New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
74.2%
2,033 votes · D+50.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 73.3%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
69.0%
660 votes · R+37.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 66.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
2,033votes
74.2% of the vote · D+50.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 1,981 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
864votes
37.5% of the vote · D+24.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George H. W. Bush, 1988 · 807 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+51.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+50.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +43.4 pts
Republican
William McKinley1896
+28.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+34.7 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Alf Landon, 1936 · +26.7 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DTom CormenState House · Grafton 15
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year
Vote lead
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
60.5%1,703
39.5%1,113
2,816
Anchored in Hanover, home to Dartmouth College, Grafton 15 returned a 50.0-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — a figure driven by a dense concentration of students and faculty in a small, walkable college town.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.0 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 37.9 points in 1956. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.0 points.
A population of 4,786, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,817 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 14 and State House District Grafton 13.
Akashic
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons → · Or open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33415/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
How did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 vote in 2024?
In 2024, New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 voted Democratic by 50.0 points (D+50.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,740 votes cast, 2,033 went Democratic and 662 went Republican.
When did New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15?
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 has a population of 4,786 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15?
Median household income in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 is $109,817 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Hampshire state median is $99,031.
What is the political history of New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15 from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 19 went Republican.