Baldwin County, Georgia: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+2%. Democratic peak: D+89 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+2MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 43,6422024 5-year
- Median household income
- $54,4032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 41.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+89 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Sumter County, GA · similarity 0.92
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +55.8% |
| 1896 | +10.9% |
| 1900 | +68.9% |
| 1904 | +79.2% |
| 1908 | +30.9% |
| 1912 | +86.3% |
| 1916 | +74.9% |
| 1920 | +71.5% |
| 1924 | +73.1% |
| 1928 | +45.0% |
| 1932 | +88.5% |
| 1936 | +75.4% |
| 1940 | +73.0% |
| 1944 | +62.0% |
| 1948 | +27.4% |
| 1952 | +38.8% |
| 1956 | +35.6% |
| 1960 | +28.3% |
| 1964 | −11.2% |
| 1968 | −2.9% |
| 1972 | −54.2% |
| 1976 | +12.8% |
| 1980 | +8.8% |
| 1984 | −19.5% |
| 1988 | −18.6% |
| 1992 | +13.2% |
| 1996 | +10.4% |
| 2000 | −1.2% |
| 2004 | −6.4% |
| 2008 | +4.6% |
| 2012 | +5.5% |
| 2016 | +1.7% |
| 2020 | +1.3% |
| 2024 | −2.2% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 9,159 | 9,574 | 18,891 | ||
| D | 9,140 | 8,903 | 18,251 | ||
| D | 7,970 | 7,697 | 16,116 | ||
| D | 8,483 | 7,589 | 16,270 | ||
| D | 8,587 | 7,823 | 16,537 | ||
| R | 6,775 | 7,709 | 14,575 | ||
| R | 5,893 | 6,041 | 12,126 | ||
| D | 5,740 | 4,570 | 11,205 | ||
| D | 5,813 | 4,262 | 11,788 | ||
| R | 4,008 | 5,852 | 9,911 | ||
| R | 3,853 | 5,717 | 9,570 | ||
| D | 4,368 | 3,639 | 8,326 | ||
| D | 4,674 | 3,612 | 8,286 | ||
| R | 1,435 | 4,826 | 6,261 | ||
| O | 2,109 | 2,318 | 7,111 | ||
| R | 2,740 | 3,430 | 6,170 | ||
| D | 2,262 | 1,264 | 3,526 | ||
| D | 2,275 | 1,080 | 3,355 | ||
| D | 2,318 | 1,023 | 3,341 | ||
| D | 1,132 | 559 | 2,095 | ||
| D | 1,307 | 307 | 1,614 | ||
| D | 1,313 | 203 | 1,520 | ||
| D | 811 | 113 | 926 | ||
| D | 801 | 45 | 854 | ||
| D | 712 | 270 | 982 | ||
| D | 826 | 107 | 984 | ||
| D | 554 | 92 | 646 | ||
| D | 579 | 65 | 686 | ||
| D | 621 | 24 | 692 | ||
| D | 417 | 201 | 700 | ||
| D | 494 | 15 | 605 | ||
| D | 500 | 76 | 615 | ||
| D | 516 | 410 | 974 | ||
| D | 541 | 120 | 755 | ||
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Demographics
Baldwin County, home to Georgia's state prison system and Georgia College & State University, shifted from a double-digit Democratic margin in 2020 to R+2.2 in 2024 — one of the state's more striking realignment stories in a midsize county.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-nine points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was two points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $54,403 and a 22% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Sumter County and Caddo Parish.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Baldwin County, Georgia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/13009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
