Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupKeya Paha CountyNebraskaUnited States
German42.7%31.0%12.5%
Irish10.9%11.7%9.4%
English7.7%9.4%9.5%
Scottish5.6%—1.3%
Swedish4.5%3.1%—
American3.3%3.5%5.3%
Dutch2.2%——
Czech2.2%3.4%—
Mexican4.6%8.7%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Keya Paha County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
48.5
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.0%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
25.2%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Keya Paha County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$64,000
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.2%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
20.6%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Keya Paha County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.4%
12.8%
22.3%
Spanish
3.7%
8.5%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.3%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Keya Paha County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
—
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
51.0%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
32.1%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
16.9%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Keya Paha County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
3 precincts · 544 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Keya Paha County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -GARFIELDGARFIELD
12
173
0
185
6.5%
93.5%
R+87.0
Precinct -CUSTERCUSTER
21
163
0
184
11.4%
88.6%
R+77.2
Precinct -MILLSMILLS
11
164
0
175
6.3%
93.7%
R+87.4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−18.5%
1896
+18.2%
1900
−3.5%
1904
−48.7%
1908
−8.1%
1912
−4.7%
1916
+10.7%
1920
−35.3%
1924
−20.8%
1928
−61.0%
1932
−2.2%
1936
−19.7%
1940
−33.3%
1944
−40.1%
1948
−15.1%
1952
−58.1%
1956
−41.4%
1960
−45.7%
1964
−22.5%
1968
−61.2%
1972
−58.8%
1976
−24.0%
1980
−57.6%
1984
−59.7%
1988
−50.6%
1992
−41.7%
1996
−54.5%
2000
−67.1%
2004
−62.7%
2008
−55.2%
2012
−64.7%
2016
−80.9%
2020
−80.6%
2024
−83.7%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
8.1%Harris44
91.7%Trump500
0.2%
R+83.7
R+3.1
R+82.2
545
R
9.2%Biden49
89.8%Trump476
0.8%Jorgensen4
R+80.6
D+0.4
R+85.0
530
R
7.7%Clinton40
88.6%Trump460
3.3%Johnson17
R+80.9
R+16.3
R+83.0
519
R
16.5%Obama80
81.2%Romney393
1.4%Gray7
R+64.7
R+9.5
R+68.5
484
R
21.6%Obama115
76.7%McCain409
1.7%
R+55.2
D+7.5
R+62.4
533
R
17.9%Kerry98
80.5%Bush442
1.6%
R+62.7
D+4.4
R+60.2
549
R
15.2%Gore78
82.3%Bush422
1.2%Nader6
R+67.1
R+12.6
R+67.6
513
R
17.6%Clinton94
72.1%Dole385
8.8%Perot47
R+54.5
R+12.8
R+63.0
534
R
16.6%Clinton105
58.3%Bush368
25.0%Perot158
R+41.7
D+8.9
R+47.2
631
R
24.4%Dukakis145
75.0%Bush446
0.7%
R+50.6
D+9.1
R+42.9
595
R
20.2%Mondale128
79.8%Reagan507
0.0%
R+59.7
R+2.1
R+41.5
635
R
18.9%Carter130
76.5%Reagan526
4.7%
R+57.6
R+33.6
R+47.8
688
R
36.7%Carter245
60.7%Ford405
2.5%
R+24.0
D+34.8
R+26.1
667
R
20.6%McGovern146
79.4%Nixon563
0.0%
R+58.8
D+2.3
R+35.7
709
R
15.8%Humphrey109
77.0%Nixon531
7.2%
R+61.2
R+38.6
R+60.5
690
R
38.7%Johnson320
61.3%Goldwater506
0.0%
R+22.5
D+23.1
R+45.1
826
R
27.2%Kennedy241
72.8%Nixon646
0.0%
R+45.7
R+4.2
R+45.8
887
R
29.3%Stevenson263
70.7%Eisenhower635
0.0%
R+41.4
D+16.7
R+26.0
898
R
20.9%Stevenson208
79.1%Eisenhower785
0.0%
R+58.1
R+43.0
R+47.3
993
R
42.5%Truman397
57.5%Dewey538
0.0%
R+15.1
D+25.0
R+19.6
935
R
30.0%Roosevelt334
70.0%Dewey781
0.0%
R+40.1
R+6.8
R+47.6
1,115
R
33.3%Roosevelt502
66.7%Willkie1,004
0.0%
R+33.3
R+13.7
R+43.3
1,506
R
39.9%Roosevelt556
59.6%Landon830
0.5%
R+19.7
R+17.4
R+43.9
1,393
R
48.3%Roosevelt645
50.5%Hoover675
1.2%
R+2.2
D+58.8
R+20.0
1,336
R
18.7%Smith232
79.8%Hoover989
1.5%
R+61.0
R+40.2
R+43.6
1,240
R
20.7%Davis251
41.5%Coolidge504
37.1%La Follette451
R+20.8
D+14.4
D+4.4
1,215
R
29.5%Cox218
64.7%Harding479
5.8%
R+35.3
R+46.0
R+9.1
740
D
50.4%Wilson401
39.7%Hughes316
9.8%
D+10.7
D+15.4
D+7.5
795
O
27.4%Wilson221
32.1%Taft259
40.5%
Roosevelt +8.4
D+3.4
R+24.3
807
R
42.0%Bryan354
50.1%Taft422
7.9%
R+8.1
D+40.6
D+1.5
843
R
13.5%Parker97
62.1%Roosevelt448
24.4%
R+48.7
R+45.1
R+29.0
721
R
46.2%Bryan353
49.7%McKinley380
4.1%
R+3.5
R+21.7
D+4.0
764
D
56.9%Bryan278
38.7%McKinley189
4.5%
D+18.2
D+36.7
D+24.3
489
O
12.0%Cleveland80
30.5%Harrison203
57.4%
Weaver +26.9
—
R+20.2
665
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
11.2%119
88.8%948
1,067
2020
R
8.2%41
85.1%427
502
2018
R
10.9%42
87.0%336
386
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+84.7
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+83.7
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.0 points.
Domestic migration in Keya Paha County, NE in Keya Paha County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−5
2012
−16
2013
−10
2014
+8
2015
−2
2016
−6
2017
−3
2018
+12
2019
+2
2021
+33
2022
+8
2023
+1
2024
+10
2025
−11
Keya Paha County sits in Nebraska's sparsely settled Sandhills, where ranching defines both the economy and the electorate. Its 2024 presidential margin of R+83.8 ranks among the widest of any county nationwide.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 18.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 83.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 83.7 points.
A population of 822, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,000 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Furnas County and Lincoln County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Keya Paha County, Nebraska voted Republican by 83.7 points (R+83.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 545 votes cast, 44 went Democratic and 500 went Republican.
When did Keya Paha County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Keya Paha County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1916.
How many people live in Keya Paha County, Nebraska?
Keya Paha County, Nebraska has a population of 822 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Keya Paha County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Keya Paha County, Nebraska is $64,000 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Keya Paha County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Keya Paha County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 30 went Republican.
