HarrisDemocratic37.9%1,634TrumpRepublican60.9%2,628OtherAll other candidates1.2%51
R+23.0- Lead
- 994
- Total
- 4,313
- vs nation
- R+21.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4
Contests in this Place (47 available)
President38 · 1876–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic39.6%1,609TrumpRepublican58.2%2,366OtherAll other candidates2.2%90
R+18.6- Lead
- 757
- Total
- 4,065
- vs nation
- R+23.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic34.3%1,272TrumpRepublican59.2%2,193OtherAll other candidates6.5%241
R+24.9- Lead
- 921
- Total
- 3,706
- vs nation
- R+26.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic44.4%1,559RomneyRepublican54.5%1,912OtherAll other candidates1.1%39
R+10.1- Lead
- 353
- Total
- 3,510
- vs nation
- R+13.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic47.2%1,642McCainRepublican51.8%1,801OtherAll other candidates1.0%36
R+4.6- Lead
- 159
- Total
- 3,479
- vs nation
- R+11.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic42.8%1,433BushRepublican56.3%1,886OtherAll other candidates0.9%31
R+13.5- Lead
- 453
- Total
- 3,350
- vs nation
- R+11.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic39.3%1,091BushRepublican56.2%1,558OtherAll other candidates4.5%124
R+16.8- Lead
- 467
- Total
- 2,773
- vs nation
- R+17.4
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.0%1,053DoleRepublican45.6%1,116OtherAll other candidates11.4%279
R+2.6- Lead
- 63
- Total
- 2,448
- vs nation
- R+11.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,3142024 5-year
- Population density
- 244 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 30 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,0632024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.6 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.9 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District Belknap 03, NH · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
56.8%
816 votes · D+13.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 53.4%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
76.5%
1,039 votes · R+52.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 75.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
1,642votes
47.2% of the vote · R+4.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,634 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
2,628votes
60.9% of the vote · R+23.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 2,366 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+0.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+25.5 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · −4.2 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+46.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+52.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1956 · +37.5 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RTravis TonerState House · Belknap 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Belknap 04 covers a small, rural slice of New Hampshire's Lakes Region, where the 2024 presidential margin ran 23 points to the right — well above the state's own competitive average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.6 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 52.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.0 points.
A population of 7,314, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,063 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Belknap 03 and State House District Strafford 01.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District Belknap 03
New Hampshire
97.5twin score
population scale12-yr trendFrench ancestry
State House District Strafford 01
New Hampshire
97.0twin score
elasticity12-yr trendpopulation scale
State House District 138
Maine
96.6twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalemedian age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
New Hampshire at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 voted Republican by 23.0 points (R+23.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,313 votes cast, 1,634 went Democratic and 2,628 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4?
New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 has a population of 7,314 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 is $69,063 — below the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Belknap 4 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 34 went Republican.