Barnwell County, South Carolina: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+100 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 20,5212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $46,6262024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 52.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 42.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+45 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Porter County, IN · similarity 0.95
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +58.3% |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | +91.9% |
| 1904 | +95.1% |
| 1908 | +88.2% |
| 1912 | +98.3% |
| 1916 | +97.1% |
| 1920 | +93.3% |
| 1924 | +94.5% |
| 1928 | +93.6% |
| 1932 | +99.2% |
| 1936 | +99.9% |
| 1940 | +98.6% |
| 1944 | +97.9% |
| 1948 | +4.2% |
| 1952 | +41.7% |
| 1956 | +46.3% |
| 1960 | −16.1% |
| 1964 | −45.3% |
| 1968 | −2.2% |
| 1972 | −43.4% |
| 1976 | +22.8% |
| 1980 | +2.6% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −26.9% |
| 1992 | −8.3% |
| 1996 | −2.4% |
| 2000 | −10.4% |
| 2004 | −7.2% |
| 2008 | +1.7% |
| 2012 | +5.3% |
| 2016 | −5.2% |
| 2020 | −7.5% |
| 2024 | −15.5% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 4,082 | 5,605 | 9,803 | ||
| R | 4,720 | 5,492 | 10,321 | ||
| R | 4,400 | 4,889 | 9,485 | ||
| D | 5,188 | 4,659 | 9,923 | ||
| D | 4,931 | 4,769 | 9,798 | ||
| R | 3,982 | 4,606 | 8,685 | ||
| R | 3,661 | 4,521 | 8,276 | ||
| R | 3,620 | 3,808 | 7,774 | ||
| R | 3,344 | 4,026 | 8,177 | ||
| R | 2,564 | 4,467 | 7,075 | ||
| R | 2,811 | 4,346 | 7,189 | ||
| D | 3,399 | 3,228 | 6,705 | ||
| D | 4,083 | 2,569 | 6,652 | ||
| R | 1,560 | 3,955 | 5,515 | ||
| O | 1,716 | 1,849 | 5,916 | ||
| R | 1,382 | 3,670 | 5,052 | ||
| R | 1,331 | 1,842 | 3,173 | ||
| D | 1,914 | 520 | 3,009 | ||
| D | 1,598 | 657 | 2,255 | ||
| O | 115 | 28 | 2,064 | ||
| D | 1,482 | 8 | 1,506 | ||
| D | 1,845 | 13 | 1,858 | ||
| D | 2,157 | 0 | 2,159 | ||
| D | 1,877 | 0 | 1,892 | ||
| D | 1,028 | 34 | 1,062 | ||
| D | 847 | 23 | 872 | ||
| D | 721 | 25 | 746 | ||
| D | 1,454 | 21 | 1,476 | ||
| D | 1,139 | 0 | 1,159 | ||
| D | 1,407 | 88 | 1,495 | ||
| D | 1,401 | 35 | 1,436 | ||
| D | 1,356 | 57 | 1,413 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 2,137 | 549 | 2,726 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
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Demographics
Barnwell's electorate skews older and rural, with a substantial Black population concentrated in the county seat that consistently offsets some of the countywide Republican lean, keeping margins closer in local races than federal ones.
The Democratic margin here reached 100 points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixteen points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $46,626 and a 25% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Porter County and Berks County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Barnwell County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45011/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
