HarrisDemocratic13.6%345TrumpRepublican84.9%2,155OtherAll other candidates1.5%38
R+71.3- Lead
- 1,810
- Total
- 2,538
- vs nation
- R+69.8
- Turnout
- 63.4%
Akashiccounty
Coal County, OK
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 63.4% of 4,028 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic14.8%374TrumpRepublican82.8%2,091JorgensenLibertarian1.3%34
R+68.0- Lead
- 1,717
- Total
- 2,524
- vs nation
- R+72.5
- Turnout
- 60.6%
ClintonDemocratic17.1%411TrumpRepublican79.1%1,898JohnsonLibertarian3.8%90
R+62.0- Lead
- 1,487
- Total
- 2,399
- vs nation
- R+64.1
- Turnout
- 55.5%
ObamaDemocratic27.5%649RomneyRepublican72.5%1,710OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+45.0- Lead
- 1,061
- Total
- 2,359
- vs nation
- R+48.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic26.4%600McCainRepublican73.6%1,672OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+47.2- Lead
- 1,072
- Total
- 2,272
- vs nation
- R+54.5
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic46.3%1,203BushRepublican53.7%1,396OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+7.4- Lead
- 193
- Total
- 2,599
- vs nation
- R+5.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic48.6%1,148BushRepublican50.6%1,196OtherAll other candidates0.8%18
R+2.0- Lead
- 48
- Total
- 2,362
- vs nation
- R+2.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic52.9%1,205DoleRepublican32.2%734PerotReform14.2%323
D+20.7- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 2,276
- vs nation
- D+12.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+71.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,3202024 5-year
- Population density
- 10 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 517 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,4232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+71.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pushmataha County, OK · twin score 95.3
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 63.4%2,554 participants ÷ 4,028 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +11.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -2.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 51.5%–51.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,554 | 4,028 ± 44 | 63.4% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 1,940 | 3,978 ± 42 | 48.8% | Audited | C/A |
| 2,537 | 4,184 ± 47 | 60.6% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 1,864 | 4,214 ± 37 | 44.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 2,400 | 4,326 ± 39 | 55.5% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2,359 | 4,338 | 54.4% | Derived | — | |
| 2,272 | 4,203 | 54.1% | Derived | — | |
| 2,599 | 4,068 extrapolated | 63.9% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Coal County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Coal County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ARYA0—
CONNIE JOHNSON0—
CYNDI MUNSON0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 20 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
20 precincts · 2,538 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -150005150005 | 94 | 485 | 8 | 587 | 16.0% | 82.6% | R+66.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -150002150002 | 61 | 379 | 8 | 448 | 13.6% | 84.6% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -150011150011 | 42 | 307 | 7 | 356 | 11.8% | 86.2% | R+74.4 |
| Precinct -150003150003 | 37 | 278 | 3 | 318 | 11.6% | 87.4% | R+75.8 |
| Precinct -150004150004 | 36 | 188 | 3 | 227 | 15.9% | 82.8% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -150009150009 | 19 | 159 | 3 | 181 | 10.5% | 87.8% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -150007150007 | 26 | 140 | 3 | 169 | 15.4% | 82.8% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -150006150006 | 19 | 138 | 2 | 159 | 11.9% | 86.8% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -150010150010 | 11 | 81 | 1 | 93 | 11.8% | 87.1% | R+75.3 |
| Voting District 140_400291 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1040_4002910 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 1140_4002911 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 240_400292 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 340_400293 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 440_400294 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 540_400295 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 640_400296 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 740_400297 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 840_400298 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Voting District 940_400299 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Coal County, OK · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
90.3%
2,788 votes · D+80.6
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 82.1%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
84.9%
2,155 votes · R+71.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 82.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
2,788votes
90.3% of the vote · D+80.6
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 2,550 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,155votes
84.9% of the vote · R+71.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,091 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+62.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+80.6 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · +59.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+72.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+68.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +69.8 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMarkwayne MullinU.S. Senate
RJerry AlvordState Senate · 14
RDavid SmithState House · 18
RRyan EavesState House · 22
Seats representing Coal County, OK. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.9%358 | 85.1%2,043 | 2,401 |
| 2020 | R | 17.3%414 | 82.7%1,975 | 2,389 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+17.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+71.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 53 points more Republican than the rolls.
3,818 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−12 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −83 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $51,992 in average income, against $56,638 for residents who stayed — 8% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.7 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Coal County, OK itself (R+71.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Atoka County, OK22R+71.6
- Pontotoc County, OK20R+46.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pontotoc County, OK34
- Atoka County, OK25
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +40 |
| 2012 | −18 |
| 2013 | −147 |
| 2014 | −13 |
| 2015 | −102 |
| 2016 | +60 |
| 2017 | −4 |
| 2018 | −111 |
| 2019 | −23 |
| 2021 | +57 |
| 2022 | +18 |
| 2023 | +1 |
| 2024 | +171 |
| 2025 | −12 |
Coal County's 2024 presidential margin of R+71.3 reflects a rural southeastern Oklahoma electorate that has swung decisively Republican over the past two decades, with a population under 6,100 spread across timber and ranch land.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 71.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 71.3 points.
A population of 5,320, a 64% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,423 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pushmataha County and Haskell County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Pushmataha County
Oklahoma
95.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ elasticity
Haskell County
Oklahoma
93.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ elasticity
Crockett County
Tennessee
93.0twin score
% Evangelical% unaffiliated2000–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Coal County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Coal County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Coal County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 71.3 points (R+71.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,538 votes cast, 345 went Democratic and 2,155 went Republican.
When did Coal County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Coal County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Coal County, Oklahoma?
Coal County, Oklahoma has a population of 5,320 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Coal County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Coal County, Oklahoma is $50,423 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Coal County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Coal County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.