state house districtNew Hampshire State House District Grafton 4
presidential margin
2004–2024 · Democratic minus Republican
2004R+8.8
2008D+13.8
2012D+10.6
2016D+7.5
2020D+15.8
2024D+10.6
net swing · 2004→2024D+19.4R+8.8 → D+10.6
vs. U.S. · 2024D+12.1D+10.6 vs R+1.5
presidential returns
2024 turnout 87.3% of 2,664 citizens 18+
Year
Democrat
Republican
Others
Total
CVAP
Turnout
2024
1,275
1,028
23
2,326
2,664
87.3%
2020
1,241
896
41
2,178
2,579†
84.5%
2016
912
774
152
1,838
2,520†
72.9%
2012
908
731
33
1,672
2,465†
67.8%
2008
955
719
34
1,708
2,363†
72.3%
2004
612
732
17
1,361
2,261†
60.2%
† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles from the constituent-county ACS trend anchored to the current figure. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupNH HD 04New HampshireUnited States
English22.5%18.3%9.5%
Irish18.3%20.6%9.4%
German10.5%8.6%12.5%
French9.7%10.5%1.6%
Italian7.9%9.8%4.8%
French Canadian6.0%7.2%—
Scottish5.9%2.1%1.3%
American5.9%4.2%5.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%1.4%1.8%
Mexican0.4%0.8%11.3%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
NH HD 04
New Hampshire
United States
Median age
51.4
43.5
39.1
Age 18–24
12.3%
8.7%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.0%
20.3%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
NH HD 04
New Hampshire
United States
Median household income
$90,970
$99,031
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.8%
7.3%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
46.7%
40.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
NH HD 04
New Hampshire
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.2%
8.0%
22.3%
Spanish
1.0%
2.6%
13.6%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
1.0%
0.4%
1.1%
Religious landscape
Measure
NH HD 04
New Hampshire
United States
Catholic
—
16.0%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
4.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
72.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−8.8%
2008
+13.8%
2012
+10.6%
2016
+7.5%
2020
+15.8%
2024
+10.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
54.8%Harris1,275
44.2%Trump1,028
1.0%
D+10.6
R+5.2
D+12.1
2,326
D
57.0%Biden1,241
41.1%Trump896
1.9%
D+15.8
D+8.3
D+11.4
2,178
D
49.6%Clinton912
42.1%Trump774
8.3%
D+7.5
R+3.1
D+5.4
1,838
D
54.3%Obama908
43.7%Romney731
2.0%
D+10.6
R+3.2
D+6.7
1,672
D
55.9%Obama955
42.1%McCain719
2.0%
D+13.8
D+22.6
D+6.5
1,708
R
45.0%Kerry612
53.8%Bush732
1.2%
R+8.8
—
R+6.4
1,361
current representation
Current officeholders
DHeather BaldwinState House · Grafton 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
With roughly 3,300 residents, Grafton 04 is one of New Hampshire's more compact state house districts, and its 2024 presidential margin of D+10.6 places it noticeably left of the state's competitive statewide average.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.8 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 8.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.6 points.
A population of 3,309, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,970 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 03 and State House District Grafton 02.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33404/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 voted Democratic by 10.6 points (D+10.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,326 votes cast, 1,275 went Democratic and 1,028 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 has a population of 3,309 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 is $90,970 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 4 from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.
