HarrisDemocratic17.5%2,398TrumpRepublican80.8%11,097OtherAll other candidates1.7%240
R+63.3- Lead
- 8,699
- Total
- 13,735
- vs nation
- R+61.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Arkansas 5th State House District
Contests in this Place (44 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic18.6%2,590TrumpRepublican79.0%10,992OtherAll other candidates2.4%336
R+60.4- Lead
- 8,402
- Total
- 13,918
- vs nation
- R+64.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic19.6%2,469TrumpRepublican77.9%9,836OtherAll other candidates2.5%319
R+58.4- Lead
- 7,367
- Total
- 12,624
- vs nation
- R+60.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic25.5%3,192RomneyRepublican71.6%8,972OtherAll other candidates3.0%373
R+46.1- Lead
- 5,780
- Total
- 12,537
- vs nation
- R+50.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic29.3%3,675McCainRepublican67.7%8,483OtherAll other candidates3.0%377
R+38.4- Lead
- 4,808
- Total
- 12,535
- vs nation
- R+45.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic32.1%3,867BushRepublican65.5%7,888OtherAll other candidates2.4%284
R+33.4- Lead
- 4,021
- Total
- 12,039
- vs nation
- R+30.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic33.6%3,732BushRepublican62.1%6,886OtherAll other candidates4.3%477
R+28.4- Lead
- 3,154
- Total
- 11,095
- vs nation
- R+28.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic44.2%4,834DoleRepublican44.9%4,914OtherAll other candidates11.0%1,201
R+0.7- Lead
- 80
- Total
- 10,949
- vs nation
- R+9.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 30,8812024 5-year
- Population density
- 85 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 362 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,9092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+66.4 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 28, AR · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 5th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
83.2%
853 votes · D+66.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 78.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.8%
11,097 votes · R+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
5,180votes
43.3% of the vote · D+2.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · 4,834 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,097votes
80.8% of the vote · R+63.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,992 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+55.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+49.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +53.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.4 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +61.9 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRon McNairState House · 5
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 15.8%2,044 | 84.2%10,890 | 12,934 |
| 2020 | R | 16.1%2,141 | 83.9%11,194 | 13,335 |
With a 2024 presidential margin exceeding 56 points, this district anchors heavily Republican territory where statewide Republican candidates routinely post some of their strongest showings in Arkansas legislative contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.4 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 63.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.3 points.
A population of 30,881, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,909 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 28 and State House District 22.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 28
Arkansas
97.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
State House District 22
Tennessee
97.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
State House District 29
Alabama
97.2twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 5th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05005/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 5th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 5th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 5th State House District voted Republican by 63.3 points (R+63.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 13,735 votes cast, 2,398 went Democratic and 11,097 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 5th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 5th State House District voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Arkansas 5th State House District?
Arkansas 5th State House District has a population of 30,881 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 5th State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 5th State House District is $54,909 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 5th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 5th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 22 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.