HarrisDemocratic38.5%19,696TrumpRepublican60.1%30,758OtherAll other candidates1.4%701
R+21.6- Lead
- 11,062
- Total
- 51,155
- vs nation
- R+20.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Michigan 34th State House District
Contests in this Place (45 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic40.0%19,820TrumpRepublican58.4%28,948OtherAll other candidates1.7%839
R+18.4- Lead
- 9,128
- Total
- 49,607
- vs nation
- R+22.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic36.8%15,832TrumpRepublican56.5%24,291OtherAll other candidates6.7%2,880
R+19.7- Lead
- 8,459
- Total
- 43,003
- vs nation
- R+21.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic49.2%20,582RomneyRepublican49.1%20,537OtherAll other candidates1.7%707
D+0.1- Lead
- 45
- Total
- 41,826
- vs nation
- R+3.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic52.2%23,276McCainRepublican45.8%20,419OtherAll other candidates2.0%904
D+6.4- Lead
- 2,857
- Total
- 44,599
- vs nation
- R+0.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic44.9%19,639BushRepublican53.9%23,582OtherAll other candidates1.2%515
R+9.0- Lead
- 3,943
- Total
- 43,736
- vs nation
- R+6.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic46.6%17,383BushRepublican50.9%19,000OtherAll other candidates2.5%951
R+4.3- Lead
- 1,617
- Total
- 37,334
- vs nation
- R+4.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.2%16,002DoleRepublican39.2%13,004OtherAll other candidates12.5%4,161
D+9.0- Lead
- 2,998
- Total
- 33,167
- vs nation
- D+0.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+21.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 92,3712024 5-year
- Population density
- 142 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 652 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,4912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+20.5 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 71, MI · twin score 93.7
presidential history
Party record book
Michigan 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
60.1%
15,897 votes · D+20.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 52.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.4%
13,588 votes · R+53.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 72.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
23,276votes
52.2% of the vote · D+6.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 20,582 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
30,758votes
60.1% of the vote · R+21.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,948 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1900
+2.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+5.2 · U.S. R+7.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1996 · +0.5 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+49.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+39.6 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +47.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RNancy Jenkins-ArnoState House · 34
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.7%17,674 | 64.3%31,878 | 49,552 |
| 2020 | R | 38.9%19,180 | 61.1%30,102 | 49,282 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+21.6, this district of roughly 92,000 residents trends well above the statewide Republican baseline, reflecting the rural and small-town demographics typical of west-central Michigan.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.5 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.6 points.
A population of 92,371, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,491 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 71 and State House District 67.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 71
Michigan
93.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticitycollege share≠ American ancestry
State House District 67
Michigan
90.3twin score
12-yr trendcollege share2020 margin≠ American ancestry
State House District 101
Michigan
89.1twin score
12-yr trendelasticity% unaffiliated≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Michigan 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/26034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Places within Michigan 34th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did Michigan 34th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Michigan 34th State House District voted Republican by 21.6 points (R+21.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 51,155 votes cast, 19,696 went Democratic and 30,758 went Republican.
When did Michigan 34th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Michigan 34th State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Michigan 34th State House District?
Michigan 34th State House District has a population of 92,371 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Michigan 34th State House District?
Median household income in Michigan 34th State House District is $70,491 — below the national median of $80,734. The Michigan state median is $72,875.
What is the political history of Michigan 34th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Michigan 34th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.