Shenandoah County, Virginia
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 24,489 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -103 - NEW MARKET103 - NEW MARKET | 883 | 2,331 | 50 | 3,264 | 27.1% | 71.4% | R+44.4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -503 - TOMS BROOK503 - TOMS BROOK | 783 | 2,187 | 39 | 3,009 | 26.0% | 72.7% | R+46.7 |
| Precinct -201 - CONICVILLE201 - CONICVILLE | 544 | 2,219 | 34 | 2,797 | 19.4% | 79.3% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -401 - WOODSTOCK NORTH401 - WOODSTOCK NORTH | 788 | 1,500 | 43 | 2,331 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -602 - STRASBURG EAST602 - STRASBURG EAST | 757 | 1,502 | 33 | 2,292 | 33.0% | 65.5% | R+32.5 |
| Precinct -504 - LEBANON CHURCH504 - LEBANON CHURCH | 467 | 1,671 | 24 | 2,162 | 21.6% | 77.3% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -601 - STRASBURG WEST601 - STRASBURG WEST | 707 | 1,403 | 36 | 2,146 | 32.9% | 65.4% | R+32.4 |
| Precinct -302 - EDINBURG302 - EDINBURG | 477 | 1,326 | 37 | 1,840 | 25.9% | 72.1% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -402 - WOODSTOCK SOUTH402 - WOODSTOCK SOUTH | 627 | 1,128 | 34 | 1,789 | 35.0% | 63.1% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -101 - ORKNEY SPRINGS101 - ORKNEY SPRINGS | 515 | 951 | 17 | 1,483 | 34.7% | 64.1% | R+29.4 |
| Precinct -304 - FORT VALLEY304 - FORT VALLEY | 316 | 839 | 13 | 1,168 | 27.1% | 71.8% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -501 - CEDAR CREEK501 - CEDAR CREEK | 50 | 158 | 0 | 208 | 24.0% | 76.0% | R+51.9 |
| Cedar Creek51171000501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Conicville51171000201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Edinburg51171000302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Fort Valley51171000304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Lebanon Church51171000504 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Mt Jackson51171000202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| New Market51171000103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Orkney Springs51171000101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -202 - MOUNT JACKSON202 - MOUNT JACKSON | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Precinct -303 - SAINT LUKE303 - SAINT LUKE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| St Luke51171000303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Strasburg51171000601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Toms Brook51171000503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
| Woodstock51171000401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | Even |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +14.4% |
| 1896 | −1.2% |
| 1900 | +2.7% |
| 1904 | −3.9% |
| 1908 | −5.6% |
| 1912 | +24.6% |
| 1916 | +0.5% |
| 1920 | −12.7% |
| 1924 | −0.6% |
| 1928 | −36.6% |
| 1932 | +2.3% |
| 1936 | −4.8% |
| 1940 | −18.0% |
| 1944 | −28.4% |
| 1948 | −33.7% |
| 1952 | −42.3% |
| 1956 | −39.8% |
| 1960 | −33.7% |
| 1964 | +17.9% |
| 1968 | −43.9% |
| 1972 | −19.3% |
| 1976 | −29.8% |
| 1980 | −39.1% |
| 1984 | −52.7% |
| 1988 | −44.5% |
| 1992 | −27.3% |
| 1996 | −24.2% |
| 2000 | −36.1% |
| 2004 | −38.7% |
| 2008 | −26.5% |
| 2012 | −31.3% |
| 2016 | −43.0% |
| 2020 | −40.6% |
| 2024 | −42.1% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 28,346 |
| 2018 | 28,662 |
| 2020 | 30,996 |
| 2022 | 32,191 |
| 2024 | 33,540 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+414 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +3,137 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,331 in average income, against $74,456 for residents who stayed — 12% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+14.0 on average — 28 points more Democratic-leaning than Shenandoah County, VA itself (R+42.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Frederick County, VA163R+28.3
- Warren County, VA124R+37.4
- Rockingham County, VA95R+36.8
- Fairfax County, VA81D+34.7
- Winchester city, VA65D+9.7
- Prince William County, VA53D+17.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Rockingham County, VA136
- Frederick County, VA134
- Warren County, VA112
- Harrisonburg city, VA54
- Berkeley County, WV44
- Winchester city, VA43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +123 |
| 2012 | +224 |
| 2013 | −34 |
| 2014 | +183 |
| 2015 | +156 |
| 2016 | +50 |
| 2017 | +278 |
| 2018 | +170 |
| 2019 | +170 |
| 2021 | +683 |
| 2022 | +179 |
| 2023 | +313 |
| 2024 | +228 |
| 2025 | +414 |
Tucked in Virginia's northwestern valley between the Blue Ridge and Allegheny ranges, Shenandoah County has moved steadily rightward over two decades, posting presidential margins that now rank among the widest in the commonwealth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 24.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 42.1 points.
A population of 44,925, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,191 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Grant County and Klamath County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Shenandoah County, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/51171/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.