- Lead
- 12,676
- Total
- 55,016
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- 71.7%
Lenawee County, MI
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.7% of 77,203 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 10,623
- Total
- 53,375
- vs nation
- R+24.4
- Turnout
- 70.2%
- Lead
- 9,680
- Total
- 46,298
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Turnout
- 61.2%
- Lead
- 575
- Total
- 44,928
- vs nation
- R+5.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,415
- Total
- 47,734
- vs nation
- R+2.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,888
- Total
- 47,012
- vs nation
- R+7.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,316
- Total
- 40,093
- vs nation
- R+6.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,756
- Total
- 35,619
- vs nation
- R+0.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 98,4152024 5-year
- Population density
- 131 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 750 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $70,5182024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+19.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Shiawassee County, MI · twin score 94.0
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
- 2024 turnout
- 71.7%55,327 participants ÷ 77,203 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -0.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 57.1%–61.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55,327 | 77,203 ± 370 | 71.7% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 43,200 | 77,561 ± 354 | 55.7% | Audited | A/A |
| 53,678 | 76,418 ± 345 | 70.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2018Mid | 41,972 | 76,204 ± 294 | 55.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 46,630 | 76,205 ± 315 | 61.2% | Audited | A/A | |
| 44,928 | 75,623 | 59.4% | Derived | — | |
| 47,734 | 74,976 | 63.7% | Derived | — | |
| 47,012 | 74,329 extrapolated | 63.2% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 84 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
84 precincts · 55,016 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 1City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 1 | 1,387 | 1,430 | 44 | 2,861 | 48.5% | 50.0% | R+1.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 2City of Tecumseh, Ward 1, Precinct 2 | 1,372 | 1,316 | 50 | 2,738 | 50.1% | 48.1% | D+2.0 |
| Precinct -Woodstock Township, Precinct 1Woodstock Township, Precinct 1 | 614 | 1,587 | 34 | 2,235 | 27.5% | 71.0% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin Township, Precinct 1Franklin Township, Precinct 1 | 700 | 1,355 | 19 | 2,074 | 33.8% | 65.3% | R+31.6 |
| Precinct -Adrian Township, Precinct 1Adrian Township, Precinct 1 | 808 | 1,241 | 20 | 2,069 | 39.1% | 60.0% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Rollin Township, Precinct 1Rollin Township, Precinct 1 | 635 | 1,321 | 21 | 1,977 | 32.1% | 66.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -Adrian Township, Precinct 2Adrian Township, Precinct 2 | 763 | 1,158 | 24 | 1,945 | 39.2% | 59.5% | R+20.3 |
| Precinct -Blissfield Township, Precinct 2Blissfield Township, Precinct 2 | 724 | 1,181 | 20 | 1,925 | 37.6% | 61.4% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 1Raisin Township, Precinct 1 | 671 | 1,199 | 29 | 1,899 | 35.3% | 63.1% | R+27.8 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 4City of Adrian, Precinct 4 | 877 | 810 | 32 | 1,719 | 51.0% | 47.1% | D+3.9 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 3Raisin Township, Precinct 3 | 650 | 959 | 24 | 1,633 | 39.8% | 58.7% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 1Cambridge Township, Precinct 1 | 432 | 1,056 | 13 | 1,501 | 28.8% | 70.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 2Clinton Township, Precinct 2 | 688 | 752 | 24 | 1,464 | 47.0% | 51.4% | R+4.4 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 6City of Adrian, Precinct 6 | 737 | 698 | 18 | 1,453 | 50.7% | 48.0% | D+2.7 |
| Precinct -Raisin Township, Precinct 2Raisin Township, Precinct 2 | 564 | 867 | 16 | 1,447 | 39.0% | 59.9% | R+20.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 2Cambridge Township, Precinct 2 | 504 | 852 | 18 | 1,374 | 36.7% | 62.0% | R+25.3 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 1City of Adrian, Precinct 1 | 800 | 552 | 17 | 1,369 | 58.4% | 40.3% | D+18.1 |
| Precinct -Tecumseh Township, Precinct 1Tecumseh Township, Precinct 1 | 544 | 796 | 22 | 1,362 | 39.9% | 58.4% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 3City of Adrian, Precinct 3 | 690 | 598 | 25 | 1,313 | 52.6% | 45.5% | D+7.0 |
| Precinct -Palmyra Township, Precinct 1Palmyra Township, Precinct 1 | 391 | 837 | 16 | 1,244 | 31.4% | 67.3% | R+35.9 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 1Madison Charter Township, Precinct 1 | 511 | 706 | 22 | 1,239 | 41.2% | 57.0% | R+15.7 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 2Madison Charter Township, Precinct 2 | 365 | 818 | 12 | 1,195 | 30.5% | 68.5% | R+37.9 |
| Precinct -Cambridge Township, Precinct 3Cambridge Township, Precinct 3 | 439 | 715 | 11 | 1,165 | 37.7% | 61.4% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 2City of Adrian, Precinct 2 | 621 | 514 | 27 | 1,162 | 53.4% | 44.2% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -City of Adrian, Precinct 5City of Adrian, Precinct 5 | 538 | 571 | 20 | 1,129 | 47.7% | 50.6% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -Rome Township, Precinct 1Rome Township, Precinct 1 | 254 | 831 | 6 | 1,091 | 23.3% | 76.2% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -Madison Charter Township, Precinct 3Madison Charter Township, Precinct 3 | 380 | 634 | 11 | 1,025 | 37.1% | 61.9% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -City of Hudson, Precinct 1City of Hudson, Precinct 1 | 321 | 681 | 16 | 1,018 | 31.5% | 66.9% | R+35.4 |
| Precinct -City of Morenci, Precinct 1City of Morenci, Precinct 1 | 287 | 687 | 17 | 991 | 29.0% | 69.3% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -Dover Township, Precinct 1Dover Township, Precinct 1 | 251 | 683 | 12 | 946 | 26.5% | 72.2% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Hudson Township, Precinct 1Hudson Township, Precinct 1 | 246 | 675 | 11 | 932 | 26.4% | 72.4% | R+46.0 |
| Precinct -Fairfield Township, Precinct 1Fairfield Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 646 | 15 | 911 | 27.4% | 70.9% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Clinton Township, Precinct 1Clinton Township, Precinct 1 | 276 | 621 | 10 | 907 | 30.4% | 68.5% | R+38.0 |
| Precinct -Macon Township, Precinct 1Macon Township, Precinct 1 | 245 | 646 | 14 | 905 | 27.1% | 71.4% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -Ridgeway Township, Precinct 1Ridgeway Township, Precinct 1 | 246 | 639 | 12 | 897 | 27.4% | 71.2% | R+43.8 |
| Precinct -Deerfield Township, Precinct 1Deerfield Township, Precinct 1 | 250 | 620 | 16 | 886 | 28.2% | 70.0% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -Riga Township, Precinct 1Riga Township, Precinct 1 | 227 | 595 | 15 | 837 | 27.1% | 71.1% | R+44.0 |
| Precinct -Ogden Township, Precinct 1Ogden Township, Precinct 1 | 143 | 448 | 21 | 612 | 23.4% | 73.2% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -Seneca Township, Precinct 1Seneca Township, Precinct 1 | 167 | 423 | 3 | 593 | 28.2% | 71.3% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Medina Township, Precinct 1Medina Township, Precinct 1 | 142 | 428 | 2 | 572 | 24.8% | 74.8% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Blissfield Township, Precinct 1Blissfield Township, Precinct 1 | 77 | 317 | 7 | 401 | 19.2% | 79.1% | R+59.9 |
| Adrian City 00001091-00440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian City 00002091-00440-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian City 00003091-00440-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian City 00004091-00440-00004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian City 00005091-00440-00005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian City 00006091-00440-00006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian Township 00001091-00460-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Adrian Township 00002091-00460-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blissfield Township 00001091-09020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Blissfield Township 00002091-09020-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cambridge Township 00001091-12720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cambridge Township 00002091-12720-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Cambridge Township 00003091-12720-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinton Township 00001091-16500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Clinton Township 00002091-16500-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Deerfield Township 00001091-21200-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Dover Township 00001091-22820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Fairfield Township 00001091-27020-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Franklin Township 00001091-30320-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hudson City 00001091-39720-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Hudson Township 00001091-39740-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Macon Township 00001091-50520-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison Charter Township 00001091-50540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison Charter Township 00002091-50540-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Madison Charter Township 00003091-50540-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Medina Township 00001091-52820-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Morenci City 00001091-55500-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ogden Township 00001091-60260-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Palmyra Township 00001091-62240-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raisin Township 00001091-66840-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raisin Township 00002091-66840-00002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Raisin Township 00003091-66840-00003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Ridgeway Township 00001091-68540-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Riga Township 00001091-68580-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rollin Township 00001091-69340-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rome Township 00001091-69360-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Seneca Township 00001091-72440-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tecumseh City 01001091-79120-01001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tecumseh City 01002091-79120-01002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tecumseh City 01003091-79120-01003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tecumseh City 01004091-79120-01004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Tecumseh Township 00001091-79140-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Woodstock Township 00001091-88640-00001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Party record book
Lenawee County, MI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
59.5%
16,815 votes · D+19.2
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 51.6%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
76.9%
14,794 votes · R+54.5
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 72.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
24,640votes
51.6% of the vote · D+5.1
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 21,776 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
33,463votes
60.8% of the vote · R+23.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 31,541 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+1.9pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.2 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +0.9 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+50.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.7 · U.S. D+9.9
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +48.9 pts
Current officeholders
Seats representing Lenawee County, MI. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 35.7%18,830 | 64.3%33,964 | 52,794 |
| 2020 | R | 38.9%20,435 | 61.1%32,072 | 52,507 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 73,564 |
| 2018 | 72,621 |
| 2020 | 79,214 |
| 2022 | 79,894 |
| 2024 | 81,670 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+201 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,981 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,057 in average income, against $69,526 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+3.8 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Lenawee County, MI itself (R+23.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Washtenaw County, MI274D+44.4
- Wayne County, MI184D+29.0
- Monroe County, MI167R+27.1
- Jackson County, MI164R+21.3
- Hillsdale County, MI118R+51.4
- Lucas County, OH96D+12.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Washtenaw County, MI241
- Jackson County, MI197
- Monroe County, MI166
- Wayne County, MI157
- Lucas County, OH132
- Hillsdale County, MI105
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −406 |
| 2012 | −553 |
| 2013 | −251 |
| 2014 | −193 |
| 2015 | −351 |
| 2016 | +91 |
| 2017 | −90 |
| 2018 | −304 |
| 2019 | +367 |
| 2021 | +90 |
| 2022 | −460 |
| 2023 | −431 |
| 2024 | +309 |
| 2025 | +201 |
Lenawee sits in Michigan's southeastern corner, blending small manufacturing towns with agricultural townships. Its R+23 presidential margin in 2024 reflects a decade-long rightward shift driven by working-class rural voters moving away from their ancestral Democratic leanings.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 19.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 54.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.0 points.
A population of 98,415, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,518 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Shiawassee County and Jackson County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lenawee County, Michigan. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/26091/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.