New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +24.0% |
| 2008 | +39.3% |
| 2012 | +38.1% |
| 2016 | +40.7% |
| 2020 | +47.9% |
| 2024 | +50.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 74.4%Harris2,034 | 24.2%Trump663 | 1.4% | D+50.1 | D+2.2 | D+51.6 | 2,735 | |
| D | 73.4%Biden1,982 | 25.5%Trump688 | 1.2% | D+47.9 | D+7.2 | D+43.4 | 2,702 | |
| D | 66.6%Clinton1,628 | 25.9%Trump634 | 7.5% | D+40.7 | D+2.5 | D+38.6 | 2,445 | |
| D | 68.1%Obama1,748 | 29.9%Romney769 | 2.0% | D+38.1 | R+1.2 | D+34.3 | 2,568 | |
| D | 69.2%Obama1,835 | 29.9%McCain792 | 0.9% | D+39.3 | D+15.3 | D+32.1 | 2,651 | |
| D | 61.5%Kerry1,417 | 37.5%Bush864 | 1.0% | D+24.0 | — | D+26.5 | 2,304 |
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Anchored in Hanover, home to Dartmouth College, Grafton 15 returned a 50-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 — a figure driven by a dense concentration of students and faculty in a small, walkable college town.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 50.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 50.1 points.
A population of 4,786, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,817 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District Grafton 14 and State House District Grafton 13.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
New Hampshire State House District Grafton 15. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/33415/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.