Missouri
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +7.5% |
| 1896 | +8.7% |
| 1900 | +5.5% |
| 1904 | −3.9% |
| 1908 | −0.1% |
| 1912 | +17.6% |
| 1916 | +3.6% |
| 1920 | −11.5% |
| 1924 | −5.6% |
| 1928 | −11.4% |
| 1932 | +28.6% |
| 1936 | +22.6% |
| 1940 | +4.8% |
| 1944 | +2.9% |
| 1948 | +16.6% |
| 1952 | −1.6% |
| 1956 | +0.2% |
| 1960 | +0.5% |
| 1964 | +28.1% |
| 1968 | −1.1% |
| 1972 | −24.7% |
| 1976 | +3.6% |
| 1980 | −6.8% |
| 1984 | −20.0% |
| 1988 | −4.0% |
| 1992 | +10.1% |
| 1996 | +6.3% |
| 2000 | −3.3% |
| 2004 | −7.2% |
| 2008 | −0.1% |
| 2012 | −9.4% |
| 2016 | −18.5% |
| 2020 | −15.3% |
| 2024 | −18.4% |
U.S. House
| Year | Seats won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| D 2 · R 6 | 38.5% | 58.5% | 2,924,863 | |
| D 2 · R 6 | 38.6% | 59.4% | 2,060,089 | |
| D 2 · R 6 | 39.4% | 58.0% | 2,973,421 | |
| D 2 · R 6 | 42.5% | 55.0% | 2,418,413 |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,992,705 |
| 2018 | 3,900,324 |
| 2020 | 4,110,570 |
| 2022 | 4,023,498 |
| 2024 | 4,157,494 |
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+14,028 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,510 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −14,354 |
| 2012 | −11,827 |
| 2013 | −6,349 |
| 2014 | −8,993 |
| 2015 | −8,347 |
| 2016 | −5,789 |
| 2017 | −898 |
| 2018 | −2,697 |
| 2019 | −710 |
| 2021 | +17,735 |
| 2022 | +3,624 |
| 2023 | +9,682 |
| 2024 | +12,385 |
| 2025 | +14,028 |
The state that went with the presidential winner for a century now gives the Democratic candidate four jurisdictions out of 115 — Kansas City, the St. Louis area, and Columbia.
- The indicator that broke
- Matched the national winner every cycle 1904–2004 but one (1956); R since, widening to R+18.4 in 2024 · MIT Election Lab
- From near-tie to R+18
- R+0.1 (2008) → R+9.4 (2012) → R+18.5 (2016) → R+15.3 (2020) → R+18.4 (2024) · MIT Election Lab
- Three Democratic islands
- Jackson (Kansas City) D+19.3, St. Louis County D+23.4, St. Louis city D+64.6, Boone (Columbia) D+9.7 — the only four of 115 jurisdictions to go D · MIT Election Lab 2024
- The rural floor
- Wright County R+75.6, the widest in the state; most rural counties ran R+60 to R+80 · MIT Election Lab 2024
- Middling income and degrees
- Median household income $70,702 — 40th of 50, below the U.S. $80,734; 32.4% hold a bachelor’s degree, 32nd · ACS 2024 5-year
- Protestant majority
- 24.1% Evangelical adherents — 11th of 50; the state is 76% White, 11% Black · 2020 U.S. Religion Census; ACS 2024 5-year
The states whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/state/MO/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.