Montana 20th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
79.0%
394 votes · D+57.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 77.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52.7%
2,683 votes · R+8.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 52.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
2,486votes
54.5% of the vote · D+13.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 2,486 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,683votes
52.7% of the vote · R+8.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,557 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+64.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.9 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1940 · +35.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+13.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.3 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +12.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RMelissa NikolakakosState House · 20
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
37.3%1,733
62.7%2,916
4,649
2020
R
42.9%2,157
57.1%2,876
5,033
2018
R
47.9%2,003
52.1%2,179
4,182
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+8.9, against D+13.5 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. About 90 residents lived here as of the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 57.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 15.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.9 points.
A population of 10,709, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,534 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21 and State House District 46.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 20th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Montana 20th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 20th State House District voted Republican by 8.9 points (R+8.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,093 votes cast, 2,230 went Democratic and 2,683 went Republican.
When did Montana 20th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 20th State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Montana 20th State House District?
Montana 20th State House District has a population of 10,709 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 20th State House District?
Median household income in Montana 20th State House District is $68,534 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 20th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Montana 20th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.