Selker · Constitution0.2%625
Anchored in Philadelphia's inner suburbs and dense residential corridors, PA-02 posted a 33.5-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it among the least competitive congressional districts in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.6 points.
A population of 764,755, a 37% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,334 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 7 and Congressional District 8.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/4202/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic by 35.6 points (D+35.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 294,818 votes cast, 197,735 went Democratic and 92,843 went Republican.
How many people live in Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District?
Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District has a population of 764,755 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District is $60,334 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Pennsylvania 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
