Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPawnee CountyNebraskaUnited States
German39.4%31.0%12.5%
Irish13.8%11.7%9.4%
English10.0%9.4%9.5%
Czech8.6%3.4%—
French2.1%—1.6%
Scottish1.8%—1.3%
American1.6%3.5%5.3%
Dutch1.3%——
Mexican1.9%8.7%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Pawnee County
Nebraska
United States
Median age
44.9
37.3
39.1
Age 18–24
5.9%
9.8%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
28.5%
16.8%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Pawnee County
Nebraska
United States
Median household income
$62,188
$76,475
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.5%
10.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.2%
34.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Pawnee County
Nebraska
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
8.7%
12.8%
22.3%
German or other West Germanic
7.4%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Pawnee County
Nebraska
United States
Catholic
6.5%
19.1%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
18.4%
14.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
57.5%
50.8%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
17.5%
12.1%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Pawnee County, Nebraska
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 1,379 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Pawnee County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -PAWNEE 1PAWNEE 1
93
286
2
381
24.4%
75.1%
R+50.7
Precinct -PAWNEE 2PAWNEE 2
87
256
3
346
25.1%
74.0%
R+48.8
Precinct -STEINAUERSTEINAUER
48
181
2
231
20.8%
78.4%
R+57.6
Precinct -TABLE ROCKTABLE ROCK
25
204
1
230
10.9%
88.7%
R+77.8
Precinct -BURCHARDBURCHARD
31
158
2
191
16.2%
82.7%
R+66.5
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1892
−44.2%
1896
−11.9%
1900
−17.8%
1904
−46.3%
1908
−13.2%
1912
+15.4%
1916
−2.3%
1920
−42.8%
1924
−20.3%
1928
−29.1%
1932
+25.3%
1936
+5.1%
1940
−24.7%
1944
−27.7%
1948
−15.2%
1952
−50.0%
1956
−28.3%
1960
−26.3%
1964
−2.4%
1968
−31.2%
1972
−42.5%
1976
−7.7%
1980
−49.5%
1984
−40.0%
1988
−11.8%
1992
−5.8%
1996
−11.9%
2000
−27.3%
2004
−34.1%
2008
−27.2%
2012
−37.2%
2016
−52.4%
2020
−52.4%
2024
−57.8%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
20.5%Harris284
78.3%Trump1,085
0.4%Oliver6 +3
R+57.8
R+5.4
R+56.4
1,385
All 6 candidates in 2024 · 4 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican78.3%1,085
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic20.5%284
Chase OliverNonpartisan0.4%6
OtherAll other candidates0.4%6
Cornel WestNonpartisan0.2%3
Jill SteinNonpartisan0.1%1
R
22.5%Biden322
74.9%Trump1,071
2.5%Jorgensen36
R+52.4
±0.0
R+56.9
1,429
R
21.0%Clinton279
73.4%Trump974
4.1%Johnson55
R+52.4
R+15.2
R+54.5
1,327
R
29.8%Obama400
67.0%Romney899
1.9%Gray26
R+37.2
R+10.0
R+41.1
1,341
R
34.9%Obama483
62.1%McCain859
3.0%
R+27.2
D+6.9
R+34.4
1,384
R
32.4%Kerry481
66.5%Bush986
1.1%
R+34.1
R+6.7
R+31.6
1,483
R
34.4%Gore522
61.7%Bush937
2.5%Nader38
R+27.3
R+15.5
R+27.8
1,519
R
37.0%Clinton580
48.8%Dole766
13.2%Perot207
R+11.9
R+6.1
R+20.4
1,569
R
31.3%Clinton566
37.1%Bush670
31.3%Perot565
R+5.8
D+6.1
R+11.3
1,808
R
43.6%Dukakis767
55.5%Bush975
0.9%
R+11.8
D+28.2
R+4.1
1,758
R
29.3%Mondale552
69.3%Reagan1,306
1.4%
R+40.0
D+9.5
R+21.8
1,884
R
21.6%Carter431
71.1%Reagan1,418
7.2%
R+49.5
R+41.8
R+39.8
1,993
R
45.1%Carter845
52.9%Ford990
2.0%
R+7.7
D+34.8
R+9.8
1,873
R
28.7%McGovern524
71.3%Nixon1,299
0.0%
R+42.5
R+11.3
R+19.4
1,823
R
29.1%Humphrey583
60.3%Nixon1,209
10.6%
R+31.2
R+28.8
R+30.5
2,005
R
48.8%Johnson1,111
51.2%Goldwater1,166
0.0%
R+2.4
D+23.9
R+25.0
2,277
R
36.9%Kennedy1,009
63.1%Nixon1,728
0.0%
R+26.3
D+2.1
R+26.4
2,737
R
35.8%Stevenson1,022
64.2%Eisenhower1,830
0.0%
R+28.3
D+21.7
R+12.9
2,852
R
25.0%Stevenson810
75.0%Eisenhower2,432
0.0%
R+50.0
R+34.9
R+39.3
3,242
R
42.4%Truman1,271
57.6%Dewey1,725
0.0%
R+15.2
D+12.6
R+19.6
2,996
R
36.1%Roosevelt1,275
63.9%Dewey2,254
0.0%
R+27.7
R+3.0
R+35.2
3,529
R
37.7%Roosevelt1,596
62.3%Willkie2,643
0.0%
R+24.7
R+29.8
R+34.6
4,239
D
52.2%Roosevelt2,297
47.1%Landon2,074
0.7%
D+5.1
R+20.2
R+19.2
4,404
D
62.2%Roosevelt2,641
36.9%Hoover1,568
0.9%
D+25.3
D+54.3
D+7.5
4,249
R
35.2%Smith1,547
64.3%Hoover2,825
0.5%
R+29.1
R+8.7
R+11.6
4,394
R
35.5%Davis1,365
55.9%Coolidge2,147
8.5%La Follette328
R+20.3
D+22.5
D+4.8
3,844
R
27.1%Cox972
69.9%Harding2,510
3.1%
R+42.8
R+40.5
R+16.6
3,592
R
47.4%Wilson1,171
49.7%Hughes1,228
3.0%
R+2.3
R+17.7
R+5.4
2,473
D
40.5%Wilson958
25.1%Taft593
34.4%
D+15.4
D+28.6
R+4.1
2,366
R
41.7%Bryan1,115
54.9%Taft1,468
3.3%
R+13.2
D+33.1
R+3.7
2,672
R
22.1%Parker562
68.4%Roosevelt1,739
9.5%
R+46.3
R+28.5
R+26.6
2,543
R
39.1%Bryan1,121
56.9%McKinley1,632
4.0%
R+17.8
R+6.0
R+10.3
2,868
R
42.7%Bryan1,163
54.6%McKinley1,486
2.8%
R+11.9
D+32.4
R+5.8
2,724
R
9.9%Cleveland231
54.1%Harrison1,266
36.0%
R+44.2
—
R+45.9
2,339
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
27.6%754
72.4%1,974
2,728
2020
R
16.0%217
79.2%1,072
1,354
2018
R
28.8%332
67.1%774
1,153
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+50.4
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+57.8
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 7.5 points more Democratic.
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+4 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −72 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,163 in average income, against $60,773 for residents who stayed — 36% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Pawnee County, NE in Pawnee County, NE: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+24
2012
+15
2013
−34
2014
−5
2015
−38
2016
+10
2017
−78
2018
−2
2019
−11
2021
+20
2022
+1
2023
−8
2024
+30
2025
+4
Pawnee County, anchored by the small county seat of Pawnee City, sits in the state's southeast corner and has delivered some of the widest presidential margins in Nebraska, reflecting the heavily rural, agricultural character of its roughly 3,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 57.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 57.8 points.
A population of 2,530, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,188 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Atchison County and Webster County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Pawnee County, Nebraska voted Republican by 57.8 points (R+57.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,385 votes cast, 284 went Democratic and 1,085 went Republican.
When did Pawnee County, Nebraska last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Pawnee County, Nebraska voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Pawnee County, Nebraska?
Pawnee County, Nebraska has a population of 2,530 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Pawnee County, Nebraska?
Median household income in Pawnee County, Nebraska is $62,188 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nebraska state median is $76,475.
What is the political history of Pawnee County, Nebraska?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Pawnee County, Nebraska from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 31 went Republican.
