Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic25.0%565TrumpRepublican73.7%1,667OtherAll other candidates1.4%31
R+48.7
Lead
1,102
Total
2,263
vs nation
R+47.2
BidenDemocratic23.3%509TrumpRepublican75.0%1,639OtherAll other candidates1.7%38
R+51.7
Lead
1,130
Total
2,186
vs nation
R+56.1
ClintonDemocratic21.6%410TrumpRepublican74.8%1,420OtherAll other candidates3.6%69
R+53.2
Lead
1,010
Total
1,899
vs nation
R+55.3
ObamaDemocratic26.5%479RomneyRepublican72.0%1,301OtherAll other candidates1.4%26
R+45.5
Lead
822
Total
1,806
vs nation
R+49.4
ObamaDemocratic27.4%498McCainRepublican70.9%1,290OtherAll other candidates1.8%32
R+43.5
Lead
792
Total
1,820
vs nation
R+50.8
KerryDemocratic23.0%360BushRepublican76.9%1,205OtherAll other candidates<0.1%1
R+54.0
Lead
845
Total
1,566
vs nation
R+51.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+48.7MIT Election Lab
Population
4,5302024 5-year
Population density
1,258 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$54,0832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.2%2024 5-year
Black
4.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
23.4%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+54.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
69.9%2,271 participants ÷ 3,250 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+19.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-3.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
49.0%–50.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
43.9%
44.9%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,271
3,250 ± 460
69.9%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,468
3,267 ± 480
44.9%
Audited
E/D
2,191
3,384 ± 327
64.7%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
1,400
3,186 ± 301
43.9%
Audited
E/A
1,899
2,885 ± 295
65.8%
Audited
E/D
1,806
2,665
67.8%
Derived
—
1,820
2,586
70.4%
Derived
—
1,566
2,507 extrapolated
62.5%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
China Grove, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
27.4%
498 votes · R+43.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 26.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
76.9%
1,205 votes · R+54.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 75.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
565votes
25.0% of the vote · R+48.7
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 509 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,667votes
73.7% of the vote · R+48.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,639 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−47.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+48.7 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −49.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+56.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +55.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
China Grove · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Rowan County, North Carolina, the county containing China Grove — China Grove’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in China Grove, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
China Grove sits in Rowan County's manufacturing corridor, where decades of textile-industry contraction have reshaped its voter base. Its modest population makes precinct-level swings disproportionately legible in county-wide totals.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 54.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.7 points.
A population of 4,530, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,083 describe the city.
In 2024, China Grove, North Carolina voted Republican by 48.7 points (R+48.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,263 votes cast, 565 went Democratic and 1,667 went Republican.
How many people live in China Grove, North Carolina?
China Grove, North Carolina has a population of 4,530 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in China Grove, North Carolina?
Median household income in China Grove, North Carolina is $54,083 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of China Grove, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in China Grove, North Carolina from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
