Massachusetts 154th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
85.4%
11,934 votes · D+71.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · 74.5%
Republican
William McKinley1896
63.3%
1,168 votes · R+33.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 56.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
13,489votes
68.7% of the vote · D+39.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 12,069 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
5,961votes
32.1% of the vote · D+32.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 5,687 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
George McGovern1972
+55.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+32.3 · U.S. R+23.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hubert Humphrey, 1968 · +52.7 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+27.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.2 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William H. Taft, 1912 · +11.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DJohn MahoneyState House · 13th Worcester
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
100.0%13,799
0.0%0
13,799
2020
D
68.9%14,196
31.1%6,404
20,600
Centered in Worcester, this district's D+32.9 presidential margin reflects a dense urban core shaped by a large student and renter population, patterns typical of Massachusetts districts anchored by higher-education institutions.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 33.2 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 32.9 points.
A population of 45,196, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,719 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of 7th Essex District and 14th Worcester District.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Massachusetts 154th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/25154/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Massachusetts 154th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Massachusetts 154th State House District voted Democratic by 32.9 points (D+32.9), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 18,589 votes cast, 12,069 went Democratic and 5,961 went Republican.
When did Massachusetts 154th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Massachusetts 154th State House District voted Republican was 1924.
How many people live in Massachusetts 154th State House District?
Massachusetts 154th State House District has a population of 45,196 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Massachusetts 154th State House District?
Median household income in Massachusetts 154th State House District is $97,719 — above the national median of $80,734. The Massachusetts state median is $103,960.
What is the political history of Massachusetts 154th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Massachusetts 154th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 31 went Democratic and 7 went Republican.