Missouri 78th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
89.7%
14,639 votes · D+80.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 89.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
45.1%
10,699 votes · D+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 43.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
28,663votes
76.0% of the vote · D+54.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 25,993 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
10,934votes
29.8% of the vote · D+40.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 10,699 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+77.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+75.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +76.1 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−7.2pts R vs U.S.
Place D+26.8 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · −16.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DMarty MurrayState House · 78
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+74.6, this district ranks among the most lopsided in the state, reflecting a dense, heavily urban core where Democratic presidential candidates routinely approach supermajority-level support.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.2 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 74.6 points.
A population of 37,530, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $56,337 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 79 and State House District 84.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missouri 78th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29078/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Missouri 78th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 78th State House District voted Democratic by 74.6 points (D+74.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,575 votes cast, 9,981 went Democratic and 1,347 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 78th State House District?
Missouri 78th State House District has a population of 37,530 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 78th State House District?
Median household income in Missouri 78th State House District is $56,337 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 78th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 78th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 37 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.