state house districtMontana 20th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+6.6
2008D+13.0
2012D+1.6
2016R+11.4
2020R+7.6
2024R+8.9
net swing · 2004→2024R+2.3R+6.6 → R+8.9
vs. U.S. · 2024R+7.4R+8.9 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 57.4% of 8,870 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
2,230
2,683
180
5,093
8,870
57.4%
2020
2,185
2,557
167
4,909
8,540†
57.5%
2016
1,712
2,198
370
4,280
8,582†
49.9%
2012
2,202
2,131
100
4,433
8,444†
52.5%
2008
2,552
1,952
96
4,600
8,456†
54.4%
2004
1,963
2,248
95
4,306
8,468†
50.9%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupMT HD 20MontanaUnited States
German22.3%22.9%12.5%
Irish13.0%13.5%9.4%
English11.7%13.1%9.5%
Norwegian7.8%7.5%—
American7.5%5.4%5.3%
Italian3.8%3.2%4.8%
Scottish2.9%2.6%1.3%
French2.2%—1.6%
Mexican2.8%2.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.5%0.2%1.8%
Spanish0.3%0.3%—
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
Salvadoran0.2%—0.7%
Spaniard0.2%0.3%—
Blackfeet0.6%1.0%—
African American†1.0%—9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
MT HD 20
Montana
United States
Median age
39.4
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
8.9%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
19.5%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
MT HD 20
Montana
United States
Median household income
$68,534
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.5%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
28.4%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
MT HD 20
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
4.1%
4.2%
22.3%
Spanish
1.6%
1.5%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
MT HD 20
Montana
United States
Catholic
—
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
65.3%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Montana 20th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−6.6%
2008
+13.0%
2012
+1.6%
2016
−11.4%
2020
−7.6%
2024
−8.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. † 2004, 2012 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
43.8%Harris2,230
52.7%Trump2,683
3.5%
R+8.9
R+1.3
R+7.4
5,093
R
44.5%Biden2,185
52.1%Trump2,557
3.4%
R+7.6
D+3.8
R+12.0
4,909
R
40.0%Clinton1,712
51.4%Trump2,198
8.6%
R+11.4
R+13.0
R+13.4
4,280
D
49.7%Obama2,202
48.1%Romney2,131
2.3%
D+1.6
R+11.4
R+2.3
4,433
D
55.5%Obama2,552
42.4%McCain1,952
2.1%
D+13.0
D+19.7
D+5.8
4,600
R
45.6%Kerry1,963
52.2%Bush2,248
2.2%
R+6.6
—
R+4.2
4,306
current representation
Current officeholders
RMelissa NikolakakosState House · 20
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+8.9, against D+13.0 in 2008, having changed party at least once across the five cycles. About 90 residents lived here as of the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.0 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 11.4 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 8.9 points.
A population of 10,709, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,534 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21 and State House District 46.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Montana 20th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/30020/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Montana 20th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Montana 20th State House District voted Republican by 8.9 points (R+8.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,093 votes cast, 2,230 went Democratic and 2,683 went Republican.
When did Montana 20th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Montana 20th State House District voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Montana 20th State House District?
Montana 20th State House District has a population of 10,709 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montana 20th State House District?
Median household income in Montana 20th State House District is $68,534 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Montana 20th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montana 20th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 4 went Republican.
