state house districtArkansas 53rd State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+21.8
2008R+33.9
2012R+37.0
2016R+33.1
2020R+31.5
2024R+33.1
net swing · 2004→2024R+11.3R+21.8 → R+33.1
vs. U.S. · 2024R+31.6R+33.1 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 43.0% of 21,749 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
2,991
6,080
275
9,346
21,749
43.0%
2020
3,182
6,243
280
9,705
21,558†
45.0%
2016
2,737
5,748
621
9,106
21,291†
42.8%
2012
2,586
5,765
231
8,582
21,026†
40.8%
2008
2,304
4,755
178
7,237
20,020†
36.1%
2004
2,676
4,170
21
6,867
19,014†
36.1%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAR HD 53ArkansasUnited States
American14.5%7.5%5.3%
English12.2%12.3%9.5%
German8.6%9.2%12.5%
Irish8.0%8.9%9.4%
Scottish1.9%1.8%1.3%
Italian1.8%1.4%4.8%
French1.5%1.3%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.2%0.6%—
Mexican8.6%6.3%11.3%
Salvadoran3.0%0.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican1.0%0.3%1.8%
Honduran0.9%0.2%0.3%
Cuban0.6%—0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%0.4%0.5%
Venezuelan0.4%——
African American†5.5%13.5%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
AR HD 53
Arkansas
United States
Median age
31.5
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
11.5%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
16.5%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
AR HD 53
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$52,267
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
19.8%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
24.7%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
AR HD 53
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
9.4%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
8.2%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
AR HD 53
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Arkansas 53rd State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−21.8%
2008
−33.9%
2012
−37.0%
2016
−33.1%
2020
−31.5%
2024
−33.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
32.0%Harris2,991
65.1%Trump6,080
2.9%
R+33.1
R+1.5
R+31.6
9,346
R
32.8%Biden3,182
64.3%Trump6,243
2.9%
R+31.5
D+1.5
R+36.0
9,705
R
30.1%Clinton2,737
63.1%Trump5,748
6.8%
R+33.1
D+4.0
R+35.2
9,106
R
30.1%Obama2,586
67.2%Romney5,765
2.7%
R+37.0
R+3.2
R+40.9
8,582
R
31.8%Obama2,304
65.7%McCain4,755
2.5%
R+33.9
R+12.1
R+41.1
7,237
R
39.0%Kerry2,676
60.7%Bush4,170
0.3%
R+21.8
—
R+19.3
6,867
current representation
Current officeholders
RMatt DuffieldState House · 53
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+68.9 in a district of roughly 29,000 residents, this rural Arkansas seat ranks among the state's most decisively one-sided legislative districts, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or local challengers.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 37.0 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 33.1 points.
A population of 29,344, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,267 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 58.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Arkansas 53rd State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 53rd State House District voted Republican by 33.1 points (R+33.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,346 votes cast, 2,991 went Democratic and 6,080 went Republican.
How many people live in Arkansas 53rd State House District?
Arkansas 53rd State House District has a population of 29,344 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 53rd State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 53rd State House District is $52,267 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 53rd State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Arkansas 53rd State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
