Pawnee County, Oklahoma
Precinct data
Results by precinct
21 precincts · 6,880 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -590307590307 | 254 | 1,046 | 15 | 1,315 | 19.3% | 79.5% | R+60.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -590202590202 | 365 | 851 | 25 | 1,241 | 29.4% | 68.6% | R+39.2 |
| Precinct -590118590118 | 167 | 847 | 19 | 1,033 | 16.2% | 82.0% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -590314590314 | 127 | 634 | 10 | 771 | 16.5% | 82.2% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -590217590217 | 138 | 586 | 20 | 744 | 18.5% | 78.8% | R+60.2 |
| Precinct -590104590104 | 108 | 536 | 8 | 652 | 16.6% | 82.2% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -590111590111 | 62 | 310 | 5 | 377 | 16.4% | 82.2% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -590309590309 | 53 | 254 | 8 | 315 | 16.8% | 80.6% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -590112590112 | 43 | 208 | 7 | 258 | 16.7% | 80.6% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -590215590215 | 38 | 133 | 3 | 174 | 21.8% | 76.4% | R+54.6 |
| Voting District 10440_40117104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 11140_40117111 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 11240_40117112 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 11840_40117118 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 20240_40117202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 21540_40117215 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 21640_40117216 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 21740_40117217 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 30740_40117307 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 30940_40117309 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Voting District 31440_40117314 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1908–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1908 | −1.7% |
| 1912 | −0.5% |
| 1916 | +2.8% |
| 1920 | −19.3% |
| 1924 | −11.9% |
| 1928 | −38.9% |
| 1932 | +37.4% |
| 1936 | +15.1% |
| 1940 | −7.4% |
| 1944 | −14.7% |
| 1948 | +1.3% |
| 1952 | −27.2% |
| 1956 | −19.9% |
| 1960 | −31.6% |
| 1964 | +2.4% |
| 1968 | −22.9% |
| 1972 | −56.8% |
| 1976 | −1.3% |
| 1980 | −30.6% |
| 1984 | −36.6% |
| 1988 | −8.8% |
| 1992 | −0.9% |
| 1996 | +1.7% |
| 2000 | −16.1% |
| 2004 | −26.5% |
| 2008 | −37.4% |
| 2012 | −40.0% |
| 2016 | −53.2% |
| 2020 | −57.5% |
| 2024 | −58.9% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 22.5%2,275 | 73.9%7,461 | 10,096 |
| 2020 | R | 21.6%1,459 | 73.1%4,937 | 6,757 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 13 points more Democratic.
10,035 registered voters · 2026
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+100 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +874 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $46,657 in average income, against $60,234 for residents who stayed — 23% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+28.9 on average — 30 points more Democratic-leaning than Pawnee County, OK itself (R+58.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Tulsa County, OK163R+15.2
- Creek County, OK68R+55.7
- Payne County, OK54R+25.3
- Osage County, OK48R+41.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Tulsa County, OK142
- Creek County, OK59
- Payne County, OK52
- Osage County, OK47
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +162 |
| 2012 | −259 |
| 2013 | +29 |
| 2014 | −111 |
| 2015 | +78 |
| 2016 | +57 |
| 2017 | −49 |
| 2018 | −61 |
| 2019 | +23 |
| 2021 | +284 |
| 2022 | +82 |
| 2023 | +270 |
| 2024 | +269 |
| 2025 | +100 |
Pawnee County recorded an R+58.9 margin in the 2024 presidential race, consistent with the sharp rightward drift that has reshaped rural Oklahoma over the past two decades. Its small, predominantly white population sits along the Arkansas River corridor northwest of Tulsa.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 58.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.9 points.
A population of 15,795, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,738 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of McNairy County and Le Flore County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pawnee County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40117/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.