Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic72.9%2,256TrumpRepublican24.7%764OtherAll other candidates2.4%74
D+48.2
Lead
1,492
Total
3,094
vs nation
D+49.7
BidenDemocratic71.3%1,968TrumpRepublican26.5%732OtherAll other candidates2.1%59
D+44.8
Lead
1,236
Total
2,759
vs nation
D+40.3
ClintonDemocratic62.3%1,394TrumpRepublican29.9%669OtherAll other candidates7.8%174
D+32.4
Lead
725
Total
2,237
vs nation
D+30.3
ObamaDemocratic56.0%1,160RomneyRepublican42.4%877OtherAll other candidates1.6%33
D+13.7
Lead
283
Total
2,070
vs nation
D+9.8
ObamaDemocratic61.5%1,075McCainRepublican37.4%653OtherAll other candidates1.1%20
D+24.1
Lead
422
Total
1,748
vs nation
D+16.9
KerryDemocratic53.7%796BushRepublican45.3%672OtherAll other candidates1.0%15
D+8.4
Lead
124
Total
1,483
vs nation
D+10.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+48.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,6652024 5-year
Population density
2,028 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2.3 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$127,5522024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
69.5%2024 5-year
Black
9.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+48.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2016–20245 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
82.3%3,088 participants ÷ 3,754 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+18.8 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
-5.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
63.5%–68.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%100%
71.3%
63.4%
20162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
3,088
3,754 ± 407
82.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
2,176
3,430 ± 436
63.4%
Audited
E/D
2,787
3,389 ± 411
82.2%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,119
2,972 ± 490
71.3%
Audited
E/D
2,258
2,841 ± 473
79.5%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
presidential history
Party record book
Pantops, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
72.9%
2,256 votes · D+48.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 71.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
45.3%
672 votes · D+8.4
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 42.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,256votes
72.9% of the vote · D+48.2
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,968 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
877votes
42.4% of the vote · D+13.7
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 764 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+49.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.2 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +40.3 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
−9.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+13.7 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · −10.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Pantops · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Albemarle County, Virginia, the county containing Pantops — Pantops’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Pantops, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Pantops sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.4 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 48.2 points.
A population of 4,665, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $127,552 describe the city.
In 2024, Pantops, Virginia voted Democratic by 48.2 points (D+48.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,094 votes cast, 2,256 went Democratic and 764 went Republican.
How many people live in Pantops, Virginia?
Pantops, Virginia has a population of 4,665 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pantops, Virginia?
Median household income in Pantops, Virginia is $127,552 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Pantops, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Pantops, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
