congressional districtVirginia 2nd Congressional District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+19.3
2008R+2.3
2012R+3.4
2016R+5.5
2020D+2.0
2024R+0.3
net swing · 2004→2024D+19.1R+19.3 → R+0.3
vs. U.S. · 2024D+1.2R+0.3 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 69.8% of 593,175 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
203,141
204,255
6,550
413,946
593,175
69.8%
2020
202,057
193,830
8,170
404,057
572,537†
70.6%
2016
159,072
178,913
21,184
359,169
560,937†
64.0%
2012
166,373
178,381
4,901
349,655
538,919†
64.9%
2008
168,256
176,197
3,283
347,736
526,581†
66.0%
2004
119,406
177,179
1,998
298,583
514,243†
58.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
District by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupVA-2VirginiaUnited States
English12.6%12.0%9.5%
German10.4%10.1%12.5%
Irish10.2%9.1%9.4%
American9.2%8.4%5.3%
Italian4.8%3.9%4.8%
Scottish2.1%1.9%1.3%
Polish2.0%1.6%2.2%
French1.8%1.3%1.6%
African American†19.6%15.6%9.9%
African1.5%0.9%0.5%
Jamaican0.4%0.3%0.4%
Haitian0.3%—0.3%
Nigerian0.2%0.2%0.2%
Mexican2.4%2.4%11.3%
Puerto Rican2.0%1.4%1.8%
Spaniard0.3%——
Cuban0.3%—0.7%
Honduran0.3%0.7%0.3%
Peruvian0.2%0.5%—
Colombian0.2%0.3%0.4%
Venezuelan0.2%——
Filipino3.0%0.9%0.9%
Asian Indian0.6%1.8%1.4%
Chinese0.4%0.8%1.3%
Vietnamese0.4%0.7%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.8%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
VA-2
Virginia
United States
Median age
39.1
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.4%
16.7%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
VA-2
Virginia
United States
Median household income
$93,757
$93,170
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.5%
10.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
37.4%
42.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
VA-2
Virginia
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
10.1%
17.5%
22.3%
Spanish
4.2%
7.9%
13.6%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
1.7%
0.6%
0.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
VA-2
Virginia
United States
Catholic
—
10.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
19.9%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
54.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Virginia 2nd Congressional District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−19.3%
2008
−2.3%
2012
−3.4%
2016
−5.5%
2020
+2.0%
2024
−0.3%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
Congressional elections · 25 House races · 17 Senate races
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
District
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
2
R
46.9%191,666
50.7%207,368
408,702
2022
2
R
48.2%143,219
51.6%153,328
296,996
2020
2
D
51.6%185,733
45.8%165,031
360,277
2018
2
D
51.1%139,571
48.8%133,458
273,400
2016
2
R
38.5%119,440
61.3%190,475
310,567
2014
2
R
41.1%71,178
58.7%101,558
173,060
2012
2
R
46.1%142,548
53.8%166,231
309,222
2010
2
R
42.5%70,591
53.1%88,340
166,289
2008
2
D
52.4%141,857
47.5%128,486
270,711
2006
2
R
48.5%83,901
51.3%88,777
173,159
2004
2
R
44.8%108,180
55.1%132,946
241,380
2002
2
R
0.0%0
83.1%103,807
124,846
2000
2
R
48.0%90,328
52.0%97,856
188,329
1998
2
D
94.3%67,975
0.0%0
72,091
1996
2
D
64.8%106,215
35.1%57,586
163,996
1994
2
D
59.0%81,372
40.9%56,375
137,802
1992
2
D
56.0%99,253
43.9%77,797
177,133
1990
2
D
75.0%55,179
0.0%0
73,618
1988
2
D
60.5%106,666
35.5%62,564
176,208
1986
2
D
49.5%54,491
41.9%46,137
110,169
1984
2
R
0.0%0
99.8%136,632
136,888
1982
2
R
0.0%0
99.9%78,108
78,205
1980
2
R
0.0%0
89.8%97,319
108,328
1978
2
R
0.0%0
100.0%63,512
63,530
1976
2
R
34.3%41,464
65.7%79,381
120,847
U.S. Senate
The statewide Senate race, counted in this district — aggregated from the precinct-level returns that fall inside its boundaries (not a statewide figure).
Votes · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL) precinct returns (CC BY 4.0); aggregated to the district over VEST precinct geometry (CC BY-NC 4.0).
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
51.1%201,541
48.8%192,169
394,150
2020
D
56.0%2,466,500
44.0%1,934,199
4,400,699
2018
D
57.1%1,910,370
41.1%1,374,313
3,346,248
2014
D
49.2%1,073,667
48.4%1,055,940
2,182,709
2012
D
53.0%2,010,067
47.0%1,785,542
3,795,609
2008
D
65.1%2,369,327
33.8%1,228,830
3,640,116
2006
D
49.6%1,175,606
49.3%1,166,277
2,367,985
2002
R
0.0%0
83.0%1,229,894
1,481,051
2000
R
47.7%1,296,093
52.3%1,420,460
2,716,553
1996
R
47.5%1,115,982
52.5%1,235,744
2,351,726
1994
D
45.6%938,376
42.9%882,213
2,056,026
1990
R
0.0%0
81.7%876,782
1,073,537
1988
D
71.3%1,474,086
28.7%593,652
2,067,738
1984
R
29.9%601,142
70.0%1,406,194
2,007,487
1982
R
48.8%690,839
51.2%724,571
1,415,410
1978
R
49.8%608,511
50.2%613,232
1,221,743
1976
O
38.3%596,009
0.0%0
1,557,346
2024 U.S. Senate — every candidate counted in this district
Tim Kaine · Democrat51.1%201,541
Hung Cao · Republican48.8%192,169
Write-In0.1%440
Anchored by Virginia Beach and the Hampton Roads naval corridor, VA-02 blends a large active-duty and veteran population with growing suburban diversity, producing presidential margins that have flipped within single digits across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 2.0 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 19.3 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.3 points.
A population of 785,472, a 59% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $93,757 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 10 and Congressional District 1.
Akashic
Political twins — districts
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
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Virginia 2nd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/5102/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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How did Virginia 2nd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Virginia 2nd Congressional District voted a near-tie (R+0.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 413,946 votes cast, 203,141 went Democratic and 204,255 went Republican.
When did Virginia 2nd Congressional District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Virginia 2nd Congressional District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Virginia 2nd Congressional District?
Virginia 2nd Congressional District has a population of 785,472 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Virginia 2nd Congressional District?
Median household income in Virginia 2nd Congressional District is $93,757 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Virginia 2nd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Virginia 2nd Congressional District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.