state house districtMissouri 130th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+35.2
2008R+26.2
2012R+34.8
2016R+44.1
2020R+37.2
2024R+36.0
net swing · 2004→2024R+0.8R+35.2 → R+36.0
vs. U.S. · 2024R+34.6R+36.0 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 65.9% of 29,458 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
6,088
13,087
247
19,422
29,458
65.9%
2020
5,816
12,916
376
19,108
28,390†
67.3%
2016
4,046
11,158
921
16,125
27,677†
58.3%
2012
4,839
10,211
403
15,453
26,715†
57.8%
2008
5,309
9,159
236
14,704
25,508†
57.6%
2004
4,389
9,177
20
13,586
24,300†
55.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMO HD 130MissouriUnited States
German19.4%21.3%12.5%
English16.7%11.9%9.5%
Irish12.0%11.8%9.4%
American6.9%6.8%5.3%
Italian2.8%3.2%4.8%
Scottish2.3%1.8%1.3%
French2.1%2.2%1.6%
Scotch-Irish1.4%——
Mexican2.6%3.2%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.8%0.4%1.8%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
African American†1.7%10.0%9.9%
Chinese0.2%0.4%1.3%
Filipino0.2%0.2%0.9%
Asian Indian0.2%0.6%1.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MO HD 130
Missouri
United States
Median age
34.7
39.2
39.1
Age 18–24
13.0%
9.2%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
17.0%
17.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MO HD 130
Missouri
United States
Median household income
$67,699
$70,702
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.5%
12.6%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.6%
32.4%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MO HD 130
Missouri
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
5.5%
6.7%
22.3%
Spanish
2.3%
2.9%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
MO HD 130
Missouri
United States
Catholic
—
12.5%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
24.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
51.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Missouri 130th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−35.2%
2008
−26.2%
2012
−34.8%
2016
−44.1%
2020
−37.2%
2024
−36.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
31.3%Harris6,088
67.4%Trump13,087
1.3%
R+36.0
D+1.1
R+34.6
19,422
R
30.4%Biden5,816
67.6%Trump12,916
2.0%
R+37.2
D+6.9
R+41.6
19,108
R
25.1%Clinton4,046
69.2%Trump11,158
5.7%
R+44.1
R+9.3
R+46.2
16,125
R
31.3%Obama4,839
66.1%Romney10,211
2.6%
R+34.8
R+8.6
R+38.6
15,453
R
36.1%Obama5,309
62.3%McCain9,159
1.6%
R+26.2
D+9.1
R+33.5
14,704
R
32.3%Kerry4,389
67.5%Bush9,177
0.1%
R+35.2
—
R+32.8
13,586
current representation
Current officeholders
RBishop DavidsonState House · 130
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+36.1, this district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting the rural and small-town demographic patterns common across southern Missouri.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 44.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.0 points.
A population of 38,033, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,699 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 162 and State House District 156.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Missouri 130th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29130/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Missouri 130th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 130th State House District voted Republican by 36.0 points (R+36.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,422 votes cast, 6,088 went Democratic and 13,087 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 130th State House District?
Missouri 130th State House District has a population of 38,033 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 130th State House District?
Median household income in Missouri 130th State House District is $67,699 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 130th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Missouri 130th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
