Box Butte County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
8 precincts · 4,931 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -RURAL HEMINGFORD 015RURAL HEMINGFORD 015 | 109 | 650 | 8 | 767 | 14.2% | 84.7% | R+70.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 005ALLIANCE 005 | 175 | 581 | 7 | 763 | 22.9% | 76.1% | R+53.2 |
| Precinct -RURAL ALLIANCE 011RURAL ALLIANCE 011 | 78 | 609 | 10 | 697 | 11.2% | 87.4% | R+76.2 |
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 006ALLIANCE 006 | 158 | 494 | 7 | 659 | 24.0% | 75.0% | R+51.0 |
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 004ALLIANCE 004 | 121 | 424 | 7 | 552 | 21.9% | 76.8% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 001ALLIANCE 001 | 152 | 380 | 8 | 540 | 28.1% | 70.4% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 002ALLIANCE 002 | 134 | 377 | 7 | 518 | 25.9% | 72.8% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -ALLIANCE 003ALLIANCE 003 | 116 | 312 | 7 | 435 | 26.7% | 71.7% | R+45.1 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −16.2% |
| 1896 | +9.3% |
| 1900 | −17.3% |
| 1904 | −45.1% |
| 1908 | +6.3% |
| 1912 | +22.7% |
| 1916 | +20.6% |
| 1920 | −34.9% |
| 1924 | −19.5% |
| 1928 | −41.8% |
| 1932 | +20.2% |
| 1936 | +25.5% |
| 1940 | −14.5% |
| 1944 | −26.6% |
| 1948 | −7.5% |
| 1952 | −56.3% |
| 1956 | −37.4% |
| 1960 | −25.2% |
| 1964 | −16.1% |
| 1968 | −41.5% |
| 1972 | −56.3% |
| 1976 | −31.4% |
| 1980 | −48.9% |
| 1984 | −46.0% |
| 1988 | −13.6% |
| 1992 | −4.6% |
| 1996 | −13.6% |
| 2000 | −31.3% |
| 2004 | −33.8% |
| 2008 | −21.0% |
| 2012 | −25.0% |
| 2016 | −53.9% |
| 2020 | −56.8% |
| 2024 | −56.4% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.4 points more Democratic.
6,825 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−164 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,195 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,306 in average income, against $70,425 for residents who stayed — 33% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.2 on average — 9.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Box Butte County, NE itself (R+56.4).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Scotts Bluff County, NE25R+47.5
- Dawes County, NE24R+46.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Scotts Bluff County, NE37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +1 |
| 2012 | −38 |
| 2013 | −32 |
| 2014 | −40 |
| 2015 | −53 |
| 2016 | −189 |
| 2017 | −368 |
| 2018 | −117 |
| 2019 | +23 |
| 2021 | −165 |
| 2022 | +12 |
| 2023 | −11 |
| 2024 | −54 |
| 2025 | −164 |
Box Butte's sparse population and agricultural economy—centered on cattle and limited-irrigation farming—have produced some of Nebraska's most consistent Republican margins, topping 56 points in the 2024 presidential race.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 56.8 points in 2020. The 2024 margin was 56.4 points.
A population of 10,714, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,892 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Carbon County and Dixon County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Box Butte County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.