Connecticut 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
66.4%
5,559 votes · D+32.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 57.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
66.0%
6,705 votes · R+33.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 65.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
8,354votes
55.2% of the vote · D+12.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 7,678 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
7,231votes
64.3% of the vote · R+29.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 6,705 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+11.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+12.4 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · +10.5 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+24.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · +23.6 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DNick GauthierState House · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2020
D
63.3%6,664
36.7%3,864
10,528
2018
D
66.2%5,920
33.8%3,018
8,938
The 2024 presidential margin was D+8.5, one of the narrower results among Connecticut's state house districts, compared with D+15.6 in 2008. About 19,600 residents lived here, with White alone at 74.5% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.9 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 36.3 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.5 points.
A population of 24,657, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,191 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 8 and State House District 48.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Connecticut 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Connecticut 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Connecticut 38th State House District voted Democratic by 8.5 points (D+8.5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 14,367 votes cast, 7,678 went Democratic and 6,454 went Republican.
When did Connecticut 38th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Connecticut 38th State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Connecticut 38th State House District?
Connecticut 38th State House District has a population of 24,657 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Connecticut 38th State House District?
Median household income in Connecticut 38th State House District is $104,191 — above the national median of $80,734. The Connecticut state median is $95,781.
What is the political history of Connecticut 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Connecticut 38th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.