Tillman County, Oklahoma: Florida Surge county. In 2024, voted R+59%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Florida SurgeAkashic typology
- Population
- 6,9102024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,9392024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 64.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Kiowa County, OK · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Tillman CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Tillman County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | +36.9% |
| 1912 | +41.4% |
| 1916 | +49.9% |
| 1920 | +25.6% |
| 1924 | +31.9% |
| 1928 | −21.6% |
| 1932 | +80.9% |
| 1936 | +64.6% |
| 1940 | +51.6% |
| 1944 | +44.5% |
| 1948 | +58.7% |
| 1952 | +15.6% |
| 1956 | +30.1% |
| 1960 | +1.1% |
| 1964 | +25.3% |
| 1968 | +0.5% |
| 1972 | −44.2% |
| 1976 | +22.4% |
| 1980 | −6.5% |
| 1984 | −22.3% |
| 1988 | +10.0% |
| 1992 | +8.9% |
| 1996 | +13.1% |
| 2000 | −15.5% |
| 2004 | −31.8% |
| 2008 | −35.6% |
| 2012 | −33.4% |
| 2016 | −47.6% |
| 2020 | −54.6% |
| 2024 | −59.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 500 | 2,006 | 2,533 | ||
| R | 597 | 2,076 | 2,708 | ||
| R | 657 | 1,944 | 2,706 | ||
| R | 906 | 1,815 | 2,721 | ||
| R | 1,042 | 2,195 | 3,237 | ||
| R | 1,175 | 2,273 | 3,448 | ||
| R | 1,400 | 1,920 | 3,349 | ||
| D | 1,827 | 1,346 | 3,659 | ||
| D | 1,749 | 1,377 | 4,178 | ||
| D | 2,148 | 1,754 | 3,928 | ||
| R | 1,674 | 2,637 | 4,326 | ||
| R | 2,144 | 2,450 | 4,687 | ||
| D | 2,852 | 1,802 | 4,695 | ||
| R | 1,256 | 3,331 | 4,697 | ||
| D | 1,771 | 1,748 | 4,895 | ||
| D | 3,354 | 2,001 | 5,355 | ||
| D | 2,736 | 2,678 | 5,414 | ||
| D | 3,366 | 1,810 | 5,176 | ||
| D | 3,639 | 2,657 | 6,296 | ||
| D | 4,071 | 1,058 | 5,129 | ||
| D | 3,902 | 1,496 | 5,410 | ||
| D | 4,920 | 1,564 | 6,508 | ||
| D | 5,268 | 1,126 | 6,410 | ||
| D | 4,960 | 523 | 5,483 | ||
| R | 2,141 | 3,331 | 5,497 | ||
| D | 2,653 | 1,326 | 4,163 | ||
| D | 2,649 | 1,539 | 4,338 | ||
| D | 2,250 | 625 | 3,257 | ||
| D | 1,801 | 638 | 2,811 | ||
| D | 1,661 | 732 | 2,516 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
13.2%
English
11.5%
Irish
9.9%
American
6.5%
Scottish
2.1%
Italian
1.1%
Polish
0.7%
African American
5.7%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.8 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$48,939
Tillman County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties.
Tillman County$48,939
Oklahoma$65,039
United States$80,734
Tillman County ranks in the bottom 25% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
21.0%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.7%
Working age (18–64)18.9%
Seniors (65+)19.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
86.7%
speak English only
Spanish12.8%
Other Indo-European0.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 12.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Tillman County, anchored by Frederick in southwest Oklahoma, recorded an R+59.5 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest in a state where rural agricultural counties have shifted sharply over the past two decades.
The Democratic margin here once reached eighty-one points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved five points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-nine points.
A population of 6,910, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,939 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kiowa County and Caddo County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Tillman County, Oklahoma. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/40141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Tillman County, Oklahoma vote in 2024?
In 2024, Tillman County, Oklahoma voted Republican by 59.5 points (R+59), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,533 votes cast, 500 went Democratic and 2,006 went Republican.
What is Tillman County, Oklahoma's political typology?
Akashic places Tillman County, Oklahoma in the "Florida Surge" typology — Florida coastal and retiree counties that moved sharply Republican across the Trump era. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 19 times, Republican 11 times, and other 0 times.
When did Tillman County, Oklahoma last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Tillman County, Oklahoma voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Tillman County, Oklahoma has a population of 6,910 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Median household income in Tillman County, Oklahoma is $48,939 — below the national median of $80,734. The Oklahoma state median is $65,039.
What is the political history of Tillman County, Oklahoma?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Tillman County, Oklahoma from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 11 went Republican. The county's typology — "Florida Surge" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.