HarrisDemocratic31.1%1,661TrumpRepublican66.1%3,531OliverLibertarian1.9%102
R+35.0- Lead
- 1,870
- Total
- 5,339
- vs nation
- R+33.6
- Turnout
- 64.2%
Akashiccounty
Barnes County, ND
Contests in this Place (91 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 64.2% of 8,428 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic32.7%1,820TrumpRepublican64.1%3,568JorgensenLibertarian2.9%161
R+31.4- Lead
- 1,748
- Total
- 5,565
- vs nation
- R+35.9
- Turnout
- 66.9%
ClintonDemocratic29.9%1,597TrumpRepublican59.1%3,160JohnsonLibertarian7.6%407
R+29.2- Lead
- 1,563
- Total
- 5,344
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Turnout
- 62.6%
ObamaDemocratic43.4%2,394RomneyRepublican53.7%2,964OtherAll other candidates3.0%164
R+10.3- Lead
- 570
- Total
- 5,522
- vs nation
- R+14.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.1%2,741McCainRepublican49.6%2,826OtherAll other candidates2.2%127
R+1.5- Lead
- 85
- Total
- 5,694
- vs nation
- R+8.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.6%2,186BushRepublican60.9%3,541OtherAll other candidates1.5%86
R+23.3- Lead
- 1,355
- Total
- 5,813
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.6%1,933BushRepublican60.1%3,452NaderGreen2.8%160
R+26.4- Lead
- 1,519
- Total
- 5,748
- vs nation
- R+26.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic42.4%2,317DoleRepublican44.8%2,449PerotReform12.2%666
R+2.4- Lead
- 132
- Total
- 5,468
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+35.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,7732024 5-year
- Population density
- 7.2 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,492 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $68,0382024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 89.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Wilkin County, MN · twin score 92.9
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 64.2%5,413 participants ÷ 8,428 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.0 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 44.2%–52.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,413 | 8,428 ± 114 | 64.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 3,943 | 8,420 ± 114 | 46.8% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,604 | 8,381 ± 117 | 66.9% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 5,117 | 8,603 ± 185 | 59.5% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,451 | 8,706 ± 63 | 62.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,522 | 8,665 | 63.7% | Derived | — | |
| 5,694 | 8,357 | 68.1% | Derived | — | |
| 5,813 | 8,049 extrapolated | 72.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Barnes County only. The complete district At-Large result is shown below for comparison.
Barnes County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Trygve Hammer0—
write-in0—
District At-Large result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 30 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 5,339 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -0505 | 296 | 537 | 29 | 862 | 34.3% | 62.3% | R+28.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -0202 | 280 | 406 | 24 | 710 | 39.4% | 57.2% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -1111 | 174 | 463 | 13 | 650 | 26.8% | 71.2% | R+44.5 |
| Precinct -0404 | 222 | 388 | 8 | 618 | 35.9% | 62.8% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -0101 | 157 | 206 | 17 | 380 | 41.3% | 54.2% | R+12.9 |
| Precinct -0606 | 88 | 265 | 8 | 361 | 24.4% | 73.4% | R+49.0 |
| Precinct -0303 | 127 | 218 | 12 | 357 | 35.6% | 61.1% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -1313 | 77 | 190 | 14 | 281 | 27.4% | 67.6% | R+40.2 |
| Precinct -1212 | 49 | 183 | 3 | 235 | 20.9% | 77.9% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -0909 | 46 | 173 | 5 | 224 | 20.5% | 77.2% | R+56.7 |
| Precinct -1515 | 34 | 162 | 2 | 198 | 17.2% | 81.8% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -0808 | 25 | 121 | 5 | 151 | 16.6% | 80.1% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -0707 | 38 | 100 | 4 | 142 | 26.8% | 70.4% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -1414 | 22 | 65 | 0 | 87 | 25.3% | 74.7% | R+49.4 |
| Precinct -1010 | 26 | 54 | 3 | 83 | 31.3% | 65.1% | R+33.7 |
| Barnes 20-06 Voting District06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 20-10 Voting District10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 20-12 Voting District12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 20-13 Voting District13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-01 Voting District01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-02 Voting District02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-03 Voting District03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-04 Voting District04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-05 Voting District05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-07 Voting District07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-08 Voting District08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-09 Voting District09 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-11 Voting District11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-14 Voting District14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Barnes 24-15 Voting District15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Barnes County, ND · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.0%
4,833 votes · D+30.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
80.3%
5,150 votes · R+63.1
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 76.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
4,833votes
63.0% of the vote · D+30.1
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 4,484 votes
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1952
5,534votes
71.8% of the vote · R+44.3
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 5,150 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+12.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+30.1 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +10.9 pts
Republican
Benjamin Harrison1892
+42.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+41.0 · U.S. D+1.7 · a third-party candidate carried the Place
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · +39.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMike WobbemaState Senate · 24
RDan JohnstonState House · 24
RDwight KiefertState House · 24
Seats representing Barnes County, ND. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−51 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −561 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $61,098 in average income, against $85,687 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+20.6 on average — 14 points more Democratic-leaning than Barnes County, ND itself (R+35.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Cass County, ND56R+8.3
- Stutsman County, ND29R+44.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Cass County, ND89
- Stutsman County, ND33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +32 |
| 2012 | −97 |
| 2013 | +134 |
| 2014 | −45 |
| 2015 | −20 |
| 2016 | −90 |
| 2017 | −199 |
| 2018 | −106 |
| 2019 | −69 |
| 2021 | −65 |
| 2022 | +43 |
| 2023 | −7 |
| 2024 | −21 |
| 2025 | −51 |
Barnes County's population has shed roughly a third of its peak mid-century total as farm consolidation reshaped the economy, leaving a predominantly rural electorate that has voted Republican by growing margins in recent presidential contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.
A population of 10,773, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,038 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wilkin County and Richland County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Wilkin County
Minnesota
92.9twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestry% White
Richland County
North Dakota
91.3twin score
elasticityNorwegian ancestry12-yr trend≠ % Catholic
Codington County
South Dakota
91.3twin score
elasticity% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ Norwegian ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Barnes County, North Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/38003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Barnes County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Barnes County, North Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Barnes County, North Dakota voted Republican by 35.0 points (R+35.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,339 votes cast, 1,661 went Democratic and 3,531 went Republican.
When did Barnes County, North Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Barnes County, North Dakota voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Barnes County, North Dakota?
Barnes County, North Dakota has a population of 10,773 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota?
Median household income in Barnes County, North Dakota is $68,038 — below the national median of $80,734. The North Dakota state median is $76,657.
What is the political history of Barnes County, North Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Barnes County, North Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.