How did Davenport-R.Island-Moline vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Davenport-R.Island-Moline voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+11.5. Kamala D Harris received 160,580 votes and Donald Trump received 203,383 out of 371,058 total votes cast, a 5.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Davenport-R.Island-Moline's political history?

Davenport-R.Island-Moline has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 11 and Republicans 29 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 38.4 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Davenport-R.Island-Moline?

Davenport-R.Island-Moline has a population of 3,074,720 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.9% non-Hispanic white, 7.0% Hispanic, 4.6% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $51,779.

Which places are most similar to Davenport-R.Island-Moline?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Davenport-R.Island-Moline are Duluth-Superior, Toledo, Flint-Saginaw-Bay City. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Davenport-R.Island-Moline

A Mississippi River market where Iowa and Illinois suburbs split the vote

Straddling two states along the Mississippi, the Quad Cities market blends blue-collar manufacturing towns with growing suburban tracts, producing competitive margins that make it a reliable bellwether in both Iowa and Illinois contests.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 682

Population3.1M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

40.1y▲ 1.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.5%▼ 13.5

White84.9%
Hispanic7.0%
Black4.6%
Two or more3.3%
Other2.2%
Asian1.3%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Davenport-R.Island-MolineBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Duluth-Superior, Toledo, and Flint-Saginaw-Bay City.

8 visible matches

Duluth-Superior

Small-town rural republican 2

D+3.5

Similarity score86%

Toledo

Small-town rural republican 3

R+14.3

Similarity score86%

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.0

Similarity score86%

Wausau-Rhinelander

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.2

Similarity score86%

Traverse City-Cadillac

Small-town rural republican 2

R+22.9

Similarity score84%

Bangor

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.4

Similarity score83%

Green Bay-Appleton

Small-town rural republican 3

R+17.3

Similarity score82%

Marquette

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.7

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Davenport-R.Island-Moline

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Scott	175K	R+3.9	42,479	45,976	90,133	6.1%
Scott	171K	R+3.9	42,479	45,976	90,133	6.1%
Scott	163K	R+3.9	42,479	45,976	90,133	6.1%
Scott	159K	R+3.9	42,479	45,976	90,133	6.1%
Rock Island	149K	D+9.6	34,126	28,061	63,458	4.3%
Rock Island	147K	D+9.6	34,126	28,061	63,458	4.3%
Rock Island	147K	D+9.6	34,126	28,061	63,458	4.3%
Rock Island	143K	D+9.6	34,126	28,061	63,458	4.3%
Whiteside	61K	R+14.7	11,012	14,898	26,447	1.8%
Whiteside	59K	R+14.7	11,012	14,898	26,447	1.8%
Whiteside	57K	R+14.7	11,012	14,898	26,447	1.8%
Knox	56K	R+9.4	9,838	11,917	22,191	1.5%
Whiteside	55K	R+14.7	11,012	14,898	26,447	1.8%
Knox	52K	R+9.4	9,838	11,917	22,191	1.5%
Knox	52K	R+9.4	9,838	11,917	22,191	1.5%
Henry	51K	R+24.4	9,226	15,359	25,092	1.7%
Clinton	50K	R+18.8	9,472	13,964	23,878	1.6%
Henry	50K	R+24.4	9,226	15,359	25,092	1.7%
Henry	50K	R+24.4	9,226	15,359	25,092	1.7%
Clinton	49K	R+18.8	9,472	13,964	23,878	1.6%
Knox	49K	R+9.4	9,838	11,917	22,191	1.5%
Henry	49K	R+24.4	9,226	15,359	25,092	1.7%
Clinton	48K	R+18.8	9,472	13,964	23,878	1.6%
Clinton	46K	R+18.8	9,472	13,964	23,878	1.6%
Muscatine	43K	R+14.9	8,212	11,152	19,752	1.3%
Muscatine	43K	R+14.9	8,212	11,152	19,752	1.3%
Muscatine	42K	R+14.9	8,212	11,152	19,752	1.3%
Des Moines	42K	R+15.0	7,935	10,794	19,054	1.3%
Muscatine	42K	R+14.9	8,212	11,152	19,752	1.3%
Des Moines	41K	R+15.0	7,935	10,794	19,054	1.3%
Des Moines	40K	R+15.0	7,935	10,794	19,054	1.3%
Des Moines	38K	R+15.0	7,935	10,794	19,054	1.3%
Bureau	36K	R+24.3	5,900	9,784	15,999	1.1%
Bureau	35K	R+24.3	5,900	9,784	15,999	1.1%
Bureau	34K	R+24.3	5,900	9,784	15,999	1.1%
Bureau	33K	R+24.3	5,900	9,784	15,999	1.1%
Jodaviess	22K	R+16.8	5,051	7,136	12,414	0.8%
Jodaviess	22K	R+16.8	5,051	7,136	12,414	0.8%
Jodaviess	22K	R+16.8	5,051	7,136	12,414	0.8%
Jodaviess	22K	R+16.8	5,051	7,136	12,414	0.8%
Henry	20K	R+35.9	2,995	6,439	9,600	0.6%
Jackson	20K	R+32.5	3,567	7,074	10,801	0.7%
Henry	20K	R+35.9	2,995	6,439	9,600	0.6%
Henry	20K	R+35.9	2,995	6,439	9,600	0.6%
Henry	20K	R+35.9	2,995	6,439	9,600	0.6%
Jackson	20K	R+32.5	3,567	7,074	10,801	0.7%
Jackson	20K	R+32.5	3,567	7,074	10,801	0.7%
Jackson	19K	R+32.5	3,567	7,074	10,801	0.7%
Warren	19K	R+25.1	2,711	4,579	7,447	0.5%
Warren	18K	R+25.1	2,711	4,579	7,447	0.5%
Warren	18K	R+25.1	2,711	4,579	7,447	0.5%
Mercer	17K	R+27.1	2,950	5,215	8,346	0.6%
Carroll	17K	R+31.7	2,600	5,082	7,840	0.5%
Warren	16K	R+25.1	2,711	4,579	7,447	0.5%
Mercer	16K	R+27.1	2,950	5,215	8,346	0.6%
Mercer	16K	R+27.1	2,950	5,215	8,346	0.6%
Carroll	16K	R+31.7	2,600	5,082	7,840	0.5%
Carroll	16K	R+31.7	2,600	5,082	7,840	0.5%
Mercer	15K	R+27.1	2,950	5,215	8,346	0.6%
Carroll	15K	R+31.7	2,600	5,082	7,840	0.5%
Louisa	12K	R+40.9	1,480	3,584	5,142	0.3%
Louisa	12K	R+40.9	1,480	3,584	5,142	0.3%
Louisa	11K	R+40.9	1,480	3,584	5,142	0.3%
Louisa	11K	R+40.9	1,480	3,584	5,142	0.3%
Henderson	8K	R+38.8	1,026	2,369	3,464	0.2%
Henderson	8K	R+38.8	1,026	2,369	3,464	0.2%
Henderson	7K	R+38.8	1,026	2,369	3,464	0.2%
Henderson	6K	R+38.8	1,026	2,369	3,464	0.2%

68 countiesTotal votes: 1,484,232

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Davenport-R.Island-Moline's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Davenport-R.Island-Moline media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Davenport-R.Island-MolineCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.9%Hispanic 7.0%Black 4.6%Multiracial 2.0%Asian 1.3%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.9%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	7.0%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(10)	4.6%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.0%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.3%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

39.4%(297.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +6.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	13.7%	34.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	12.7%	32.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	9.6%	24.4%	—	—
Other	2.1%	5.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.1%	2.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	60.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Davenport-R.Island-Moline media market? 3,074,720 residents across 68 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Davenport-R.Island-Moline vs National3.1M residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.1M

local

3.1MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.92%

local

0.92%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1%

local

37.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$51,779

local

$51,779National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.5%

local

21.5%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

73.1%

local

73.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.1 yrs

local

40.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.7%

local

10.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.8%

local

3.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.8%

local

6.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.2%

local

93.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Davenport-R.Island-Moline

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

64.7%

vs Previous

-2.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

202K · 35.3%

Citizen VAP

573,174

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Davenport-R.Island-Moline split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (59/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+9.0	R+15.0	6.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Davenport-R.Island-Moline sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)Iowa(State)

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