Buffalo County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 23,759 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -04 GOOD SHEPHERD LUTHERAN04 GOOD SHEPHERD LUTHERAN | 347 | 1,068 | 13 | 1,428 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -05 EXHIBIT BLDG @ FAIRGROUNDS05 EXHIBIT BLDG @ FAIRGROUNDS | 370 | 854 | 24 | 1,248 | 29.6% | 68.4% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -03 1ST UNITED METHODIST CHURCH03 1ST UNITED METHODIST CHURCH | 406 | 820 | 14 | 1,240 | 32.7% | 66.1% | R+33.4 |
| Precinct -13 PETERSON SR. CENTER13 PETERSON SR. CENTER | 351 | 797 | 19 | 1,167 | 30.1% | 68.3% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -01 NORTHSIDE COMMUNITY CHURCH01 NORTHSIDE COMMUNITY CHURCH | 314 | 751 | 12 | 1,077 | 29.2% | 69.7% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -06 FIRST BAPTIST CHURCH06 FIRST BAPTIST CHURCH | 337 | 711 | 10 | 1,058 | 31.9% | 67.2% | R+35.3 |
| Precinct -02 1ST PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH02 1ST PRESBYTERIAN CHURCH | 325 | 706 | 12 | 1,043 | 31.2% | 67.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -08 ST JAMES CATHOLIC CHURCH08 ST JAMES CATHOLIC CHURCH | 377 | 584 | 19 | 980 | 38.5% | 59.6% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct -22 FAITH UNITED CHURCH22 FAITH UNITED CHURCH | 197 | 766 | 7 | 970 | 20.3% | 79.0% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -09 1ST LUTHERAN CHURCH09 1ST LUTHERAN CHURCH | 309 | 648 | 12 | 969 | 31.9% | 66.9% | R+35.0 |
| Precinct -29 EXTENSION BLDG EXHIBIT HALL29 EXTENSION BLDG EXHIBIT HALL | 219 | 737 | 11 | 967 | 22.6% | 76.2% | R+53.6 |
| Precinct -17 CITY AUDITORIUM-RURAL17 CITY AUDITORIUM-RURAL | 188 | 752 | 20 | 960 | 19.6% | 78.3% | R+58.8 |
| Precinct -14 AMERICAN LEGION-BINGO HALL14 AMERICAN LEGION-BINGO HALL | 264 | 651 | 16 | 931 | 28.4% | 69.9% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -10 EXHIBIT BLDG @ FAIRGROUNDS10 EXHIBIT BLDG @ FAIRGROUNDS | 303 | 602 | 15 | 920 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -23 AMERICAN LEGION-BINGO HALL23 AMERICAN LEGION-BINGO HALL | 322 | 568 | 13 | 903 | 35.7% | 62.9% | R+27.2 |
| Precinct -20 PRINCE OF PEACE20 PRINCE OF PEACE | 112 | 681 | 5 | 798 | 14.0% | 85.3% | R+71.3 |
| Precinct -12 ACTIVITY CENTER-HARMON PRK12 ACTIVITY CENTER-HARMON PRK | 283 | 453 | 14 | 750 | 37.7% | 60.4% | R+22.7 |
| Precinct -28 RIVERDALE COM CENTER28 RIVERDALE COM CENTER | 130 | 596 | 2 | 728 | 17.9% | 81.9% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -27 CORNERSTONE BEREAN CHURCH27 CORNERSTONE BEREAN CHURCH | 174 | 513 | 7 | 694 | 25.1% | 73.9% | R+48.8 |
| Precinct -11 MEADOWLARK MANOR11 MEADOWLARK MANOR | 238 | 418 | 8 | 664 | 35.8% | 63.0% | R+27.1 |
| Precinct -25 ELM CREEK VILLAGE CENTER25 ELM CREEK VILLAGE CENTER | 95 | 538 | 15 | 648 | 14.7% | 83.0% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -24 SHELTON MUNICIPAL BLDG24 SHELTON MUNICIPAL BLDG | 151 | 473 | 9 | 633 | 23.9% | 74.7% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -07 ACTIVITY CENTER-HARMON PARK07 ACTIVITY CENTER-HARMON PARK | 220 | 398 | 8 | 626 | 35.1% | 63.6% | R+28.4 |
| Precinct -16 PLEASANTON COM. CENTER16 PLEASANTON COM. CENTER | 98 | 521 | 3 | 622 | 15.8% | 83.8% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -19 AMHERST COM. CENTER19 AMHERST COM. CENTER | 70 | 521 | 8 | 599 | 11.7% | 87.0% | R+75.3 |
| Precinct -26 SPIRIT OF LIFE CHURCH26 SPIRIT OF LIFE CHURCH | 97 | 360 | 2 | 459 | 21.1% | 78.4% | R+57.3 |
| Precinct -21 COLONY ACRES COMM RM21 COLONY ACRES COMM RM | 58 | 305 | 4 | 367 | 15.8% | 83.1% | R+67.3 |
| Precinct -15 MILLER COM. HALL15 MILLER COM. HALL | 31 | 272 | 7 | 310 | 10.0% | 87.7% | R+77.7 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −34.1% |
| 1896 | +13.7% |
| 1900 | +3.4% |
| 1904 | −44.3% |
| 1908 | −0.1% |
| 1912 | +20.8% |
| 1916 | +12.5% |
| 1920 | −35.7% |
| 1924 | −27.5% |
| 1928 | −45.1% |
| 1932 | +21.2% |
| 1936 | +12.8% |
| 1940 | −22.3% |
| 1944 | −22.4% |
| 1948 | −13.4% |
| 1952 | −54.4% |
| 1956 | −40.6% |
| 1960 | −32.2% |
| 1964 | +0.1% |
| 1968 | −37.6% |
| 1972 | −48.4% |
| 1976 | −29.6% |
| 1980 | −46.4% |
| 1984 | −56.9% |
| 1988 | −35.6% |
| 1992 | −33.9% |
| 1996 | −36.1% |
| 2000 | −48.6% |
| 2004 | −54.4% |
| 2008 | −37.5% |
| 2012 | −42.2% |
| 2016 | −46.4% |
| 2020 | −43.4% |
| 2024 | −44.7% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 0.5 points.
31,119 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−103 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −307 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,770 in average income, against $92,377 for residents who stayed — 45% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+38.5 on average — 6.2 points more Democratic-leaning than Buffalo County, NE itself (R+44.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Dawson County, NE96R+49.4
- Lancaster County, NE90D+4.3
- Hall County, NE83R+37.6
- Kearney County, NE69R+57.9
- Lincoln County, NE58R+55.0
- Adams County, NE50R+41.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lancaster County, NE138
- Douglas County, NE100
- Kearney County, NE91
- Hall County, NE86
- Dawson County, NE55
- Phelps County, NE48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +248 |
| 2012 | +312 |
| 2013 | −87 |
| 2014 | −323 |
| 2015 | −28 |
| 2016 | +91 |
| 2017 | −165 |
| 2018 | −314 |
| 2019 | +8 |
| 2021 | −91 |
| 2022 | +56 |
| 2023 | −67 |
| 2024 | +156 |
| 2025 | −103 |
Buffalo County, anchored by Kearney along the Platte River, has delivered Republican presidential margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting the heavily Republican tilt of Nebraska's rural interior despite hosting a regional university and retail hub.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 21.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 56.9 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.7 points.
A population of 50,579, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $75,911 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Adams County and Meade County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Buffalo County, Nebraska. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/31019/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.