Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFrontier CountyNebraskaUnited States
German34.6%31.0%12.5%
Irish13.4%11.7%9.4%
English10.8%9.4%9.5%
American7.4%3.5%5.3%
Danish4.2%——
Scottish2.4%—1.3%
Swedish2.4%3.1%—
Czech2.1%3.4%—
Mexican4.0%8.7%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Frontier County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
43.7
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
10.7%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
26.2%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Frontier County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$70,132
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.4%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
25.7%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Frontier County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.6%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
2.0%
8.5%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Frontier County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
1.8%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
13.7%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
43.3%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
41.1%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Frontier County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 1,410 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Frontier County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
13.1%Harris185
85.8%Trump1,213
0.5%Oliver7 +3
R+72.8
R+0.8
R+71.3
1,413
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican85.8%1,213
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic13.1%185
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.5%7
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.3%4
OtherAll other candidates0.2%3
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.1%1
R
13.1%Biden189
85.0%Trump1,229
1.5%Jorgensen22
R+71.9
R+0.5
R+76.4
1,446
R
12.1%Clinton161
83.6%Trump1,110
2.7%Johnson36
R+71.5
R+15.1
R+73.6
1,328
R
20.8%Obama271
77.2%Romney1,007
1.1%Gray15
R+56.4
R+7.6
R+60.3
1,305
R
24.9%Obama349
73.6%McCain1,034
1.5%
R+48.8
D+11.5
R+56.1
1,404
R
18.7%Kerry275
79.1%Bush1,160
2.2%
R+60.3
D+1.3
R+57.9
1,467
R
17.5%Gore244
79.1%Bush1,102
1.9%Nader27
R+61.6
R+19.0
R+62.1
1,393
R
22.4%Clinton310
65.0%Dole901
12.2%Perot169
R+42.6
R+11.9
R+51.1
1,387
R
19.2%Clinton302
50.0%Bush785
30.5%Perot479
R+30.7
D+15.4
R+36.3
1,571
R
26.3%Dukakis384
72.4%Bush1,057
1.2%
R+46.1
D+21.5
R+38.4
1,459
R
16.0%Mondale258
83.5%Reagan1,351
0.5%
R+67.6
R+3.6
R+49.4
1,617
R
15.3%Carter259
79.3%Reagan1,346
5.5%
R+64.0
R+39.2
R+54.3
1,698
R
36.0%Carter588
60.8%Ford994
3.2%
R+24.8
D+35.6
R+26.9
1,635
R
19.8%McGovern324
80.2%Nixon1,315
0.0%
R+60.5
R+10.7
R+37.3
1,639
R
20.5%Humphrey345
70.2%Nixon1,183
9.3%
R+49.7
R+36.8
R+49.0
1,685
R
43.6%Johnson841
56.4%Goldwater1,090
0.0%
R+12.9
D+34.1
R+35.5
1,931
R
26.5%Kennedy582
73.5%Nixon1,615
0.0%
R+47.0
R+3.7
R+47.2
2,197
R
28.4%Stevenson634
71.6%Eisenhower1,602
0.0%
R+43.3
D+10.9
R+27.9
2,236
R
22.9%Stevenson589
77.1%Eisenhower1,980
0.0%
R+54.1
R+32.7
R+43.4
2,569
R
39.3%Truman846
60.7%Dewey1,307
0.0%
R+21.4
D+20.6
R+25.9
2,153
R
29.0%Roosevelt758
71.0%Dewey1,855
0.0%
R+42.0
R+9.8
R+49.5
2,613
R
33.9%Roosevelt1,062
66.1%Willkie2,069
0.0%
R+32.2
R+40.9
R+42.1
3,131
D
53.7%Roosevelt1,883
44.9%Landon1,576
1.4%
D+8.7
R+14.5
R+15.5
3,509
D
60.9%Roosevelt2,188
37.6%Hoover1,353
1.5%
D+23.2
D+68.0
D+5.4
3,595
R
27.0%Smith879
71.8%Hoover2,335
1.2%
R+44.7
R+13.4
R+27.3
3,254
R
20.9%Davis599
52.3%Coolidge1,497
26.0%La Follette745
R+31.4
D+10.6
R+6.2
2,864
R
26.2%Cox673
68.1%Harding1,750
5.7%
R+41.9
R+62.3
R+15.7
2,570
D
57.6%Wilson1,138
37.3%Hughes736
5.1%
D+20.4
R+1.2
D+17.2
1,974
O
39.0%Wilson657
17.4%Taft293
43.7%
Roosevelt +4.7
D+33.8
D+2.0
1,686
R
41.2%Bryan847
53.5%Taft1,098
5.3%
R+12.2
D+37.6
R+2.7
2,054
R
11.8%Parker190
61.6%Roosevelt993
26.6%
R+49.8
R+43.1
R+30.2
1,611
R
45.3%Bryan810
52.0%McKinley930
2.8%
R+6.7
R+20.6
D+0.8
1,790
D
56.4%Bryan1,026
42.5%McKinley773
1.0%
D+13.9
D+49.5
D+20.0
1,818
O
4.9%Cleveland85
40.4%Harrison706
54.7%
Weaver +14.3
—
R+37.2
1,747
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
17.8%494
82.2%2,286
2,780
2020
R
9.3%129
85.4%1,183
1,385
2018
R
16.6%173
79.9%831
1,040
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+68.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+72.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 4.0 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+23 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −88 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,159 in average income, against $63,222 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+55.0 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Frontier County, NE itself (R+72.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Lincoln County, NE26R+55.0
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Frontier County, NE in Frontier County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−61
2012
+9
2013
−8
2014
−1
2015
−98
2016
+5
2017
−31
2018
−29
2019
+17
2021
+55
2022
+84
2023
−11
2024
−42
2025
+23
Frontier County's sparse ranching landscape anchors a voter pool that has delivered some of the widest presidential margins in the state, with fewer than 1,500 ballots typically cast in a general election.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 23.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 72.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.8 points.
A population of 2,569, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,132 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hitchcock County and Dundy County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Frontier County, Nebraska voted Republican by 72.8 points (R+72.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,413 votes cast, 185 went Democratic and 1,213 went Republican.
When did Frontier County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Frontier County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Frontier County, Nebraska?
Frontier County, Nebraska has a population of 2,569 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Frontier County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Frontier County, Nebraska is $70,132 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Frontier County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Frontier County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.
