state house districtFlorida 45th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+28.9
2008R+10.2
2012R+15.2
2016R+0.7
2020D+5.5
2024R+0.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+28.3R+28.9 → R+0.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+0.9R+0.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 83.0% of 119,683 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
48,480
49,091
1,752
99,323
119,683
83.0%
2020
48,707
43,603
1,173
93,483
111,846†
83.6%
2016
30,504
30,947
3,087
64,538
101,373†
63.7%
2012
20,371
27,780
519
48,670
91,776†
53.0%
2008
18,626
22,926
433
41,985
82,370†
51.0%
2004
13,043
23,737
162
36,942
72,964†
50.6%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFL HD 45FloridaUnited States
American14.2%7.7%5.3%
German10.8%8.9%12.5%
English10.5%8.2%9.5%
Irish9.8%8.2%9.4%
Italian7.6%5.6%4.8%
Polish2.5%2.1%2.2%
French2.2%1.7%1.6%
Scottish1.9%1.3%1.3%
Puerto Rican8.9%5.6%1.8%
Venezuelan2.1%1.6%—
Colombian2.0%2.1%0.4%
Mexican1.8%3.3%11.3%
Cuban1.7%7.3%0.7%
Dominican1.7%1.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%—0.5%
Ecuadorian0.4%——
Asian Indian2.6%0.9%1.4%
Chinese1.5%0.5%1.3%
Vietnamese1.4%0.4%0.6%
Filipino1.1%0.5%0.9%
Korean0.3%—0.4%
Pakistani0.3%——
African American†4.2%9.5%9.9%
Haitian1.3%2.3%0.3%
Jamaican0.6%1.5%0.4%
African0.3%0.5%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
FL HD 45
Florida
United States
Median age
37.6
43.1
39.1
Age 18–24
10.1%
8.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
13.0%
21.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
FL HD 45
Florida
United States
Median household income
$112,181
$74,568
$84,427
Poverty rate
7.3%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
38.7%
34.2%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
FL HD 45
Florida
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
39.6%
30.7%
22.3%
Spanish
27.6%
22.6%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
3.7%
2.7%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
3.6%
1.9%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
FL HD 45
Florida
United States
Catholic
—
19.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
18.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
53.1%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Florida 45th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−28.9%
2008
−10.2%
2012
−15.2%
2016
−0.7%
2020
+5.5%
2024
−0.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
48.8%Harris48,480
49.4%Trump49,091
1.8%
R+0.6
R+6.1
D+0.9
99,323
D
52.1%Biden48,707
46.6%Trump43,603
1.3%
D+5.5
D+6.1
D+1.0
93,483
R
47.3%Clinton30,504
48.0%Trump30,947
4.8%
R+0.7
D+14.5
R+2.8
64,538
R
41.9%Obama20,371
57.1%Romney27,780
1.1%
R+15.2
R+5.0
R+19.1
48,670
R
44.4%Obama18,626
54.6%McCain22,926
1.0%
R+10.2
D+18.7
R+17.5
41,985
R
35.3%Kerry13,043
64.3%Bush23,737
0.4%
R+28.9
—
R+26.5
36,942
current representation
Current officeholders
DLeonard SpencerState House · 45
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+0.6 in 2024 and R+10.2 in 2008, switching sides at least once in between. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with White residents at 41.7%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.5 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 28.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.6 points.
A population of 175,973, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $112,181 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 39 and State House District 42.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Florida 45th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Florida 45th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Florida 45th State House District voted Republican by 0.6 points (R+0.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 99,323 votes cast, 48,480 went Democratic and 49,091 went Republican.
When did Florida 45th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Florida 45th State House District voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Florida 45th State House District?
Florida 45th State House District has a population of 175,973 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Florida 45th State House District?
Median household income in Florida 45th State House District is $112,181 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Florida 45th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Florida 45th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
