Connecticut 51st State House District
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −0.2% |
| 2008 | +7.9% |
| 2012 | +3.9% |
| 2016 | −18.3% |
| 2020 | −12.5% |
| 2024 | −18.2% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 40.2%Harris4,842 | 58.4%Trump7,038 | 1.4% | R+18.2 | R+5.8 | R+16.8 | 12,043 | |
| R | 42.7%Biden5,248 | 55.2%Trump6,782 | 2.1% | R+12.5 | D+5.8 | R+16.9 | 12,289 | |
| R | 37.6%Clinton3,964 | 55.9%Trump5,893 | 6.6% | R+18.3 | R+22.1 | R+20.4 | 10,550 | |
| D | 51.0%Obama4,809 | 47.1%Romney4,445 | 1.9% | D+3.9 | R+4.0 | ±0.0 | 9,429 | |
| D | 52.9%Obama5,544 | 45.0%McCain4,718 | 2.0% | D+7.9 | D+8.1 | D+0.6 | 10,476 | |
| R | 48.8%Kerry4,926 | 49.0%Bush4,951 | 2.2% | R+0.2 | — | D+2.2 | 10,099 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Posting an R+18.2 margin in 2024, this district stands well outside Connecticut's statewide competitive range, signaling a demographic and geographic profile that diverges markedly from the state's overall lean.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 7.9 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 18.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.2 points.
A population of 24,288, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $83,935 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 47 and State House District 45.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 51st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/09051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.