Ashe County, North Carolina
Precinct data
Results by precinct
17 precincts · 16,253 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0909 | 753 | 1,964 | 34 | 2,751 | 27.4% | 71.4% | R+44.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -2020 | 678 | 1,658 | 35 | 2,371 | 28.6% | 69.9% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -1414 | 640 | 1,282 | 22 | 1,944 | 32.9% | 65.9% | R+33.0 |
| Precinct -1616 | 548 | 1,262 | 27 | 1,837 | 29.8% | 68.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -1111 | 408 | 1,214 | 15 | 1,637 | 24.9% | 74.2% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -0202 | 204 | 783 | 10 | 997 | 20.5% | 78.5% | R+58.1 |
| Precinct -1313 | 272 | 692 | 4 | 968 | 28.1% | 71.5% | R+43.4 |
| Precinct -1515 | 131 | 610 | 4 | 745 | 17.6% | 81.9% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -1717 | 118 | 468 | 5 | 591 | 20.0% | 79.2% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -1212 | 152 | 341 | 7 | 500 | 30.4% | 68.2% | R+37.8 |
| Precinct -0404 | 157 | 236 | 6 | 399 | 39.3% | 59.1% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -0606 | 87 | 307 | 3 | 397 | 21.9% | 77.3% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -0303 | 83 | 285 | 5 | 373 | 22.3% | 76.4% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -0707 | 80 | 196 | 4 | 280 | 28.6% | 70.0% | R+41.4 |
| Precinct -1010 | 37 | 139 | 5 | 181 | 20.4% | 76.8% | R+56.4 |
| Precinct -0808 | 52 | 109 | 5 | 166 | 31.3% | 65.7% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -1818 | 31 | 83 | 2 | 116 | 26.7% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.2% |
| 1896 | −5.6% |
| 1900 | −12.3% |
| 1904 | −13.6% |
| 1908 | −1.1% |
| 1912 | +34.6% |
| 1916 | −1.1% |
| 1920 | −5.2% |
| 1924 | +4.6% |
| 1928 | −11.3% |
| 1932 | +10.2% |
| 1936 | +9.8% |
| 1940 | +6.1% |
| 1944 | −1.8% |
| 1948 | +4.0% |
| 1952 | −0.3% |
| 1956 | −7.1% |
| 1960 | −3.7% |
| 1964 | +8.5% |
| 1968 | −15.9% |
| 1972 | −26.9% |
| 1976 | +2.5% |
| 1980 | −11.5% |
| 1984 | −24.4% |
| 1988 | −19.7% |
| 1992 | −5.2% |
| 1996 | −13.9% |
| 2000 | −21.5% |
| 2004 | −23.8% |
| 2008 | −23.3% |
| 2012 | −32.7% |
| 2016 | −44.0% |
| 2020 | −46.1% |
| 2024 | −44.3% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 26.9%3,172 | 70.9%8,371 | 11,810 |
| 2020 | R | 27.4%4,279 | 67.9%10,619 | 15,636 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 16 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | 20,318 | 7,638 | 8,653 | 4,016 | 11 |
| 2012 | 19,085 | 6,500 | 8,055 | 4,491 | 39 |
| 2016 | 19,049 | 5,670 | 8,060 | 5,254 | 65 |
| 2020 | 19,570 | 4,507 | 8,884 | 6,066 | 113 |
| 2022 | 20,004 | 4,026 | 9,091 | 6,779 | 108 |
| 2024 | 20,829 | 3,688 | 9,557 | 7,444 | 140 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+275 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,790 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $80,609 in average income, against $66,830 for residents who stayed — 21% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.2 on average — 42 points more Democratic-leaning than Ashe County, NC itself (R+44.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Watauga County, NC121D+6.0
- Wake County, NC37D+25.4
- Wilkes County, NC35R+59.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Watauga County, NC77
- Wilkes County, NC38
- Alleghany County, NC20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −172 |
| 2012 | +1 |
| 2013 | −3 |
| 2014 | +52 |
| 2015 | +13 |
| 2016 | +122 |
| 2017 | +315 |
| 2018 | +455 |
| 2019 | +251 |
| 2021 | +387 |
| 2022 | +509 |
| 2023 | +208 |
| 2024 | +377 |
| 2025 | +275 |
Ashe County sits in North Carolina's northwestern mountain tip, where a sparse, rural population has backed Republican presidential candidates by margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles, reflecting broader Appalachian realignment patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 46.1 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.3 points.
A population of 26,950, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,866 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Floyd County and Alleghany County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Ashe County, North Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/37009/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.