Arizona 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1912–2024 · 29 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
75.0%
1,742 votes · D+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 72.8%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
55.8%
11,626 votes · R+12.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · 54.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
48,386votes
44.8% of the vote · R+9.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 46,041 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
58,557votes
54.2% of the vote · R+9.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 49,845 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
+33.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+51.4 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +30.5 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
+11.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+4.0 · U.S. D+7.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +9.3 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RChris LopezState House · 16
RTeresa MartinezState House · 16
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Arizona House District 16 has trended reliably Republican in recent cycles, posting a 9.4-point margin in 2024. Its suburban and exurban character reflects broader population growth reshaping the competitive edges of the Phoenix metro.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 16.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.4 points.
A population of 236,940, a 46% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,249 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 34 and State House District 23.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arizona 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/04016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Arizona 16th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arizona 16th State House District voted Republican by 9.4 points (R+9.4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 108,119 votes cast, 48,386 went Democratic and 58,557 went Republican.
When did Arizona 16th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arizona 16th State House District voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Arizona 16th State House District?
Arizona 16th State House District has a population of 236,940 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arizona 16th State House District?
Median household income in Arizona 16th State House District is $76,249 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Arizona 16th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arizona 16th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 16 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.