Mandan, North Dakota
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −28.2% |
| 2008 | −14.8% |
| 2012 | −24.1% |
| 2016 | −45.4% |
| 2020 | −42.5% |
| 2024 | −46.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 25.1%Harris3,047 | 72.0%Trump8,736 | 2.9% | R+46.9 | R+4.3 | R+45.4 | 12,140 | |
| R | 27.0%Biden3,132 | 69.5%Trump8,069 | 3.5% | R+42.5 | D+2.8 | R+47.0 | 11,606 | |
| R | 22.2%Clinton2,481 | 67.6%Trump7,543 | 10.2% | R+45.4 | R+21.3 | R+47.4 | 11,162 | |
| R | 36.1%Obama3,504 | 60.2%Romney5,837 | 3.7% | R+24.1 | R+9.2 | R+27.9 | 9,697 | |
| R | 41.2%Obama3,903 | 56.0%McCain5,309 | 2.9% | R+14.8 | D+13.4 | R+22.1 | 9,483 | |
| R | 34.7%Kerry3,119 | 62.9%Bush5,659 | 2.4% | R+28.2 | — | R+25.8 | 8,996 |
Mandan sits across the river from the state capital, making it part of a consolidated metro that votes among the most reliably Republican in the northern plains, with presidential margins routinely exceeding 40 points.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 46.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 46.9 points.
A population of 24,522, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,780 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dickinson and Huron.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Mandan, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3849900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.