How did Memphis vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Memphis voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+3.8. Kamala D Harris received 319,766 votes and Donald Trump received 345,345 out of 676,018 total votes cast, a 7.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Memphis's political history?

Memphis has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 33 and Republicans 7 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 53.3 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Memphis?

Memphis has a population of 7,134,033 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 50.7% non-Hispanic white, 4.2% Hispanic, 41.7% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $46,685.

Which places are most similar to Memphis?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Memphis are Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL), Greenwood-Greenville, Augusta-Aiken. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Memphis

Majority-Black metro where turnout margins routinely decide statewide races

The Memphis media market anchors Tennessee's western tip and pulls in corners of Arkansas and Mississippi, making it a rare cross-state audience zone where urban Democratic concentration meets competitive suburban counties just across the state line.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 640

Population7.1M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

35.5y▼ 3.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

23.2%▼ 11.8

White50.7%
Black41.7%
Hispanic4.2%
Two or more2.4%
Other1.9%
Asian1.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

MemphisBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL), Greenwood-Greenville, and Augusta-Aiken.

8 visible matches

Columbus, GA (Opelika, AL)

Tallahassee-Thomasville

Constituent Geography

Counties in Memphis

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Shelby	937K	D+25.4	201,759	118,917	326,497	12.1%
Shelby	919K	D+25.4	201,759	118,917	326,497	12.1%
Shelby	918K	D+25.4	201,759	118,917	326,497	12.1%
Shelby	897K	D+25.4	201,759	118,917	326,497	12.1%
DeSoto	191K	R+24.1	29,023	48,064	79,082	2.9%
DeSoto	171K	R+24.1	29,023	48,064	79,082	2.9%
DeSoto	149K	R+24.1	29,023	48,064	79,082	2.9%
DeSoto	107K	R+24.1	29,023	48,064	79,082	2.9%
Tipton	62K	R+52.8	6,178	20,303	26,733	1.0%
Tipton	62K	R+52.8	6,178	20,303	26,733	1.0%
Lafayette	58K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	0.9%
Tipton	58K	R+52.8	6,178	20,303	26,733	1.0%
Crittenden	52K	D+2.3	7,362	7,028	14,681	0.5%
Lafayette	52K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	0.9%
Mississippi	52K	R+31.6	3,574	6,963	10,717	0.4%
Tipton	51K	R+52.8	6,178	20,303	26,733	1.0%
Crittenden	51K	D+2.3	7,362	7,028	14,681	0.5%
Crittenden	50K	D+2.3	7,362	7,028	14,681	0.5%
Crittenden	47K	D+2.3	7,362	7,028	14,681	0.5%
Mississippi	47K	R+31.6	3,574	6,963	10,717	0.4%
Mississippi	44K	R+31.6	3,574	6,963	10,717	0.4%
Fayette	43K	R+42.4	6,720	16,756	23,696	0.9%
Lafayette	43K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	0.9%
Mississippi	39K	R+31.6	3,574	6,963	10,717	0.4%
Fayette	39K	R+42.4	6,720	16,756	23,696	0.9%
Lafayette	39K	R+21.8	8,956	14,050	23,409	0.9%
Dyer	38K	R+61.8	2,707	11,603	14,394	0.5%
Dyer	38K	R+61.8	2,707	11,603	14,394	0.5%
Alcorn	37K	R+68.3	2,328	12,657	15,112	0.6%
Dyer	37K	R+61.8	2,707	11,603	14,394	0.5%
Fayette	37K	R+42.4	6,720	16,756	23,696	0.9%
Dyer	37K	R+61.8	2,707	11,603	14,394	0.5%
Marshall	36K	R+7.3	6,888	7,977	14,983	0.6%
Marshall	36K	R+7.3	6,888	7,977	14,983	0.6%
Alcorn	36K	R+68.3	2,328	12,657	15,112	0.6%
Panola	35K	R+14.8	6,061	8,202	14,422	0.5%
Marshall	35K	R+7.3	6,888	7,977	14,983	0.6%
Alcorn	35K	R+68.3	2,328	12,657	15,112	0.6%
Panola	34K	R+14.8	6,061	8,202	14,422	0.5%
Alcorn	34K	R+68.3	2,328	12,657	15,112	0.6%
Panola	34K	R+14.8	6,061	8,202	14,422	0.5%
Marshall	34K	R+7.3	6,888	7,977	14,983	0.6%
Panola	33K	R+14.8	6,061	8,202	14,422	0.5%
Coahoma	31K	D+39.8	4,711	2,008	6,790	0.3%
St. Francis	29K	D+0.7	2,953	2,909	5,979	0.2%
Fayette	29K	R+42.4	6,720	16,756	23,696	0.9%
Tate	28K	R+43.8	3,555	9,185	12,861	0.5%
Tate	28K	R+43.8	3,555	9,185	12,861	0.5%
Hardeman	28K	R+24.1	3,527	5,793	9,399	0.3%
Hardeman	28K	R+24.1	3,527	5,793	9,399	0.3%
Coahoma	28K	D+39.8	4,711	2,008	6,790	0.3%
Lauderdale	27K	R+37.0	2,571	5,633	8,266	0.3%
Lauderdale	27K	R+37.0	2,571	5,633	8,266	0.3%
St. Francis	27K	D+0.7	2,953	2,909	5,979	0.2%
Tate	27K	R+43.8	3,555	9,185	12,861	0.5%
St. Francis	27K	D+0.7	2,953	2,909	5,979	0.2%
Lauderdale	27K	R+37.0	2,571	5,633	8,266	0.3%
Phillips	26K	D+13.3	2,754	2,098	4,938	0.2%
Mcnairy	26K	R+68.4	1,727	9,437	11,267	0.4%
Hardeman	26K	R+24.1	3,527	5,793	9,399	0.3%
Mcnairy	26K	R+68.4	1,727	9,437	11,267	0.4%
Poinsett	26K	R+63.5	1,235	5,731	7,079	0.3%
Mcnairy	25K	R+68.4	1,727	9,437	11,267	0.4%
Hardeman	25K	R+24.1	3,527	5,793	9,399	0.3%
Tate	25K	R+43.8	3,555	9,185	12,861	0.5%
Poinsett	25K	R+63.5	1,235	5,731	7,079	0.3%
Coahoma	25K	D+39.8	4,711	2,008	6,790	0.3%
Lauderdale	25K	R+37.0	2,571	5,633	8,266	0.3%
Mcnairy	25K	R+68.4	1,727	9,437	11,267	0.4%
Poinsett	24K	R+63.5	1,235	5,731	7,079	0.3%
Poinsett	23K	R+63.5	1,235	5,731	7,079	0.3%
St. Francis	22K	D+0.7	2,953	2,909	5,979	0.2%
Tippah	22K	R+67.1	1,547	7,984	9,591	0.4%
Phillips	22K	D+13.3	2,754	2,098	4,938	0.2%
Tippah	22K	R+67.1	1,547	7,984	9,591	0.4%
Tippah	21K	R+67.1	1,547	7,984	9,591	0.4%
Tippah	21K	R+67.1	1,547	7,984	9,591	0.4%
Coahoma	21K	D+39.8	4,711	2,008	6,790	0.3%
Pemiscot	20K	R+49.1	1,331	3,917	5,270	0.2%
Phillips	20K	D+13.3	2,754	2,098	4,938	0.2%
Haywood	20K	D+0.4	3,311	3,286	6,652	0.2%
Cross	20K	R+47.6	1,642	4,753	6,534	0.2%
Haywood	19K	D+0.4	3,311	3,286	6,652	0.2%
Cross	19K	R+47.6	1,642	4,753	6,534	0.2%
Pemiscot	19K	R+49.1	1,331	3,917	5,270	0.2%
Haywood	18K	D+0.4	3,311	3,286	6,652	0.2%
Pemiscot	18K	R+49.1	1,331	3,917	5,270	0.2%
Haywood	17K	D+0.4	3,311	3,286	6,652	0.2%
Cross	17K	R+47.6	1,642	4,753	6,534	0.2%
Cross	17K	R+47.6	1,642	4,753	6,534	0.2%
Phillips	15K	D+13.3	2,754	2,098	4,938	0.2%
Pemiscot	15K	R+49.1	1,331	3,917	5,270	0.2%
Crockett	15K	R+58.7	1,196	4,674	5,921	0.2%
Crockett	15K	R+58.7	1,196	4,674	5,921	0.2%
Crockett	14K	R+58.7	1,196	4,674	5,921	0.2%
Crockett	14K	R+58.7	1,196	4,674	5,921	0.2%
Lee	13K	D+3.5	1,270	1,181	2,520	0.1%
Lee	11K	D+3.5	1,270	1,181	2,520	0.1%
Tunica	10K	D+38.9	1,837	799	2,668	0.1%
Tunica	10K	D+38.9	1,837	799	2,668	0.1%
Quitman	10K	D+30.7	1,725	902	2,677	0.1%
Lee	10K	D+3.5	1,270	1,181	2,520	0.1%
Tunica	9K	D+38.9	1,837	799	2,668	0.1%
Tunica	9K	D+38.9	1,837	799	2,668	0.1%
Quitman	9K	D+30.7	1,725	902	2,677	0.1%
Benton	8K	R+31.4	1,318	2,535	3,880	0.1%
Lee	8K	D+3.5	1,270	1,181	2,520	0.1%
Benton	8K	R+31.4	1,318	2,535	3,880	0.1%
Benton	8K	R+31.4	1,318	2,535	3,880	0.1%
Quitman	8K	D+30.7	1,725	902	2,677	0.1%
Benton	8K	R+31.4	1,318	2,535	3,880	0.1%
Quitman	6K	D+30.7	1,725	902	2,677	0.1%

112 countiesTotal votes: 2,704,072

Historian Query

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“How has the Memphis media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MemphisCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 50.7%Black 41.7%Hispanic 4.2%Multiracial 1.6%Asian 1.5%

Group	Memphis	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	50.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	41.7%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	4.2%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	1.6%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

63.6%(1.1M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	35.4%	55.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	15.0%	23.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	9.4%	—	—
Catholic	3.9%	6.2%	—	—
Other	3.3%	5.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.2%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	36.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Memphis media market? 7,134,033 residents across 112 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Memphis vs National7.1M residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.1M

local

7.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.13%

local

2.13%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1%

local

37.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$46,685

local

$46,685National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.2%

local

19.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.2%

local

23.2%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

63.5%

local

63.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.5 yrs

local

35.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.1%

local

10.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.9%

local

3.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.3%

local

6.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.7%

local

93.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Memphis

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

51.6%

vs Previous

-5.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

633K · 48.4%

Citizen VAP

1,309,139

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Memphis split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+3.8	R+51.1	47.4pp
Senate vs Governor	R+5.3	R+51.1	45.8pp
President vs Senate	R+3.8	R+5.3	1.5pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 22.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Memphis sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)Mississippi(State)Missouri(State)Tennessee(State)

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