Hardeman County, Tennessee
Precinct data
Results by precinct
12 precincts · 9,399 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -West BolivarWest Bolivar | 789 | 850 | 16 | 1,655 | 47.7% | 51.4% | R+3.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MiddletonMiddleton | 193 | 1,378 | 11 | 1,582 | 12.2% | 87.1% | R+74.9 |
| Precinct -WhitevilleWhiteville | 661 | 387 | 12 | 1,060 | 62.4% | 36.5% | D+25.8 |
| Precinct -BolivarBolivar | 641 | 379 | 9 | 1,029 | 62.3% | 36.8% | D+25.5 |
| Precinct -Hickory ValleyHickory Valley | 155 | 526 | 3 | 684 | 22.7% | 76.9% | R+54.2 |
| Precinct -Grand JunctionGrand Junction | 432 | 184 | 5 | 621 | 69.6% | 29.6% | D+39.9 |
| Precinct -TooneToone | 146 | 442 | 6 | 594 | 24.6% | 74.4% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -HebronHebron | 179 | 408 | 4 | 591 | 30.3% | 69.0% | R+38.7 |
| Precinct -SilertonSilerton | 48 | 399 | 2 | 449 | 10.7% | 88.9% | R+78.2 |
| Precinct -HornsbyHornsby | 34 | 380 | 5 | 419 | 8.1% | 90.7% | R+82.6 |
| Precinct -SaulsburySaulsbury | 98 | 292 | 2 | 392 | 25.0% | 74.5% | R+49.5 |
| Precinct -Dixie HillsDixie Hills | 151 | 168 | 4 | 323 | 46.7% | 52.0% | R+5.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +35.6% |
| 1896 | +21.8% |
| 1900 | +19.2% |
| 1904 | +30.8% |
| 1908 | +46.8% |
| 1912 | +52.4% |
| 1916 | +55.9% |
| 1920 | +42.1% |
| 1924 | +70.2% |
| 1928 | +49.1% |
| 1932 | +78.2% |
| 1936 | +84.4% |
| 1940 | +77.6% |
| 1944 | +62.7% |
| 1948 | +39.2% |
| 1952 | +37.0% |
| 1956 | +27.9% |
| 1960 | +3.1% |
| 1964 | +4.4% |
| 1968 | +9.3% |
| 1972 | −36.7% |
| 1976 | +26.8% |
| 1980 | +17.0% |
| 1984 | +1.1% |
| 1988 | −0.3% |
| 1992 | +19.8% |
| 1996 | +23.1% |
| 2000 | +13.9% |
| 2004 | +9.4% |
| 2008 | +6.2% |
| 2012 | +5.9% |
| 2016 | −7.9% |
| 2020 | −15.7% |
| 2024 | −24.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 14,781 |
| 2018 | 14,231 |
| 2020 | 14,909 |
| 2022 | 14,759 |
| 2024 | 15,305 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−171 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,501 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,354 in average income, against $47,767 for residents who stayed — 20% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.9 on average — 10 points more Democratic-leaning than Hardeman County, TN itself (R+24.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Shelby County, TN113D+25.4
- Madison County, TN70R+18.2
- Fayette County, TN67R+42.4
- McNairy County, TN22R+68.4
- Chester County, TN20R+64.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Madison County, TN84
- Shelby County, TN65
- Fayette County, TN52
- McNairy County, TN21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −309 |
| 2012 | −238 |
| 2013 | −255 |
| 2014 | −336 |
| 2015 | −171 |
| 2016 | −202 |
| 2017 | −4 |
| 2018 | −144 |
| 2019 | −155 |
| 2021 | −65 |
| 2022 | +341 |
| 2023 | +155 |
| 2024 | +53 |
| 2025 | −171 |
Hardeman County sits in Tennessee's cotton-belt west, with a population split roughly evenly between Black and white residents — an unusual demographic profile that has historically kept margins tighter here than in neighboring rural counties, though the gap has grown sharply in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.4 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 36.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 8.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.1 points.
A population of 25,433, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,069 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chesterfield County and Richmond County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Hardeman County, Tennessee. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/47069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.