state house districtNevada 15th State House District
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004D+27.4
2008D+39.9
2012D+38.8
2016D+34.0
2020D+27.6
2024D+18.8
net swing · 2004→2024R+8.6D+27.4 → D+18.8
vs. U.S. · 2024D+20.3D+18.8 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 47.1% of 42,831 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
11,800
8,005
375
20,180
42,831
47.1%
2020
12,685
7,103
408
20,196
40,007†
50.5%
2016
10,823
5,096
927
16,846
36,369†
46.3%
2012
10,812
4,692
279
15,783
33,336†
47.3%
2008
10,921
4,568
446
15,935
30,345†
52.5%
2004
8,084
4,537
325
12,946
27,355†
47.3%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNV HD 15NevadaUnited States
Mexican27.0%21.4%11.3%
Cuban2.0%1.3%0.7%
Salvadoran1.9%1.5%0.7%
Puerto Rican1.3%0.9%1.8%
Guatemalan1.0%0.8%0.5%
Colombian0.5%0.3%0.4%
Spaniard0.5%0.4%—
Spanish0.5%0.5%—
German7.2%9.4%12.5%
English6.4%8.6%9.5%
Irish6.1%7.9%9.4%
Italian4.1%4.9%4.8%
American2.6%3.4%5.3%
Polish1.5%1.3%2.2%
French1.2%1.5%1.6%
Scottish1.1%1.5%1.3%
African American†15.3%7.6%9.9%
African1.4%0.7%0.5%
Ethiopian0.8%0.4%—
Filipino5.2%4.5%0.9%
Chinese1.5%1.3%1.3%
Asian Indian0.6%0.6%1.4%
Vietnamese0.6%0.5%0.6%
Korean0.6%0.5%0.4%
Japanese0.5%0.4%0.2%
Thai0.3%0.2%—
Aztec5.3%0.4%—
Native Hawaiian4.0%0.3%—
Samoan2.7%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NV HD 15
Nevada
United States
Median age
38.6
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
8.0%
8.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
15.9%
17.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NV HD 15
Nevada
United States
Median household income
$43,411
$78,260
$84,427
Poverty rate
25.3%
12.4%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
27.8%
27.9%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NV HD 15
Nevada
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
33.6%
29.5%
22.3%
Spanish
22.3%
20.0%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.4%
1.3%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.5%
1.2%
1.1%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)
3.6%
3.0%
0.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
NV HD 15
Nevada
United States
Catholic
—
24.7%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
6.7%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
58.4%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Nevada 15th State House District
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+27.4%
2008
+39.9%
2012
+38.8%
2016
+34.0%
2020
+27.6%
2024
+18.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
58.5%Harris11,800
39.7%Trump8,005
1.9%
D+18.8
R+8.8
D+20.3
20,180
D
62.8%Biden12,685
35.2%Trump7,103
2.0%
D+27.6
R+6.4
D+23.2
20,196
D
64.2%Clinton10,823
30.3%Trump5,096
5.5%
D+34.0
R+4.8
D+31.9
16,846
D
68.5%Obama10,812
29.7%Romney4,692
1.8%
D+38.8
R+1.1
D+34.9
15,783
D
68.5%Obama10,921
28.7%McCain4,568
2.8%
D+39.9
D+12.5
D+32.6
15,935
D
62.4%Kerry8,084
35.0%Bush4,537
2.5%
D+27.4
—
D+29.9
12,946
current representation
Current officeholders
DHoward WattsState House · 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in rural Nevada, Assembly District 15 returned a 62-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, making it among the state's least competitive seats and a baseline for measuring GOP strength in the region's small-town and ranching communities.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.
A population of 73,660, a 29% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,411 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 20 and Assembly District 18.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Nevada 15th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/32015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did Nevada 15th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Nevada 15th State House District voted Democratic by 18.8 points (D+18.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 20,180 votes cast, 11,800 went Democratic and 8,005 went Republican.
How many people live in Nevada 15th State House District?
Nevada 15th State House District has a population of 73,660 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Nevada 15th State House District?
Median household income in Nevada 15th State House District is $43,411 — below the national median of $80,734. The Nevada state median is $78,260.
What is the political history of Nevada 15th State House District?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Nevada 15th State House District from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
